Stuart Hancock A1 Garden Buildings Ltd Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

19:50

Stuart Hancock A1 Garden Buildings Ltd Handicap

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,653

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (9)	Little Muddy Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	125	—	63-121	75	97	85	12d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has returned in fine form this spring and has leading claims despite going up the weights
16 (16)	As If By Chance Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Barry McHugh T:Nigel Tinkler	120	—	0-3549	70	98	74	14d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Blip at Thirsk last time but running well previously and not ruled out
17 (10)	Libra Tiger Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Ed Walker	J:Joe Fanning T:Ed Walker	119	—	158572	69	98	85	21d	—	—	0	13.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back to form when second of 16 at Haydock and he's a key player if again on a going day
3 (1)	Live In The Moment Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	p	4830-0	84	98	77	20d	—	—	+1	11.4	1.75/1	8 13%
Well beaten on stable debut but cheekpieces return and he's dropped to a dangerous mark
1 (17)	Faro De San Juan Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	136	tb	052-30	86	95	63	29d	—	—	-3	14	0.75/1	4 25%
Disappointing last time but the reapplied blinkers had a positive impact in France
8 (4)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	262163	79	100	-	15d	—	—	+11	19	2.00/1	9 11%
Best form has come over 7f plus but this big-field scenario can play to his strengths
5 (13)	The Green Man Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	132	p	516693	82	98	71	19d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Today's return to better ground could trigger a revival; no surprise to see a big run
7 (6)	True Mason Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	129	—	170-00	79	94	48	14d	—	—	+4	8.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Won twice over C&D (good) last summer and not ruled out now back on better ground
15 (5)	Ernest Rutherford Bay J:P J McDonald T:Tim Easterby	J:P J McDonald T:Tim Easterby	122	t	/78-85	72	97	77	17d	—	—	+2	6.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Step back in right direction at Pontefract this month but needs to take another here
2 (15)	Pearle Dor Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	136	—	1/300-	86	92	39	252d	—	—	+13	17.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Lightly raced 4yo whose new trainer does well with recruits from other yards; check market
10 (2)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	127	p	8433-0	77	98	88	14d	—	—	+4	7.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Highly likely he needed his comeback run and now below last winning mark; not discounted
NR (7)	Prince Of Bel Lir Bay J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	127	p	-56009	77	98	-	1d	—	—	-4	11.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Won this race last year but well beaten last three outings, latest at Newmarket yesterday
14 (11)	Exigency Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	124	p	6-6007	74	72	25	48d	—	—	+4	6.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Has struggled to get competitive in Britain and the cheekpieces need to make a difference
12 (14)	May Blossom Bay J:Richard Oliver T:David Omeara	J:Richard Oliver T:David Omeara	127	—	515-65	77	99	53	8d	—	—	+5	7.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Runs off last winning mark but would be of greater interest in the visor and at 5f
6 (12)	Mighty Power Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	129	—	135167	79	98	24	47d	—	—	+10	13.7	8.00/1	33 3%
A strongly run 6f could prove ideal and he's a possible now back down in distance
9 (8)	Obtain Bay J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Amy Murphy	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Amy Murphy	128	tp	4318-8	78	98	70	129d	—	—	+5	7.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Returns from a break having had wind op but wasn't at her best on her last two starts
4 (3)	Roundhay Park Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	38-917	82	95	65	10d	—	—	+5	9.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Took this in 2021 and won at Catterick two starts ago; not ruled out

Horse	bet365	Coral
Little Muddy	13/2	6
As If By Chance	9	17/2
Libra Tiger	5	11/2
Live In The Moment	13/2	8
Faro De San Juan	4	4
Streak Lightning	9	9
The Green Man	15/2	7
True Mason	20	18
Ernest Rutherford	16	18
Pearle Dor	25	18
Show Me Show Me	33	25
Prince Of Bel Lir	40	33
Exigency	33	25
May Blossom	25	25
Mighty Power	33	28
Obtain	33	33
Roundhay Park	25	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Streak Lightning

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2

2nd

Pearle Dor

17.2

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

3rd

The Green Man

16.1

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Faro De San Juan

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Libra Tiger

13.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Mighty Power

13.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.9

Live In The Moment

11.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Prince Of Bel Lir

11.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

Little Muddy

9.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Roundhay Park

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

True Mason

8.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

As If By Chance

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Obtain

7.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Show Me Show Me

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

May Blossom

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Exigency

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ernest Rutherford

6.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Faro De San Juan	86	95	63
Pearle Dor	86	92	39
Live In The Moment	84	98	77
The Green Man	82	98	71
Roundhay Park	82	95	65
Streak Lightning	79	100	—
True Mason	79	94	48
Mighty Power	79	98	24
Obtain	78	98	70
Show Me Show Me	77	98	88
Prince Of Bel Lir	77	98	—
May Blossom	77	99	53
Little Muddy	75	97	85
Exigency	74	72	25
Ernest Rutherford	72	97	77
As If By Chance	70	98	74
Libra Tiger	69	98	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Of Bel Lir	1d ago	Quick return
May Blossom	8d ago	Quick return
Roundhay Park	10d ago	Quick return
Little Muddy	12d ago	Quick return
As If By Chance	14d ago	Fit
True Mason	14d ago	Fit
Show Me Show Me	14d ago	Fit
Streak Lightning	15d ago	Fit
Ernest Rutherford	17d ago	Fit
The Green Man	19d ago	Fit
Live In The Moment	20d ago	Fit
Libra Tiger	21d ago	Fit
Faro De San Juan	29d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	47d ago	Fresh
Exigency	48d ago	Fresh
Obtain	129d ago	Long break
Pearle Dor	252d ago	Long break