Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:00

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-02-14

Distance 2m102y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Mamdoh Bay J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	129	p	044-81	53	66	46	13d	—	—	-13	6.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Recent Wolverhampton winner who has found his level since joining this yard
4 (9)	Rubellite Bay J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	131	—	44-121	51	65	59	14d	—	—	-12	5.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has been running well for a while but she is unraced beyond 1m4f
12 (3)	Leon Trotsky Bay J:Sean Levey T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	J:Sean Levey T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	123	—	673-03	47	68	61	14d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Kept on from off the pace to finish close up behind Rubellite over 1m4f here; stays 1m6f
8 (4)	Lumberjack Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Mark Usher	J:Darragh Keenan T:Mark Usher	126	p	882-33	46	65	29	27d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed in his last three races under forward tactics and has a race of this nature in him
1 (8)	Sophar Sogood Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	135	v	0639-6	55	68	49	16d	—	—	-5	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Last time was particularly disappointing as he has a good record at Kempton; new aids
2 (2)	Mirabello Bay Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Barry Brennan	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Barry Brennan	133	p	155-55	53	67	55	18d	—	—	-6	3.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Hasn't been getting the breaks in his recent races and one to consider
5 (6)	Scylla Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	131	—	446-57	51	62	41	13d	—	—	-5	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
16-1 at Wolverhampton last time and was behind a couple of these
9 (12)	Crystal Guard Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Iain Jardine	J:Robert Havlin T:Iain Jardine	126	v	44748-	46	65	-	127d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Final effort in October wasn't his best but had been running respectably beforehand
7 (7)	Easy Equation Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	129	p	65787-	49	55	44	123d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has never been prolific and has yet to show his true form for current yard
10 (1)	Desejada Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	126	p	080-47	46	66	52	16d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Didn't even get close to proving her stamina for this far last time at Kempton
11 (10)	Angus De Bull Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ryan Potter	J:Cam Hardie T:Ryan Potter	126	t	656/0/	46	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Maiden but ran quite well from well out of the weights over hurdles when last seen
NR (11)	Sophosc Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	133	p	62-563	53	68	66	13d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
On losing run but commands respect after close 3rd over 1m6f at Wolverhampton 13 days ago

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mamdoh	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rubellite	9/2	9/2	9/2
Leon Trotsky	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lumberjack	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sophar Sogood	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mirabello Bay	8/1	8/1	8/1
Scylla	12/1	12/1	12/1
Crystal Guard	18/1	16/1	16/1
Easy Equation	10/1	11/1	10/1
Desejada	33/1	28/1	33/1
Angus De Bull	40/1	33/1	33/1
Sophosc	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mamdoh

6.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Rubellite

5.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Leon Trotsky

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Sophar Sogood

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Lumberjack

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Mirabello Bay

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Easy Equation

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Scylla

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Crystal Guard

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Desejada

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Angus De Bull

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Sophosc

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sophar Sogood	55	68	49
Mamdoh	53	66	46
Mirabello Bay	53	67	55
Sophosc	53	68	66
Rubellite	51	65	59
Scylla	51	62	41
Easy Equation	49	55	44
Leon Trotsky	47	68	61
Lumberjack	46	65	29
Crystal Guard	46	65	—
Desejada	46	66	52
Angus De Bull	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mamdoh	13d ago	Quick return
Scylla	13d ago	Quick return
Sophosc	13d ago	Quick return
Rubellite	14d ago	Fit
Leon Trotsky	14d ago	Fit
Sophar Sogood	16d ago	Fit
Desejada	16d ago	Fit
Mirabello Bay	18d ago	Fit
Lumberjack	27d ago	Fit
Easy Equation	123d ago	Long break
Crystal Guard	127d ago	Long break
Angus De Bull	—	—