Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:20

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-04-04

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Bust A Moon Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Evans	J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Evans	135	—	5684-2	59	72	66	8d	—	—	-20	20.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Just pipped over 6f on last week's stable debut; 3lb well in; key player back at 5f
2 (9)	Auntie Jo Grey J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	—	883-35	59	66	60	22d	—	—	-9	6.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has shown winning potential in minor handicaps of late and she is more appealing than many
6 (3)	Trust Sergei Chestnut J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Gary Hanmer	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Gary Hanmer	125	—	7-093	49	69	57	17d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improved for the switch to handicaps when 3rd at Wolverhampton (6f) last month; unexposed
4 (6)	Monticristo Boy Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	133	t	32413-	57	68	60	139d	—	—	+4	17.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
On the up in AW nurseries in the autumn; still low mileage and he's high on the list
5 (4)	Wee Mary Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	128	—	069-	52	60	31	232d	—	—	-5	2.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Showed speed but ultimately well beaten in 3 runs in Ireland in 2024; stable/h'cap debut
9 (5)	Baby Rover Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	121	p	99-677	45	62	61	35d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Better effort when beaten under 3l here (6f) five weeks ago; more needed but it's possible
3 (1)	Watkins Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Phil McEntee	J:Hector Crouch T:Phil McEntee	134	eb	7-0764	58	60	41	8d	—	—	-1	3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Isn't progressing and beaten 6l when 4th at Chelmsford last week; new trip/accessories
8 (2)	Master Zack Bay J:David Egan T:Martin Dunne	J:David Egan T:Martin Dunne	121	ht	48477-	45	63	55	106d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Unplaced all nine starts but has shown promise at a low level; new accessories combination
7 (7)	Lilchita Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	121	—	6607-9	45	64	30	31d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Little solid form and the drop to 5f isn't enough to tempt
NR (8)	Miss Campanella Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	121	—	87-866	45	58	32	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Poor form in her six starts, including three AW handicaps this year; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bust A Moon	11/8	5/4	6/5
Auntie Jo	4/1	9/2	9/2
Trust Sergei	9/2	9/2	9/2
Monticristo Boy	9/2	5/1	9/2
Wee Mary	11/1	11/1	11/1
Baby Rover	20/1	20/1	22/1
Watkins	25/1	25/1	22/1
Master Zack	66/1	40/1	50/1
Lilchita	100/1	66/1	80/1
Miss Campanella	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bust A Moon

20.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Monticristo Boy

17.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Auntie Jo

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Trust Sergei

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Watkins

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Wee Mary

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Baby Rover

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Master Zack

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Lilchita

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Miss Campanella

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bust A Moon	59	72	66
Auntie Jo	59	66	60
Watkins	58	60	41
Monticristo Boy	57	68	60
Wee Mary	52	60	31
Trust Sergei	49	69	57
Baby Rover	45	62	61
Master Zack	45	63	55
Lilchita	45	64	30
Miss Campanella	45	58	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bust A Moon	8d ago	Quick return
Watkins	8d ago	Quick return
Miss Campanella	10d ago	Quick return
Trust Sergei	17d ago	Fit
Auntie Jo	22d ago	Fit
Lilchita	31d ago	Fit
Baby Rover	35d ago	Fit
Master Zack	106d ago	Long break
Monticristo Boy	139d ago	Long break
Wee Mary	232d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.