Racing Welfare Classified Stakes – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:30

Racing Welfare Classified Stakes

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,638

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Belo Horizonte Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Spencer	J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Spencer	141	p	856311	49	61	40	3d	—	—	-13	34.8	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Won two similar events on turf recently and should prove hard to beat again
8 (8)	Shabs Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	135	p	352344	47	60	53	23d	—	—	-9	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-24 but in frame on six of last seven starts; should be involved for minor honours again
10 (1)	Twistaline Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	135	v	088354	49	61	46	9d	—	—	-5	3.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Consistent at this classified level and fair fourth in C&D handicap last week
9 (7)	The Grey Bandit Grey J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	135	p	86/793	48	57	23	29d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Reacted well to cheekpieces when third in 1m Bath classified latest; needs to back it up
5 (9)	Heerathetrack Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Mark Usher	135	tp	788957	43	49	29	16d	—	—	-3	1	4.75/1	20 5%
Vulnerable again unless new headgear combination sparks improvement
12 (11)	James Bradley Bay J:George Wood T:Charlie Wallis	J:George Wood T:Charlie Wallis	129	p	136007	49	58	60	8d	—	—	-2	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Lost way since C&D win in January, including well behind Belo Horizonte last week
NR (4)	Angel De Luz Bay J:TBC T:Amy Murphy	J: T:Amy Murphy	129	p	353478	43	54	-	12d	—	—	-2	2.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor form and well held in handicap company at Lingfield latest
2 (3)	Adace Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	140	p	663741	48	61	36	11d	—	—	0	15.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Polytrack winner; got head back in front at Windsor latest; should go well again
4 (12)	Hanoverian King Bay J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	135	b	064475	46	58	45	37d	—	—	-2	0.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Creditable fifth in 1m2f AW handicap latest; each-way claims
3 (2)	Fast Flo Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	135	p	497093	42	52	36	8d	—	—	+2	3.5	16.25/1	66 2%
6l third to Belo Horizonte at Yarmouth last week; that rival looks too strong again
7 (6)	Lite And Airy Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:S Woods	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:S Woods	135	b	9000	50	57	11	8d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Tailed off behind Belo Horizonte last week; blinkers need to transform him
6 (5)	Lincoln Red Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Olly Williams	J:Jack Mitchell T:Olly Williams	135	—	40-060	44	53	27	35d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
No win since 2020 and hasn't got competitive in his three outings this year

Horse	bet365	Coral
Belo Horizonte	8/11	5/6
Shabs	11/2	5
Twistaline	10	10
The Grey Bandit	25	25
Heerathetrack	20	20
James Bradley	20	20
Angel De Luz	20	16
Adace	11/2	9/2
Hanoverian King	50	33
Fast Flo	66	66
Lite And Airy	100	80
Lincoln Red	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Belo Horizonte

34.8

OR: 0 Form: 18.5 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Adace

15.3

OR: 0 Form: 10.9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Shabs

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

11/2

Twistaline

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Fast Flo

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

Angel De Luz

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

James Bradley

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

The Grey Bandit

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Heerathetrack

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Hanoverian King

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lincoln Red

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Lite And Airy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lite And Airy	50	57	11
Belo Horizonte	49	61	40
Twistaline	49	61	46
James Bradley	49	58	60
The Grey Bandit	48	57	23
Adace	48	61	36
Shabs	47	60	53
Hanoverian King	46	58	45
Lincoln Red	44	53	27
Heerathetrack	43	49	29
Angel De Luz	43	54	—
Fast Flo	42	52	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Belo Horizonte	3d ago	Quick return
James Bradley	8d ago	Quick return
Fast Flo	8d ago	Quick return
Lite And Airy	8d ago	Quick return
Twistaline	9d ago	Quick return
Adace	11d ago	Quick return
Angel De Luz	12d ago	Quick return
Heerathetrack	16d ago	Fit
Shabs	23d ago	Fit
The Grey Bandit	29d ago	Fit
Lincoln Red	35d ago	Fit
Hanoverian King	37d ago	Fit