GAIN The Advantage Series (Ladies) Handicap – Tipperary

Tipperary

20:10

GAIN The Advantage Series (Ladies) Handicap

Date 2023-08-11

Distance 1m4f115y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,850

Winning Time 2m 57.64s (slow by 15.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	L'Un Deux Trois (IRE) Sorcha Woods · Oliver McKiernan	7/1	Won
2nd	Black Soul (IRE) Miss E Cody · John E & Thomas Kiely	8/1	.5
3rd	Expound (GB) Miss A B O'Connor · Denis Gerard Hogan	9/2	.5
4th	Summer Fly (FR) Amy Jo Hayes · Mrs Y Dunleavy	12/1	1.25
5th	Lispendense (IRE) Annalise Cullen · Denis W Cullen	20/1	0.2
6th	Mutadaawel (IRE) Robyn Donaghue-Leahy · Nigel Thomas Slevin	33/1	.5
7th	Longclaw (USA) Miss J Townend · P J F Murphy	100/30	1.25
8th	Chatterbox (IRE) Ms L B Mellerick · John Joseph Murphy	15/2	0.1
9th	Patrick Joseph (GB) Miss R Hogan · D Broad	80/1	0.1
10th	White Strand (IRE) Miss L Costello · T Hogan	33/1	0.3
11th	Viceregent (GB) Siobhan Rutledge · C Byrnes	11/4F	.75
12th	Ben Alexander (GB) Miss M Walsh · H Rogers	80/1	2.75
13th	Sea The Sunset (GB) Ms E C Costello · J Morrison	80/1	5.5

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (14)	Expound Chestnut J:Miss A B O'Connor(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Miss A B O'Connor(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	160	t	305322	74	66	55	31d	—	—	+2	21.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Just outstayed at Tramore so this extended 1m4f may not be ideal
9 (8)	Viceregent Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge T:C Byrnes	J:Siobhan Rutledge T:C Byrnes	150	—	7523/2	64	56	48	18d	—	—	-4	13.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Ballinrobe second on same mark; acts on soft and experienced rider so lots of positives
1 (15)	Longclaw Bay J:Miss J Townend T:P J F Murphy	J:Miss J Townend T:P J F Murphy	162	—	-90132	76	62	37	7d	—	—	+1	26	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Last week's Galway second holding his form well; big run expected
5 (11)	Black Soul Bay J:Miss E Cody(7) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:Miss E Cody(7) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	152	—	0-8820	66	64	36	24d	—	—	-1	5.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Similar chance as Golden Star on C&D maiden run in May; jockey had a winner on Monday
NR (3)	Golden Star Chestnut J:TBC T:A J Martin	J: T:A J Martin	155	t	797	69	63	36	24d	—	—	0	6.6	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D run in May was encouraging but high enough mark on handicap debut
10 (6)	Lun Deux Trois Grey J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Oliver Mckiernan	J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Oliver Mckiernan	149	t	0128-6	63	52	56	30d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Dundalk comeback run should have brought him on although yard going through a quiet spell
NR (10)	Nusra Bay J:TBC T:G Ahern	J: T:G Ahern	139	p	47-208	53	64	28	73d	—	—	-3	2	6.75/1	28 4%
Limerick second hasn't been built on; opposable
NR (17)	The Truant Grey J:TBC T:Peter Fahey	J: T:Peter Fahey	151	—	420-54	65	56	43	31d	—	—	-4	6.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Bit to find with a couple of today's rivals on two runs this summer; don't rule out though
NR (13)	No Memory Bay J:TBC T:William Coleman Obrien	J: T:William Coleman Obrien	146	—	88651/	60	64	-	—	—	—	0	17.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Absent since well held in Punchestown Grade 3 hurdle in February 2022; can only be watched
17 (1)	Ben Alexander Bay J:Miss M Walsh(7) T:H Rogers	J:Miss M Walsh(7) T:H Rogers	133	—	90860/	47	50	-	623d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Maiden of litte account and rated a paltry 33; no chance
3 (5)	Lispendense Bay J:Annalise Cullen(7) T:Denis W Cullen	J:Annalise Cullen(7) T:Denis W Cullen	156	—	9/70	70	56	2	81d	—	—	+2	6.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Bumper winner not an obvious player off what looks a high initial mark
14 (7)	Patrick Joseph Bay J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	139	p	5-0878	53	58	36	29d	—	—	-2	1.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Harshly put up 5lb after heavy Bellewstown defeat two starts back; hard to fancy
16 (16)	White Strand Grey J:Miss L Costello(7) T:T Hogan	J:Miss L Costello(7) T:T Hogan	138	p	070-00	52	45	29	18d	—	—	-2	1.4	9.75/1	40 3%
Couple of poor efforts this summer and only glimpse of form has been on good ground
11 (12)	Sea The Sunset Bay J:Ms E C Costello(7) T:J Morrison	J:Ms E C Costello(7) T:J Morrison	148	—	6376-	62	56	15	—	—	—	+3	5.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Maiden under both codes soundly beaten of late over hurdles; hard to fancy
7 (2)	Chatterbox Chestnut J:Ms L B Mellerick(7) T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Ms L B Mellerick(7) T:John Joseph Murphy	150	—	7520-4	64	61	54	49d	—	—	-3	6.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Limerick comeback run encouraging so one to consider with conditions to suit
8 (4)	Summer Fly Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Mrs Y Dunleavy	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Mrs Y Dunleavy	150	tp	900-20	64	57	40	18d	—	—	-2	5.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Big chance on penultimate Ballinrobe second to Longclaw; winning form on soft too
15 (9)	Mutadaawel Bay J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	138	—	446-00	52	50	24	27d	—	—	-2	1.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Wining form is at 1m; easily overlooked despite this much reduced mark

Horse	bet365	Coral
Expound	10/3	10/3
Viceregent	4	4
Longclaw	5/2	9/4
Black Soul	10	12
Golden Star	20	20
Lun Deux Trois	11	10
Nusra	28	28
The Truant	10	17/2
No Memory	18	14
Ben Alexander	28	28
Lispendense	25	22
Patrick Joseph	28	33
White Strand	40	28
Sea The Sunset	50	66
Chatterbox	17/2	15/2
Summer Fly	11	11
Mutadaawel	40	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Longclaw

OR: 6.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.4

5/2

2nd

Expound

21.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

No Memory

17.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

Viceregent

13.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5

Golden Star

6.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

The Truant

6.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Chatterbox

6.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Lispendense

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Black Soul

5.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Lun Deux Trois

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Summer Fly

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Sea The Sunset

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Nusra

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Patrick Joseph

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

White Strand

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Mutadaawel

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ben Alexander

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Longclaw	76	62	37
Expound	74	66	55
Lispendense	70	56	2
Golden Star	69	63	36
Black Soul	66	64	36
The Truant	65	56	43
Viceregent	64	56	48
Chatterbox	64	61	54
Summer Fly	64	57	40
Lun Deux Trois	63	52	56
Sea The Sunset	62	56	15
No Memory	60	64	—
Nusra	53	64	28
Patrick Joseph	53	58	36
White Strand	52	45	29
Mutadaawel	52	50	24
Ben Alexander	47	50	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Longclaw	7d ago	Quick return
Viceregent	18d ago	Fit
White Strand	18d ago	Fit
Summer Fly	18d ago	Fit
Black Soul	24d ago	Fit
Golden Star	24d ago	Fit
Mutadaawel	27d ago	Fit
Patrick Joseph	29d ago	Fit
Lun Deux Trois	30d ago	Fit
Expound	31d ago	Fit
The Truant	31d ago	Fit
Chatterbox	49d ago	Fresh
Nusra	73d ago	Fresh
Lispendense	81d ago	Fresh
Ben Alexander	623d ago	Long break
No Memory	—	—
Sea The Sunset	—	—