Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

13:45

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-06-18

Distance 2m5f60y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Mister Twist Bay J:Niall Moore(4) T:Philip Fenton	J:Niall Moore(4) T:Philip Fenton	158	b	422-43	107	125	96	30d	—	—	-7	23.6	0.25/1	2 50%
Nearest at the finish over 2m3f here last time; big player with the trip in his favour
NR	High City Roller Bay J:TBC T:Liz Doyle	J: T:Liz Doyle	166	—	4233-2	116	118	97	18d	—	—	+6	28.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Tough task giving weight all round here but has the rating to do it and should go close
6	El Champo Bay J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	158	—	6F2-52	-	108	89	14d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Probably capable of better than Kilbeggan but needs to improve a bit to have a chance here
10	Jadore Chas Chestnut J:Liam Quinlan(2) T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	J:Liam Quinlan(2) T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	152	—	4-4	-	112	58	16d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Good Down Royal run; going the right way and has an each-way chance as an unexposed horse
12	Glendars Mahler Brown J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:James Andrew Fahey	151	—	6363-9	-	124	82	23d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Probably needed her comeback effort at Limerick last month; should do better here
9	Nevermindestranger Bay J:Ben Harvey T:D M Christie	J:Ben Harvey T:D M Christie	158	—	231-U8	-	107	25	8d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Showed ability at Punchestown; capable of improvement and could outrun his likely odds
3	Alvarez Eclipse Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:Declan Queally	J:Mike O'Connor T:Declan Queally	158	—	3-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+2	16.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Point winner; potentially interesting runner from this stable and worth a market check
2	Alkajack Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:S R B Crawford	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:S R B Crawford	158	p	P4-P05	-	105	51	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Cheekpieces replace the visor; going the right way and the rider booking is attractive
13	Shesdoenwell Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(4) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Kieran Callaghan(4) T:Thomas Gibney	151	—	5/9U7-	-	91	41	106d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Distant fourth on debut was promising but has shown very little in four subsequent starts
5	Drumcliff Bay Bay J:Daniel King T:Mark Michael Mcniff	J:Daniel King T:Mark Michael Mcniff	158	—	/FF44-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Modest ability in two completed points; best watched here
4	Billy Hyatt Bay J:Ben Bromley(2) T:S R B Crawford	J:Ben Bromley(2) T:S R B Crawford	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Stamina-laden pedigree; likely to improve plenty for this but worth watching
11	Dylans Day Bay J:Cian Cullinan(4) T:P G Fahey	J:Cian Cullinan(4) T:P G Fahey	151	b	U6P-34	100	124	75	16d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Blinkers tried here but a repeat of either of her last two runs gives her a chance
7	Lucky Two Bay J:E Walsh T:Thomas Gibney	J:E Walsh T:Thomas Gibney	158	—	7UP-9	-	76	58	15d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Well beaten on one completed start over hurdles at Tramore two weeks ago; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	Coral
Mister Twist	2	2
High City Roller	11/4	5/2
El Champo	12	9
Jadore Chas	11	17/2
Glendars Mahler	8	10
Nevermindestranger	16	18
Alvarez Eclipse	9/2	5
Alkajack	14	16
Shesdoenwell	25	25
Drumcliff Bay	40	40
Billy Hyatt	25	16
Dylans Day	4	7/2
Lucky Two	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

High City Roller

28.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Mister Twist

23.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

3rd

Dylans Day

17.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Alvarez Eclipse

16.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

9/2

El Champo

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Jadore Chas

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Glendars Mahler

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Nevermindestranger

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Alkajack

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Billy Hyatt

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Shesdoenwell

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Drumcliff Bay

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lucky Two

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
High City Roller	116	118	97
Mister Twist	107	125	96
Dylans Day	100	124	75
El Champo	—	108	89
Jadore Chas	—	112	58
Glendars Mahler	—	124	82
Nevermindestranger	—	107	25
Alvarez Eclipse	—	—	—
Alkajack	—	105	51
Shesdoenwell	—	91	41
Drumcliff Bay	—	—	—
Billy Hyatt	—	—	—
Lucky Two	—	76	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nevermindestranger	8d ago	Quick return
El Champo	14d ago	Fit
Lucky Two	15d ago	Fit
Jadore Chas	16d ago	Fit
Alkajack	16d ago	Fit
Dylans Day	16d ago	Fit
High City Roller	18d ago	Fit
Glendars Mahler	23d ago	Fit
Mister Twist	30d ago	Fit
Shesdoenwell	106d ago	Long break
Alvarez Eclipse	—	—
Drumcliff Bay	—	—
Billy Hyatt	—	—