Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:30

Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap

Date 2026-01-06

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 58.46s (slow by 1.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Popular Dream (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	5/2	Won
2nd	Castan (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	9/4F	1
3rd	Brazilian Belle (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Dods	6/1	1.5
4th	Thankuappreciate (GB) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	7/1	.5
5th	Mersea (FR) Darragh Keenan · Grant Tuer	33/1	.5
6th	Havechatma (GB) Luke Morris · Dean Ivory	12/1	2.5
7th	Winchurch (IRE) Robert Havlin · Michael Appleby	16/1	.5
8th	Insuspense (GB) P J McDonald · Oliver Cole	11/1	0.2
9th	Glory Fighter (GB) Mark Winn · Paul Midgley	16/1	.5
10th	Jeans Maite (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	22/1	3.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Castan Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	135	p	64053-	74	86	75	32d	—	—	-9	17	0.56/1	9/4 31%
1-3 over this C&D; now 1lb below his last winning mark; solid contender
8 (3)	Popular Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	124	—	13562-	63	85	75	19d	—	—	-2	16.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three-time C&D winner and second behind a subsequent winner last time; shortlisted
4 (1)	Thankuappreciate Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	130	—	26304-	69	85	68	19d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	10.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner, but finished behind two of these back at this venue 19 days ago
3 (5)	Brazilian Belle Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Dods	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Dods	131	—	83547-	70	83	67	32d	—	—	-2	9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promising fourth on AW debut at Newcastle in November, but took a step backwards next time
7 (7)	Insuspense Bay J:P J McDonald T:Oliver Cole	J:P J McDonald T:Oliver Cole	125	—	34334-	64	82	74	29d	—	—	+2	9.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-7; unexposed compared to her rivals but she may prefer a stiffer test
5 (4)	Havechatma Bay J:Luke Morris T:Dean Ivory	J:Luke Morris T:Dean Ivory	129	b	48190-	68	84	72	25d	—	—	+4	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Five wins here, but not very consistent and is still 6lb above her last winning mark
6 (10)	Winchurch Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	128	—	08608-	67	83	75	19d	—	—	0	6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D winner and 6lb below his last winning mark, but has become disappointing
2 (8)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	133	—	10083-	72	82	59	19d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+7	11.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
10 (6)	Jeans Maite Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	123	—	47851-	62	84	77	224d	—	—	+10	14.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Five-time C&D winner; off since last May but has a good record fresh; not easily dismissed
9 (2)	Mersea Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Grant Tuer	J:Darragh Keenan T:Grant Tuer	124	—	80786-	63	81	67	11d	—	—	+1	4.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
C&D winner; 2lb below last winning mark but not running well enough to take advantage

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Castan	9/4	9/4	9/4
Popular Dream	10/3	10/3	10/3
Thankuappreciate	5/1	11/2	11/2
Brazilian Belle	15/2	15/2	15/2
Insuspense	10/1	9/1	9/1
Havechatma	12/1	11/1	11/1
Winchurch	14/1	12/1	12/1
Glory Fighter	18/1	18/1	18/1
Jeans Maite	22/1	20/1	20/1
Mersea	28/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Castan

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Popular Dream

16.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Jeans Maite

14.1

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Glory Fighter

11.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Havechatma

11.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Thankuappreciate

10.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Insuspense

9.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.2 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Brazilian Belle

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Winchurch

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Mersea

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Castan	74	86	75
Glory Fighter	72	82	59
Brazilian Belle	70	83	67
Thankuappreciate	69	85	68
Havechatma	68	84	72
Winchurch	67	83	75
Insuspense	64	82	74
Popular Dream	63	85	75
Mersea	63	81	67
Jeans Maite	62	84	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mersea	11d ago	Quick return
Popular Dream	19d ago	Fit
Thankuappreciate	19d ago	Fit
Winchurch	19d ago	Fit
Glory Fighter	19d ago	Fit
Havechatma	25d ago	Fit
Insuspense	29d ago	Fit
Castan	32d ago	Fit
Brazilian Belle	32d ago	Fit
Jeans Maite	224d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.