Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:15

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-03-15

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £7,956

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Good Banter Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	137	—	211-6	92	98	77	15d	—	—	-17	23.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Poor draw when sixth on handicap debut two weeks ago; should stay 7f; still of interest
7 (6)	Saxonia Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	117	—	454-31	72	97	69	23d	—	—	-6	9.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two good runs at Newcastle last month, winning a weak maiden latest; 3lb rise seems harsh
6 (7)	High On Hope Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	122	p	23259-	77	89	-	205d	—	—	-2	16.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promise on turf as a 2yo; one to consider now switched to AW after a break
3 (4)	Sex On Fire Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	128	—	0514-5	83	93	73	52d	—	—	0	11.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two course wins, including over this trip; not so good in handicaps the last twice
5 (5)	Well Enough Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Darragh Keenan T:Hilal Kobeissi	122	—	41-6	77	93	76	56d	—	—	+3	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
7f maiden win at Wolverhampton in Dec; tailed off next time; revival needed on h'cap debut
4 (3)	Toy Soldier Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	123	p	73126-	78	95	65	189d	—	—	+13	17.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Standout effort came in a small-field heavy-ground event; others look better handicapped
NR (2)	Humam Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	131	—	32-11	86	-	-	36d	—	—	—	9	—	—
2-2 on AW this year, beating a subsequent Listed winner over C&D latest; big player up 6lb

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Good Banter	evn	11/10	Evens
Saxonia	9/2	4/1	4/1
High On Hope	7/2	4/1	4/1
Sex On Fire	8/1	15/2	8/1
Well Enough	16/1	14/1	16/1
Toy Soldier	20/1	16/1	18/1
Humam	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Good Banter

23.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Toy Soldier

17.8

OR: 7 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

High On Hope

16.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Sex On Fire

11.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Saxonia

9.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Humam

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Well Enough

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Good Banter	92	98	77
Humam	86	—	—
Sex On Fire	83	93	73
Toy Soldier	78	95	65
High On Hope	77	89	—
Well Enough	77	93	76
Saxonia	72	97	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Good Banter	15d ago	Fit
Saxonia	23d ago	Fit
Humam	36d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	52d ago	Fresh
Well Enough	56d ago	Fresh
Toy Soldier	189d ago	Long break
High On Hope	205d ago	Long break