Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Date 2025-12-06

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 2m 2.24s (slow by 5.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Archers Bay (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	2/1	Won
2nd	Affettuoso (GB) Cieren Fallon · Roger Varian	5/6F	.75
3rd	Shangri La (GB) Luke Morris · David Simcock	10/1	4.5
4th	Eze Sur Mer (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	17/2	1.25
5th	Manbearpig (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Rebecca Menzies	80/1	.75
6th	Wedonttellthetruth (IRE) Jonny Peate · Mark Loughnane	33/1	2
7th	Joyful Lawyer (USA) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	33/1	2.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Archers Bay Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	133	p	843	88	87	-	47d	—	—	-10	22.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Ex-Aidan O'Brien; sets good standard on stable debut and he's respected in new headgear
1 (3)	Affettuoso Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Roger Varian	J:Cieren Fallon T:Roger Varian	133	—	5	-	62	-	43d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Well-bred colt but was last of five on Doncaster debut in October; needs major improvement
6 (7)	Eze Sur Mer Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Billy Loughnane T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
125,000euros yearling; yard 12% with 2yos on AW this year and market should guide on debut
8 (1)	Shangri La Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	128	—	44	-	82	-	61d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Promising fourth at Sandown but she failed to build on that at Yarmouth in October
3 (5)	Joyful Lawyer Grey J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	133	—	9	-	47	26	9d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Always behind at Newcastle last week and can only be watched after that low-key start
5 (6)	Wedonttellthetruth Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Mark Loughnane	J:Jonny Peate T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
200,000euros yearling; plenty to like on paper and he needs watching in market on debut
4 (2)	Manbearpig Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Oliver Stammers T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	5	-	64	26	10d	—	—	-2	0.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well-held fifth on recent Newcastle debut and he's probably one for further down the line
NR (8)	Koala Rose Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
110,000euros yearling; yard 21% with 2yos this year and she's an interesting newcomer

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Archers Bay	13/8	7/4	13/8
Affettuoso	7/4	7/4	7/4
Eze Sur Mer	11/2	11/2	11/2
Shangri La	6/1	11/2	11/2
Joyful Lawyer	18/1	16/1	18/1
Wedonttellthetruth	33/1	25/1	28/1
Manbearpig	80/1	40/1	50/1
Koala Rose	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Archers Bay

22.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 3 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Affettuoso

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Eze Sur Mer

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Shangri La

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Joyful Lawyer

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Wedonttellthetruth

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Manbearpig

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Koala Rose

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Archers Bay	88	87	—
Affettuoso	—	62	—
Eze Sur Mer	—	—	—
Shangri La	—	82	—
Joyful Lawyer	—	47	26
Wedonttellthetruth	—	—	—
Manbearpig	—	64	26
Koala Rose	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joyful Lawyer	9d ago	Quick return
Manbearpig	10d ago	Quick return
Affettuoso	43d ago	Fit
Archers Bay	47d ago	Fresh
Shangri La	61d ago	Fresh
Eze Sur Mer	—	—
Wedonttellthetruth	—	—
Koala Rose	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 1m1f104y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.