Darley Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newbury

Newbury

16:45

Darley Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,770

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Maman Joon Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	128	—	240	100	103	72	30d	—	—	-2	22.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Last in the Ribblesdale; her Oaks fourth is a standout piece of form at this level
14 (8)	Sweet Memories Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Frankie Dettori T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	4-	-	75	-	231d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Great pedigree; likeable 4th in December in a novice that's worked out well
13 (12)	Red Danielle Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	h	26	-	87	61	44d	—	—	-7	7.5	1.00/1	5 20%
Debut was promising and there's good reason to forgive next run; now hooded
12 (5)	Mambo Sunset Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	128	—	32	-	83	62	31d	—	—	0	10	1.75/1	8 13%
Placed both times; more needed to beat the best of these but that's feasible
8 (2)	Karat Karat b/br J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Half-sister and stablemate to earlier Listed-race contender Al Aasy
NR (7)	Deep Dive Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Thady Gosden	J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	6	-	-	-	38d	—	—	-50	20	2.75/1	12 8%
Non-runner
5 (11)	Humankind Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	64-	-	74	52	246d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Some promise at two but has to improve and perhaps one for handicaps after this
10 (14)	Malka Chestnut J:William Buick T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:William Buick T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	32	-	85	51	34d	—	—	+2	9	3.25/1	14 7%
Twice placed in 1m2f events and she can progress some more; each-way claims
6 (4)	Its Marvellous Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	0-24	75	76	71	16d	—	—	+2	7.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Steady improvement made but fairly limited and handicaps perhaps a better option now
1 (3)	Mappatassie Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Clive Cox	J:Clifford Lee T:Clive Cox	143	—	19-	-	92	-	292d	—	—	+5	7.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Debut winner in France before struggling in a Listed race; no easy task conceding weight
2 (10)	Avon Light Chestnut J:David Probert T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:David Probert T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	6	-	71	51	37d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Started slowly over 1m here a month ago and never counted at odds of 33-1
9 (1)	Looklikewemadeit Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Sister to Flippin' Eck, who won a 6f novice before regressing
7 (13)	Kalama Sunrise Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jack Channon	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jack Channon	128	—	97	-	42	-	147d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Trailed in last over 1m at Kempton and 1m2f at Chelmsford; no appeal for now
3 (6)	Caramay Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Georgia Dobie T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	08	-	48	-	175d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten 30l (7f) and 9l (1m) in two AW starts and has been absent since January

Horse	bet365	Coral
Maman Joon	11/4	11/4
Sweet Memories	3	3
Red Danielle	5	5
Mambo Sunset	8	7
Karat Karat	10	9
Deep Dive	12	SP
Humankind	10	11
Malka	10	14
Its Marvellous	12	14
Mappatassie	33	33
Avon Light	66	40
Looklikewemadeit	50	40
Kalama Sunrise	200	100
Caramay	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maman Joon

22.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Deep Dive

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Mambo Sunset

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

Malka

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.9

Its Marvellous

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mappatassie

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Red Danielle

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

Sweet Memories

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

Karat Karat

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Humankind

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Avon Light

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Looklikewemadeit

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Caramay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Kalama Sunrise

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maman Joon	100	103	72
Its Marvellous	75	76	71
Sweet Memories	—	75	—
Red Danielle	—	87	61
Mambo Sunset	—	83	62
Karat Karat	—	—	—
Deep Dive	—	—	—
Humankind	—	74	52
Malka	—	85	51
Mappatassie	—	92	—
Avon Light	—	71	51
Looklikewemadeit	—	—	—
Kalama Sunrise	—	42	—
Caramay	—	48	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Its Marvellous	16d ago	Fit
Maman Joon	30d ago	Fit
Mambo Sunset	31d ago	Fit
Malka	34d ago	Fit
Avon Light	37d ago	Fit
Deep Dive	38d ago	Fit
Red Danielle	44d ago	Fit
Kalama Sunrise	147d ago	Long break
Caramay	175d ago	Long break
Sweet Memories	231d ago	Long break
Humankind	246d ago	Long break
Mappatassie	292d ago	Long break
Karat Karat	—	—
Looklikewemadeit	—	—