R & M Electrical EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

15:00

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (3)	Warm Spell Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	133	—	2	-	86	78	40d	—	—	-27	21.4	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Promising second at Goodwood and should progress; the pick of the runners with experience
3 (8)	Blue Collar Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	7	-	79	49	14d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
May do better with Sandown debut experience under his belt
9 (2)	Thyer Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	8 13%
Gleneagles colt; from a good female line; trainer won this contest last year; respected
2 (10)	Bjorn Ironside Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	6	-	59	35	57d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Hindered by a tardy start at Haydock two months ago; form boosted since; may well improve
1 (4)	Allegorical Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Study Of Man half-brother to three winners; in good hands; one to consider
4 (9)	Double Jump Grey J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	133	—	65	-	78	60	36d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Handicaps may prove his ideal scene shortly but this step up to 7f looks beneficial
6 (5)	Mai Dubai Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
£200,000 yearling; by Frankel out of a 7f winner; looks an interesting debutant
5 (7)	Grand Karat Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Gleneagles half-brother to three winners; yard won this race in 2018; possibilities
7 (1)	Maxim De Winter Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Jonathan Portman	J:Charles Bishop T:Jonathan Portman	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
65,000gns yearling; by Galileo out of this stable's useful 2yo 5f winner Mrs Danvers
8 (6)	Skukuza Bay J:Neil Callan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Neil Callan T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Blue Point colt; yard is operating at a low strike-rate with 2yos this term

Horse	bet365	Coral
Warm Spell	4/5	4/5
Blue Collar	11/2	13/2
Thyer	8	8
Bjorn Ironside	8	17/2
Allegorical	12	12
Double Jump	14	11
Mai Dubai	16	16
Grand Karat	25	33
Maxim De Winter	33	40
Skukuza	66	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Warm Spell

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.4

4/5

2nd

Blue Collar

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Thyer

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Bjorn Ironside

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Allegorical

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Double Jump

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Mai Dubai

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Grand Karat

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Maxim De Winter

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Skukuza

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Warm Spell	—	86	78
Blue Collar	—	79	49
Thyer	—	—	—
Bjorn Ironside	—	59	35
Allegorical	—	—	—
Double Jump	—	78	60
Mai Dubai	—	—	—
Grand Karat	—	—	—
Maxim De Winter	—	—	—
Skukuza	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue Collar	14d ago	Fit
Double Jump	36d ago	Fit
Warm Spell	40d ago	Fit
Bjorn Ironside	57d ago	Fresh
Thyer	—	—
Allegorical	—	—
Mai Dubai	—	—
Grand Karat	—	—
Maxim De Winter	—	—
Skukuza	—	—