Dragonbet Backing Welsh Sport Handicap Chase – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

17:15

Dragonbet Backing Welsh Sport Handicap Chase

Date 2023-05-09

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,859

Winning Time 4m 7.74s (slow by 19.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	You Say Nothing (IRE) Jack Tudor · Christian Williams	11/2	Won
2nd	Chestnut Pete (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Sophie Leech	18/1	2.25
3rd	Feel The Pinch (GB) Mitchell Bastyan · Robbie Llewellyn	4/1F	2.5
4th	Billingsley (IRE) Jay Tidball · Alastair Ralph	15/2	14
5th	Lermoos Legend (GB) Sean Bowen · Peter Bowen	14/1	7.5
6th	Fortunate Fred (FR) Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	7/1	7
7th	Holerday Ridge (IRE) Sean Houlihan · Claire Hitch	9/2	0.3
8th	Henry Box Brown (IRE) Adam Wedge · Evan Williams	6/1	12

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Madiba Passion (FR) Tom Bellamy · Alan King	15/2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Tarahumara Bay J:TBC T:Emma Lavelle	J: T:Emma Lavelle	166	—	21/5-	108	106	45	87d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Just three starts, not jumping with fluency on chase debut last time; has had a win op
11	Henry Box Brown Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	153	—	71776-	95	-	-	16d	—	—	+2	19.3	1.00/1	5 20%
1-13 over hurdles and now makes his chase debut; half-brother to a winning pointer
6	Madiba Passion Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	163	h	5/P22-	105	120	107	17d	—	—	+2	18.8	0.75/1	4 25%
Runner-up the last twice; up another 2lb but a contender nonetheless
2	Feel The Pinch Bay J:Mitchell Bastyan T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Mitchell Bastyan T:Robbie Llewellyn	168	t	6F13U-	110	117	99	17d	—	—	+9	24.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed over fences; in with a chance last time when unseating his rider at the last
9	Fortunate Fred Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	161	t	5/323-	103	-	-	264d	—	—	+1	18.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Makes his chase debut after nine months off; worth a market check
3	You Say Nothing Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	166	—	2/515-	108	117	103	31d	—	—	+10	21.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won at Market Rasen in March and latest heavy defeat was in a much better race
10	Holerday Ridge Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Claire Hitch	J:Sean Houlihan T:Claire Hitch	154	ht	3UP3P-	96	115	104	42d	—	—	+4	14.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Fair third on chase debut here in March; could go well if coping with the shorter trip
7	Billingsley Bay J:Jay Tidball(7) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(7) T:Alastair Ralph	163	p	332P1-	105	115	86	24d	—	—	+21	28.9	2.25/1	10 10%
May have been fortunate last time, but the return to this trip is in his favour
1	Lermoos Legend Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	170	p	434P5-	112	118	102	161d	—	—	+9	17.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Has no great record fresh, so this first start in 161 days is likely to be needed
NR	Shaws Cross Bay J:TBC T:Paul Henderson	J: T:Paul Henderson	142	—	14425-	84	117	106	31d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Just 1lb above last winning mark and should appreciate the return to fences
5	Chestnut Pete Chestnut J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sophie Leech	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sophie Leech	163	t	37P2U-	105	113	101	23d	—	—	+12	16.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Still unexposed over fences, but is 0-15 under rules
NR	Tiger Voice Bay J:TBC T:Bernard Llewellyn	J: T:Bernard Llewellyn	161	tp	945P6-	103	102	43	24d	—	—	+10	14.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Plummeting down the weights, but makes no appeal for now

Horse	bet365	Coral
Tarahumara	5	9/2
Henry Box Brown	5	4
Madiba Passion	4	4
Feel The Pinch	11/2	9/2
Fortunate Fred	11/2	9/2
You Say Nothing	13/2	6
Holerday Ridge	17/2	8
Billingsley	17/2	10
Lermoos Legend	8	12
Shaws Cross	8	8
Chestnut Pete	22	18
Tiger Voice	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billingsley

28.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.2

2nd

Feel The Pinch

24.6

OR: 15 Form: 5.2 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

You Say Nothing

21.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Henry Box Brown

19.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

Madiba Passion

18.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Tarahumara

18.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Fortunate Fred

18.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Lermoos Legend

17.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Shaws Cross

17.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.8

Chestnut Pete

16.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.2

Tiger Voice

14.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Holerday Ridge

14.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lermoos Legend	112	118	102
Feel The Pinch	110	117	99
Tarahumara	108	106	45
You Say Nothing	108	117	103
Madiba Passion	105	120	107
Billingsley	105	115	86
Chestnut Pete	105	113	101
Fortunate Fred	103	—	—
Tiger Voice	103	102	43
Holerday Ridge	96	115	104
Henry Box Brown	95	—	—
Shaws Cross	84	117	106

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Henry Box Brown	16d ago	Fit
Madiba Passion	17d ago	Fit
Feel The Pinch	17d ago	Fit
Chestnut Pete	23d ago	Fit
Billingsley	24d ago	Fit
Tiger Voice	24d ago	Fit
You Say Nothing	31d ago	Fit
Shaws Cross	31d ago	Fit
Holerday Ridge	42d ago	Fit
Tarahumara	87d ago	Fresh
Lermoos Legend	161d ago	Long break
Fortunate Fred	264d ago	Long break