Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-12-16

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Daonethatgotaway Chestnut J:Reese Holohan(7) T:Mark Fahey	J:Reese Holohan(7) T:Mark Fahey	135	tp	309073	65	76	40	27d	—	—	-7	12.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Irish challenger who has done his winning over 1m; drop back to 7f is the question mark
13 (4)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	126	—	733553	56	76	62	3d	—	—	-5	10.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Consistent RPRs at Newcastle of late; remains 6lb below last winning mark; in the mix
1 (10)	Blufferonthebus Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Craig Lidster	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Craig Lidster	135	—	447411	65	80	35	22d	—	—	+12	24.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Came from an unpromising position to get up in the final strides over C&D last time
5 (3)	Carolus Magnus Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	b	910252	64	78	66	3d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-9 on AW but ran well at Wolverhampton on Saturday; possibilities if taking to blinkers
9 (13)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	—	913369	62	78	53	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	10.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has failed to show his form in races won by Blufferonthebus the last twice
2 (6)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Rimell	J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Rimell	135	t	861686	65	77	53	21d	—	—	+1	9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Formerly a 7f specialist but has gained his 2025 wins over 1m at Bath
4 (5)	Wichahpi Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	134	p	250226	64	76	62	18d	—	—	+4	11.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Last couple of 6f efforts suggest this return to 7f is worth exploring; on a handy mark
7 (12)	Front Gunner Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Ann Duffield	J:Tom Eaves T:Ann Duffield	133	—	381731	63	77	57	39d	—	—	+13	20.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Made all in C&D event last time, enhancing his respectable record when able to dominate
8 (9)	Swiss Ace Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	132	—	837654	62	81	63	22d	—	—	0	5.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ties in with Blufferonthebus on latest effort but is on a two-year losing spell
6 (7)	Flowstate Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	134	v	282224	64	75	66	22d	—	—	+7	12.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Consistent form over 6f of late; gives the impression this new trip is worth exploring
14 (8)	Woodrafff Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	122	—	483415	52	75	61	60d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	9.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Absent since running creditably two months ago when bidding for a C&D double
10 (1)	Patontheback Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	132	—	199260	62	74	47	22d	—	—	+3	6.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Inconsistent this year; below form in C&D event won by Blufferonthebus most recently
NR (14)	Cooperation Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	130	h	225467	60	78	72	20d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Generally consistent for current yard until running poorly in last two starts
NR (11)	Rooska Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Grant Tuer	J:NON-RUNNER T:Grant Tuer	127	—	8-4237	57	77	53	39d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Capable of being involved but is still seeking a first success

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Daonethatgotaway	4/1	4/1	4/1
Alpine Sierra	4/1	9/2	9/2
Blufferonthebus	13/2	6/1	6/1
Carolus Magnus	8/1	8/1	8/1
Jkr Cobbler	7/1	15/2	17/2
Thapa Vc	9/1	9/1	9/1
Wichahpi	9/1	17/2	9/1
Front Gunner	11/1	10/1	10/1
Swiss Ace	16/1	14/1	16/1
Flowstate	16/1	16/1	16/1
Woodrafff	20/1	20/1	20/1
Patontheback	40/1	25/1	33/1
Cooperation	-	-	-
Rooska	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blufferonthebus

24.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 17 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Front Gunner

20.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2

11/1

3rd

Carolus Magnus

15.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Daonethatgotaway

12.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Flowstate

12.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Wichahpi

11.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 6 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Alpine Sierra

10.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Jkr Cobbler

10.3

OR: 3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Woodrafff

9.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Thapa Vc

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Patontheback

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Swiss Ace

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.5

16/1

Cooperation

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Rooska

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Daonethatgotaway	65	76	40
Blufferonthebus	65	80	35
Thapa Vc	65	77	53
Carolus Magnus	64	78	66
Wichahpi	64	76	62
Flowstate	64	75	66
Front Gunner	63	77	57
Jkr Cobbler	62	78	53
Swiss Ace	62	81	63
Patontheback	62	74	47
Cooperation	60	78	72
Rooska	57	77	53
Alpine Sierra	56	76	62
Woodrafff	52	75	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alpine Sierra	3d ago	Quick return
Carolus Magnus	3d ago	Quick return
Wichahpi	18d ago	Fit
Cooperation	20d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	21d ago	Fit
Blufferonthebus	22d ago	Fit
Jkr Cobbler	22d ago	Fit
Swiss Ace	22d ago	Fit
Flowstate	22d ago	Fit
Patontheback	22d ago	Fit
Daonethatgotaway	27d ago	Fit
Front Gunner	39d ago	Fit
Rooska	39d ago	Fit
Woodrafff	60d ago	Fresh