Wise Betting At Racing TV Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

17:50

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Fresh Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Tudhope T:James Fanshawe	135	t	91100-	103	114	-	177d	—	—	+11	25.3	1.00/1	5 20%
Very smart on his day, winning two big-field 7f handicaps at Ascot last year; C&D winner
2 (2)	Silver Samurai Grey J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	131	—	07363-	99	116	-	184d	—	—	+8	20.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Didn't build on his Haydock win last May but ended 2022 in fair form; career-high mark
3 (7)	Prop Forward Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Clive Cox	130	h	18/13-	98	118	89	251d	—	—	+2	16	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unexposed 5yo; not seen to best effect here 251 days ago; still capable of better; chance
10 (11)	Ingra Tor Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Jack Channon	J:Ben Curtis T:Jack Channon	120	—	0233-4	88	117	72	30d	—	—	+2	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Had some good turf form last year; effective over C&D; promising return; contender
9 (6)	Dig Two Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Ollie Sangster	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ollie Sangster	121	b	50045-	89	113	89	187d	—	—	+3	12.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Interesting on best form for H Palmer; sold 30,000gns since latest; Oisin Murphy booked
7 (8)	Kiwano Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	126	—	4-1513	94	114	94	16d	—	—	+5	13.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner in Jan and added 5f h'cap at Lingfield last month; looked a tricky ride latest
6 (3)	Fernando Rah Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	127	—	/240-2	95	114	80	58d	—	—	+9	18.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Low mileage for a 5yo but very useful on his day; promising return in Feb (5f); yard run 2
4 (10)	Blackrod Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	129	p	/1706-	97	118	-	218d	—	—	+10	16.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Ended 2022 with a whimper but starts out for new yard off a handy mark; Polytrack debut
5 (9)	Dubai Station Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	127	t	53-517	95	116	80	12d	—	—	+8	12.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Looked good at Wolverhampton last month; latest 7f run here easy to forgive; contender
8 (12)	Badri Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ruth Carr	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ruth Carr	125	—	64-114	93	114	85	16d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Two 5f wins at Newcastle this year; still looked in form latest; wide draw but feared
12 (1)	Royal Parade Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	117	—	999-39	85	116	101	16d	—	—	+6	9.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Promising stable debut but less good last time and he's up in class today
11 (4)	Navello Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Boughey	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Boughey	118	—	5758-5	86	114	82	16d	—	—	+6	10	6.00/1	25 4%
Exposed but should be sharper for his return and on handy mark; others are more appealing

Horse	bet365	Coral
Fresh	5	5
Silver Samurai	6	6
Prop Forward	5	9/2
Ingra Tor	17/2	8
Dig Two	15/2	17/2
Kiwano	17/2	8
Fernando Rah	17/2	7
Blackrod	12	12
Dubai Station	16	14
Badri	16	16
Royal Parade	25	20
Navello	25	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fresh

25.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 8 Odds: 4

2nd

Silver Samurai

20.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

3rd

Fernando Rah

18.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Blackrod

16.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Prop Forward

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Kiwano

13.5

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Dubai Station

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ingra Tor

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Badri

12.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Dig Two

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Navello

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Royal Parade

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fresh	103	114	—
Silver Samurai	99	116	—
Prop Forward	98	118	89
Blackrod	97	118	—
Fernando Rah	95	114	80
Dubai Station	95	116	80
Kiwano	94	114	94
Badri	93	114	85
Dig Two	89	113	89
Ingra Tor	88	117	72
Navello	86	114	82
Royal Parade	85	116	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dubai Station	12d ago	Quick return
Kiwano	16d ago	Fit
Badri	16d ago	Fit
Royal Parade	16d ago	Fit
Navello	16d ago	Fit
Ingra Tor	30d ago	Fit
Fernando Rah	58d ago	Fresh
Fresh	177d ago	Long break
Silver Samurai	184d ago	Long break
Dig Two	187d ago	Long break
Blackrod	218d ago	Long break
Prop Forward	251d ago	Long break