Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-10-23

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 41.56s (slow by 3.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Knickerbocker (FR) Josephine Gordon · Simon & Ed Crisford	8/1	Won
2nd	Optimatum (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	16/1	0.3
3rd	Forest Caper (GB) Paul Mulrennan · David O'Meara	4/1	2.25
4th	Stratocracy (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Kevin Frost	14/1	1
5th	Riyadh Gem (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	3/1J	.75
6th	Saytarr (GB) Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	3/1J	1.5
7th	Alessia Fernanda (IRE) Oisin Orr · Declan Carroll	13/2	3.75
8th	Bajan Bandit (GB) Cam Hardie · Patrick Morris	18/1	2.75
9th	Spec Of Light (GB) P J McDonald · David Loughnane	25/1	.5
10th	Soames Forsyte (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	28/1	1.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Saytarr Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	134	—	321516	73	84	71	15d	—	—	+2	22.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Below par at Nottingham last time but earlier AW form had been progressive; contender
8 (3)	Riyadh Gem Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	b	347025	71	82	77	38d	—	—	-6	14.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
C&D winner; not far off his best on last two starts; prominent racer; new headgear today
2 (2)	Forest Caper Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:David O'Meara	J:Paul Mulrennan T:David O'Meara	137	—	344376	73	82	-	17d	—	—	-3	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Eight-race maiden but has shown promise at up to 1m2f; bred to handle AW well
3 (4)	Alessia Fernanda Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Declan Carroll	J:Oisin Orr T:Declan Carroll	136	t	603984	72	81	53	20d	—	—	-2	9.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Inconsistent but latest C&D fourth came in a higher grade; not ruled out
7 (1)	Knickerbocker Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Josephine Gordon T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	9-202	72	83	57	35d	—	—	0	7.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Collared close home by Saytarr on handicap debut (1m) five weeks ago; should go well again
5 (9)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Patrick Morris	J:Cam Hardie T:Patrick Morris	134	—	404689	70	86	64	19d	—	—	-1	7.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Poor run at Wolverhampton latest (after a wind op); return to Southwell could help matters
1 (6)	Stratocracy Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	137	p	212955	73	77	51	19d	—	—	+4	11.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D winner; chance on this year's best; contender with Rossa Ryan back on board
10 (8)	Optimatum Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	p	813257	69	81	52	38d	—	—	+7	11.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Had an excuse last time but he hasn't looked wildly in front of the handicapper
9 (7)	Spec Of Light Bay J:P J McDonald T:David Loughnane	J:P J McDonald T:David Loughnane	131	—	-72179	70	78	66	8d	—	—	+9	12.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
C&D winner in March; struggled in two turf runs since; needs more despite returning to AW
4 (10)	Soames Forsyte Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	p	338179	71	81	77	21d	—	—	+8	11.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
No impact in two runs since a Nottingham success in July; usually slowly away; opposable

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Saytarr	3/1	3/1	3/1
Riyadh Gem	3/1	11/4	3/1
Forest Caper	9/2	9/2	9/2
Alessia Fernanda	6/1	13/2	6/1
Knickerbocker	9/1	10/1	10/1
Bajan Bandit	14/1	14/1	12/1
Stratocracy	14/1	12/1	12/1
Optimatum	20/1	16/1	18/1
Spec Of Light	22/1	20/1	20/1
Soames Forsyte	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saytarr

22.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 11 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Riyadh Gem

14.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Spec Of Light

12.6

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Soames Forsyte

11.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Stratocracy

11.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Optimatum

11.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.3

20/1

Forest Caper

11.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Alessia Fernanda

9.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Knickerbocker

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Bajan Bandit

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Saytarr	73	84	71
Forest Caper	73	82	—
Stratocracy	73	77	51
Alessia Fernanda	72	81	53
Knickerbocker	72	83	57
Riyadh Gem	71	82	77
Soames Forsyte	71	81	77
Bajan Bandit	70	86	64
Spec Of Light	70	78	66
Optimatum	69	81	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spec Of Light	8d ago	Quick return
Saytarr	15d ago	Fit
Forest Caper	17d ago	Fit
Bajan Bandit	19d ago	Fit
Stratocracy	19d ago	Fit
Alessia Fernanda	20d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	21d ago	Fit
Knickerbocker	35d ago	Fit
Riyadh Gem	38d ago	Fit
Optimatum	38d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Riyadh Gem	Prominent
Soames Forsyte	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.