Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

14:05

Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £12,885

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Acotango Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	136	—	5241-2	86	96	71	21d	—	—	-4	22	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Runner-up on reappearance at Haydock when finishing between two next-time-out winners
10 (3)	Totnes Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	126	—	8-151	76	95	-	16d	—	—	-6	11.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Did well to win Lingfield AW handicap last time and she can continue to improve
5 (1)	Gulmarg Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	134	—	253-33	84	96	85	31d	—	—	-1	12.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
More exposed than today's opponents but he was a good third of 15 over C&D last time
8 (8)	Good Gracious Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	130	t	4231-	80	94	64	207d	—	—	+16	24.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Improved with each of her four 2yo starts and can continue to progress for her top trainer
9 (2)	Ceanna Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	129	h	961-	79	93	-	151d	—	—	+11	19.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won 7f AW novice last December and could prove to be better than her opening mark
7 (9)	Shes Hot Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	132	t	2121-5	82	92	66	18d	—	—	+3	9.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
The drop back in trip could help but she's fairly exposed and may be vulnerable once more
3 (10)	Chelsea Green Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	136	—	6127-	86	87	76	203d	—	—	+13	19.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Solid C&D novice form last September and brings potential to this handicap/seasonal debut
4 (11)	Just Bring It Chestnut J:Adam Kirby T:Clive Cox	J:Adam Kirby T:Clive Cox	135	—	553-17	85	93	30	45d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won AW handicap in March and perhaps soft ground didn't suit at Nottingham last time
6 (5)	Burdett Road Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Michael Bell	133	—	22-416	83	95	70	31d	—	—	+4	10	2.75/1	12 8%
Fair sixth of 15 over C&D on handicap debut but needs to better that form this afternoon
11 (4)	Yellow Lion Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	119	—	0-534	69	94	73	16d	—	—	+2	6	5.25/1	22 5%
Showed promise here on 3rd of his 4 starts but not obviously well treated for h'cap debut
1 (7)	True Statesman b/br J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Johnston	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	11003-	87	95	72	234d	—	—	+15	18.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Underwhelming end to last season but could get back on track following break/gelding op

Horse	bet365	Coral
Acotango	11/4	5/2
Totnes	4	4
Gulmarg	11/2	11/2
Good Gracious	9	9
Ceanna	10/1	10/1
Shes Hot	12	14/1
Chelsea Green	14	14
Just Bring It	12	14/1
Burdett Road	12	12
Yellow Lion	22	22
True Statesman	25	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Good Gracious

24.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Acotango

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Ceanna

19.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Chelsea Green

19.1

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

True Statesman

18.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Gulmarg

12.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Totnes

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Just Bring It

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Burdett Road

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Shes Hot

9.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Yellow Lion

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
True Statesman	87	95	72
Acotango	86	96	71
Chelsea Green	86	87	76
Just Bring It	85	93	30
Gulmarg	84	96	85
Burdett Road	83	95	70
Shes Hot	82	92	66
Good Gracious	80	94	64
Ceanna	79	93	—
Totnes	76	95	—
Yellow Lion	69	94	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Totnes	16d ago	Fit
Yellow Lion	16d ago	Fit
Shes Hot	18d ago	Fit
Acotango	21d ago	Fit
Gulmarg	31d ago	Fit
Burdett Road	31d ago	Fit
Just Bring It	45d ago	Fit
Ceanna	151d ago	Long break
Chelsea Green	203d ago	Long break
Good Gracious	207d ago	Long break
True Statesman	234d ago	Long break