Bruce Stevenson Insurance Brokers Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kelso

14:50

Date 2023-05-10

Distance 2m4f189y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Ballyporeen Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	167	—	34511-	119	125	108	23d	—	—	-6	54.9	0.11/1	4/9 69%
2-2 since joining Donald McCain, latest win here; good chance even with double penalty
4	Harper Valley Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Sean Quinlan T:Rebecca Menzies	155	—	F53-	-	117	89	16d	—	—	-14	9.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Third at Hexham last time; should be suited by this longer distance; respected
8	Kopa Kilana Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(7) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(7) T:Maurice Barnes	155	t	148/5-	95	109	84	23d	—	—	+8	12.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Finished behind Ballyporeen here last month but has frame possibilities
7	Jimmys Jet Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	155	—	UP/8F-	-	-	-	47d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Mid-race faller on hurdles debut; has possibilities if back to form of bumper win
9	Why Not Dream Bay J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Rose Dobbin	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Rose Dobbin	148	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
4,500euros foal; related to Flat/jumps winners; market helpful on debut
3	Franz Josef Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	155	t	245/0-	-	99	70	200d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
May do better over this new trip on second attempt over hurdles
NR	Ivynator Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jean Mcgregor	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jean Mcgregor	155	—	4/P55-	82	94	-	238d	—	—	-6	13.8	37.25/1	150 1%
Has achieved little for current stable
10	Brasingaman Bella Bay J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Jedd Okeeffe	142	—	5056-	-	93	63	25d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Poor RPRs in four runs
2	Bilboa River Bay J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah Mcmahon	J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah Mcmahon	155	—	5R7/2-	74	66	18	26d	—	—	+10	11.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Distant second of two finishers last month on stable debut; weak claims
5	Heeztheboy Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Pauline Robson	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Pauline Robson	155	—	096-	-	79	39	57d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Holds weak claims on his form at about 2m

Horse	bet365	Coral
Ballyporeen	4/9	2/5
Harper Valley	5/2	5/2
Kopa Kilana	16	16
Jimmys Jet	20	18
Why Not Dream	20	20
Franz Josef	40	28
Ivynator	150	SP
Brasingaman Bella	100	66
Bilboa River	200	66
Heeztheboy	200	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballyporeen

54.9

OR: 17.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Ivynator

13.8

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.8

150

3rd

Kopa Kilana

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bilboa River

11.4

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

200

Harper Valley

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.3 Odds: 6.9

5/2

Jimmys Jet

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Why Not Dream

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Franz Josef

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Brasingaman Bella

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Heeztheboy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ballyporeen	119	125	108
Kopa Kilana	95	109	84
Ivynator	82	94	—
Bilboa River	74	66	18
Harper Valley	—	117	89
Jimmys Jet	—	—	—
Why Not Dream	—	—	—
Franz Josef	—	99	70
Brasingaman Bella	—	93	63
Heeztheboy	—	79	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harper Valley	16d ago	Fit
Ballyporeen	23d ago	Fit
Kopa Kilana	23d ago	Fit
Brasingaman Bella	25d ago	Fit
Bilboa River	26d ago	Fit
Jimmys Jet	47d ago	Fresh
Heeztheboy	57d ago	Fresh
Franz Josef	200d ago	Long break
Ivynator	238d ago	Long break
Why Not Dream	—	—