British EBF 40th Anniversary Fillies' Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

York

17:20

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £51,540

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Unequal Love Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	131	—	4111	90	104	78	13d	—	—	+19	37.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Making great strides; looked ahead of her mark when winning 7f handicap debut; up 5lb
4 (16)	Sophias Starlight Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	136	—	311521	95	103	85	5d	—	—	+21	33.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Sealed reputation by winning big 6f Ripon handicap; more to do back at 7f under penalty
14 (10)	Naomi Lapaglia Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	125	h	1-051	84	103	84	40d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Winning handicap debut over 7f; up 3lb and has potential for more
18 (6)	Nigiri Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	121	—	4-0311	80	103	89	18d	—	—	-5	12.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Looked better the further she went in handicaps at 7f and 1m; first run on good to firm
8 (1)	Royal Dress Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hannon	J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hannon	130	—	137214	89	99	87	23d	—	—	+15	21.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Improved at 7f (heavy) and 1m (good to soft); up 3lb for latest 4th; still has scope
9 (17)	Candle Of Hope Brown J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	129	—	-64656	88	100	85	23d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Creditable 5th of 29 in the Sandringham (1m); return to 7f on fast ground can suit
1 (14)	Farhh To Shy Bay J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	138	—	631651	92	103	94	28d	—	—	+18	26.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Suited by return to 7f when clear winner latest; tough to give weight to unexposed rivals
NR (13)	Back See Daa Bay J:TBC T:K R Burke	J: T:K R Burke	133	—	2-2166	92	99	80	23d	—	—	+9	15.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising at 1m earlier; good to soft may not have suited latest; of interest back at 7f
10 (2)	Eximious Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	129	—	10-203	88	101	86	7d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.25/1	18 6%
7f on fast ground suited on reappearance; needs extra to keep pace with improvers
12 (7)	International Girl Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	127	—	7-2482	81	102	82	15d	—	—	+4	9.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Respectable 6f runs in defeat this year; not especially eye-catching for return to 7f
5 (15)	Espressoo Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	9-1520	88	101	83	23d	—	—	+6	10.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Often leads; three 7f wins, latest in May when 5lb lower; no easy task today
19 (9)	Coco Jamboo Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	121	—	-23333	80	101	77	13d	—	—	+14	16.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Won 7f Newmarket handicap as 2yo; pulls hard; others likely to finish better back at 7f
16 (20)	Mottisfont Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	125	v	-08949	84	98	79	23d	—	—	+6	9.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Not found her level in handicaps at 1m and 6f but this trip can suit better
15 (19)	Dubai Jemila Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Kevin Ryan	J:Neil Callan T:Kevin Ryan	125	—	418-07	84	96	75	89d	—	—	+6	9.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Won 7f novice as 2yo; hard to assess on this year's form but return to 7f should suit
13 (4)	Rock Melody Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	125	—	611336	79	101	93	26d	—	—	+14	16.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Suited by sprint trips and a weak finisher more often than not at 7f
3 (18)	Nizaaka Bay J:Harry Davies T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Harry Davies T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	136	—	504726	90	101	61	62d	—	—	+12	14.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Hat-trick over 7f at Newmarket in 2022; not yet recovered poise this year; off since June
17 (11)	Peony Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	122	—	9-2119	81	102	79	34d	—	—	+6	8.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Progressive at 6f until down the field in July; needs to prove stamina for truly run 7f
20 (8)	Misty Blues Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	120	p	325-60	79	95	41	26d	—	—	+6	7.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Useful handicap form as 2yo but well below best this year; now goes in cheekpieces
11 (5)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	129	v	343275	83	102	81	17d	—	—	+10	12.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Prolific winning sprinter; winless in less competitive races this year; first 7f run
NR (12)	Al Simmo Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Steph Hollinshead	J:NON-RUNNER T:Steph Hollinshead	136	—	026-20	90	-	-	41d	—	—	-44	30	—	—
Good course form at 6f; inconclusive form over further and latest 7f run was back in 2020

Horse	bet365	Coral
Unequal Love	7/2	7/2
Sophias Starlight	7	7
Naomi Lapaglia	8	7
Nigiri	4	4
Royal Dress	12	11
Candle Of Hope	12	14
Farhh To Shy	10	9
Back See Daa	14	14
Eximious	16	18
International Girl	25	18
Espressoo	20	22
Coco Jamboo	33	28
Mottisfont	40	25
Dubai Jemila	25	33
Rock Melody	25	33
Nizaaka	33	33
Peony	50	40
Misty Blues	33	40
Cuban Breeze	40	50
Al Simmo	SP	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Unequal Love

37.2

OR: 10 Form: 22 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Sophias Starlight

33.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 3.3

3rd

Al Simmo

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

Farhh To Shy

26.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 2.2

Royal Dress

21.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.9

Naomi Lapaglia

18.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

Coco Jamboo

16.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.9

Rock Melody

16.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.8

Back See Daa

15.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Nizaaka

14.2

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

Nigiri

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Cuban Breeze

12.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.6

Candle Of Hope

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Eximious

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Espressoo

10.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Mottisfont

9.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Dubai Jemila

9.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

International Girl

9.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Peony

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Misty Blues

7.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sophias Starlight	95	103	85
Farhh To Shy	92	103	94
Back See Daa	92	99	80
Unequal Love	90	104	78
Nizaaka	90	101	61
Al Simmo	90	—	—
Royal Dress	89	99	87
Candle Of Hope	88	100	85
Eximious	88	101	86
Espressoo	88	101	83
Naomi Lapaglia	84	103	84
Mottisfont	84	98	79
Dubai Jemila	84	96	75
Cuban Breeze	83	102	81
International Girl	81	102	82
Peony	81	102	79
Nigiri	80	103	89
Coco Jamboo	80	101	77
Rock Melody	79	101	93
Misty Blues	79	95	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sophias Starlight	5d ago	Quick return
Eximious	7d ago	Quick return
Unequal Love	13d ago	Quick return
Coco Jamboo	13d ago	Quick return
International Girl	15d ago	Fit
Cuban Breeze	17d ago	Fit
Nigiri	18d ago	Fit
Royal Dress	23d ago	Fit
Candle Of Hope	23d ago	Fit
Back See Daa	23d ago	Fit
Espressoo	23d ago	Fit
Mottisfont	23d ago	Fit
Rock Melody	26d ago	Fit
Misty Blues	26d ago	Fit
Farhh To Shy	28d ago	Fit
Peony	34d ago	Fit
Naomi Lapaglia	40d ago	Fit
Al Simmo	41d ago	Fit
Nizaaka	62d ago	Fresh
Dubai Jemila	89d ago	Fresh