Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park Stakes) (Group 3)

Newbury

14:25

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £56,710

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Yibir Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	h	/2231-	119	135	107	317d	—	—	+11	43.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Off since last July; not one to trust implicitly but he again brings clearly the best form
7 (3)	Haskoy Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	125	t	114-	109	126	115	251d	—	—	+7	35.6	0.25/1	2 50%
2nd past post in the St Leger on just third start, little more than six weeks after debut
3 (4)	Israr Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	13310-	106	126	118	196d	—	—	+19	27.9	2.00/1	9 11%
One to consider despite this move out of handicaps and into a Group race
5 (2)	Old Harrovian Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	7-11	94	114	-	40d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.25/1	10 10%
This race demands much improved form but it's hard to pin down just how good he is
4 (6)	Kemari Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	128	p	226-42	109	126	100	77d	—	—	+10	16.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Form player but it's a little disconcerting that he has not won since 2021 Royal Ascot
1 (7)	Bolshoi Ballet Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	69/4-3	110	126	69	28d	—	—	+14	19.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Some smart form in 2021; ran only once last term and also below form on 2023 reappearance
2 (1)	Gaassee Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	t	1/130-	103	119	101	273d	—	—	+15	22.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Gelded since lame in the Ebor (favourite) last August; needs to resume improvement

Horse	bet365	Coral
Yibir	15/8	7/4
Haskoy	2	2
Israr	9	9
Old Harrovian	10	9
Kemari	12	12
Bolshoi Ballet	16	12
Gaassee	12	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yibir

43.4

OR: 17.3 Form: 16.1 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Haskoy

35.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 12 Odds: 8.9

3rd

Israr

27.9

OR: 14 Form: 11.4 Odds: 2.5

Gaassee

22.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Bolshoi Ballet

19.6

OR: 15 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Kemari

16.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Old Harrovian

13.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yibir	119	135	107
Bolshoi Ballet	110	126	69
Haskoy	109	126	115
Kemari	109	126	100
Israr	106	126	118
Gaassee	103	119	101
Old Harrovian	94	114	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bolshoi Ballet	28d ago	Fit
Old Harrovian	40d ago	Fit
Kemari	77d ago	Fresh
Israr	196d ago	Long break
Haskoy	251d ago	Long break
Gaassee	273d ago	Long break
Yibir	317d ago	Long break