Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II) – Gowran Park

Gowran Park

16:19

Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)

Date 2025-10-20

Distance 1m75y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Slaney Swagger Brown J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Philip M Byrne	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Philip M Byrne	140	b	332623	58	63	58	11d	—	—	0	15	1.25/1	5/1 17%
0-19 on turf but running well in defeat recently (inc' over C&D on heavy), claims
6 (8)	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:Scott McCullagh T:John Andrew Kinsella	J:Scott McCullagh T:John Andrew Kinsella	136	tp	56558-	54	-	45	—	—	—	-13	6.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Regressive on the Flat last year, off since poor maiden hurdle run in December, watch
3 (11)	Mythical Rock Brown J:Killian Leonard T:P J F Murphy	J:Killian Leonard T:P J F Murphy	139	—	055032	57	68	39	11d	—	—	-1	12.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Maiden, beaten a neck latest, up 1lb, testing ground fine, in the mix again
1 (5)	La Tulipe Noire Bay J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:Aengus King	J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:Aengus King	146	p	404511	64	63	44	7d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+11	24.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Gone up cumulative 16lb for back to back wins, handles testing ground, go well again
9 (12)	Rock Etoile Bay J:Adam Browne-Souza(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Adam Browne-Souza(7) T:Andrew Slattery	134	—	860945	52	65	42	11d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Dual C&D winner, on last winning mark, positive signs last twice, could go well
12 (13)	Blackjack Hills Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:Matthew J Smith	J:Robbie Colgan T:Matthew J Smith	129	b	069900	50	66	41	45d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yet to show winning potential in handicaps, blinkers need to spark something
15 (9)	Lady Delila Bay J:N G McCullagh T:C P Donoghue	J:N G McCullagh T:C P Donoghue	122	—	0-0794	40	63	55	14d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Stayed on well latest, this stiffer test could suit, go close with repeat off same mark
8 (7)	Roderick Bay J:Adam Grant(10) T:P Sweeney	J:Adam Grant(10) T:P Sweeney	135	tp	225150	53	63	52	44d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
1m win off 5lb lower at Naas in July, below par twice since over further, needs to rebound
5 (15)	Aingeal Dorcha Grey J:Jimmy Dalton(10) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Jimmy Dalton(10) T:Andrew Slattery	137	—	5/7000	55	48	36	8d	—	—	-3	2.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Course winner, no show in four runs since mammoth layoff, others appeal more
4 (1)	Lust Bay J:Sean Bird(7) T:Conor David Maxwell	J:Sean Bird(7) T:Conor David Maxwell	138	tp	80-805	56	57	34	7d	—	—	-3	3.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Listed winner in pomp, no show in three runs for this yard, slow away last twice, risky
16 (10)	Lisabetta Bay J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Timothy Doyle	122	b	70-060	40	39	29	130d	—	—	-3	1.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
C&D winner on heavy, 6lb wrong but rider claims 7lb, can't discount back here
11 (16)	Super Over Chestnut J:Sean Davis T:C Byrnes	J:Sean Davis T:C Byrnes	130	v	759090	48	50	39	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Four-time AW winner, 0-13 on turf, beaten 7.25l latest, difficult to fancy
13 (2)	My Kurkum Bay J:Neve Bennett(7) T:R K Watson	J:Neve Bennett(7) T:R K Watson	126	—	0-2280	44	67	62	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Long losing run, placed twice in May on good ground, forecast rain may not be ideal
14 (4)	Sporting Aclaim Bay J:Alan Casey(10) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Alan Casey(10) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	123	b	70880	44	65	34	—	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest form on the Flat and over hurdles, often slowly away, may need more time
7 (6)	Navajo River Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Anthony Mullins	J:Ross Coakley T:Anthony Mullins	135	—	046-90	53	37	-	57d	—	—	-1	1.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten in two starts since return from over a year off, hard to fancy
NR (14)	Launch Time Bay J:Eryka Snioch(10) T:Cian Hughes	J:Eryka Snioch(10) T:Cian Hughes	130	—	-40033	51	66	57	12d	—	—	—	5.4	—	—
Improve efforts last twice at 1m2f, drop in trip a plus, testing ground an unknown

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Slaney Swagger	5/1	5/1	9/2
Simpson's Paradox	9/2	9/2	10/3
Mythical Rock	5/1	6/1	5/1
La Tulipe Noire	6/1	6/1	11/2
Rock Etoile	9/1	8/1	15/2
Blackjack Hills	13/2	15/2	7/1
Lady Delila	10/1	9/1	10/1
Roderick	12/1	11/1	11/1
Aingeal Dorcha	16/1	16/1	14/1
Lust	18/1	18/1	14/1
Lisabetta	25/1	20/1	20/1
Super Over	40/1	28/1	33/1
My Kurkum	40/1	33/1	33/1
Sporting Aclaim	66/1	50/1	50/1
Navajo River	66/1	50/1	50/1
Launch Time	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

La Tulipe Noire

24.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 17 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Slaney Swagger

OR: 2 Form: 8.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Mythical Rock

12.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Roderick

8.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Simpson's Paradox

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Launch Time

5.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0

—

Blackjack Hills

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Lust

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Rock Etoile

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Aingeal Dorcha

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Lady Delila

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Navajo River

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Lisabetta

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

25/1

Super Over

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

My Kurkum

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Sporting Aclaim

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
La Tulipe Noire	64	63	44
Slaney Swagger	58	63	58
Mythical Rock	57	68	39
Lust	56	57	34
Aingeal Dorcha	55	48	36
Simpson's Paradox	54	—	45
Roderick	53	63	52
Navajo River	53	37	—
Rock Etoile	52	65	42
Launch Time	51	66	57
Blackjack Hills	50	66	41
Super Over	48	50	39
My Kurkum	44	67	62
Sporting Aclaim	44	65	34
Lady Delila	40	63	55
Lisabetta	40	39	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Tulipe Noire	7d ago	Quick return
Lust	7d ago	Quick return
My Kurkum	7d ago	Quick return
Aingeal Dorcha	8d ago	Quick return
Slaney Swagger	11d ago	Quick return
Mythical Rock	11d ago	Quick return
Rock Etoile	11d ago	Quick return
Super Over	11d ago	Quick return
Launch Time	12d ago	Quick return
Lady Delila	14d ago	Fit
Roderick	44d ago	Fit
Blackjack Hills	45d ago	Fit
Navajo River	57d ago	Fresh
Lisabetta	130d ago	Long break
Simpson's Paradox	—	—
Sporting Aclaim	—	—