Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

13:30

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-02-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Clyde Bay Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	132	—	86648-	52	65	59	55d	—	—	-16	7.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
0-9; one of his best efforts came over C&D but improvement needed on stable debut
1 (1)	Northbound Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	136	—	3656-1	56	65	50	7d	—	—	-2	17.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Made winning return here a week ago; high on list under 4lb penalty
5 (10)	Hawajes Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	130	b	00-231	50	67	48	15d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Dual C&D winner including in a classified event last time; major player back in a handicap
2 (3)	Lumenbourg Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	135	v	1327-7	55	65	57	14d	—	—	-7	4.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Doncaster winner in August; will need to have come on for his Newcastle reappearance
3 (11)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	v	5-6563	55	66	52	10d	—	—	-6	4.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D winner; 4lb below his last winning mark and should be thereabouts
10 (6)	Margot Robbie Bay J:P J McDonald T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:P J McDonald T:Geoff Oldroyd	126	p	036/4-	46	65	-	403d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Some ability in three starts on Tapeta last winter; back from 403 days off; cheekpieces on
7 (7)	Alyara Brown J:Nicola Currie T:Joe Ponting	J:Nicola Currie T:Joe Ponting	128	—	531-44	48	66	41	28d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
3-43 but going well for this stable including a win here in December; frame material
9 (4)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	126	t	2300-5	46	63	31	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Dual winner over 1m here, but just one win from her last 28 starts
8 (9)	Moreginplease Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:John Ryan	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:John Ryan	127	b	83467-	47	65	60	113d	—	—	-3	2.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
1-29; returns from four months off and others are more solid
6 (5)	Prince Elliot Grey Roan J:Luke Morris T:Derek Shaw	J:Luke Morris T:Derek Shaw	130	—	840-	50	55	31	63d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Little in three starts but may show more now handicapping; Luke Morris a positive booking
NR (8)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:TBC T:Mark Usher	J: T:Mark Usher	126	p	0049-6	46	65	47	18d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Just 1-27 and the switch to cheekpieces needs to make a difference

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Clyde Bay	3/1	3/1	3/1
Northbound	3/1	10/3	10/3
Hawajes	5/1	9/2	9/2
Lumenbourg	13/2	13/2	13/2
Spartan Fighter	15/2	8/1	8/1
Margot Robbie	10/1	10/1	10/1
Alyara	14/1	14/1	14/1
Copper Mountain	20/1	20/1	20/1
Moreginplease	20/1	18/1	18/1
Prince Elliot	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sea The Buckthorn	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Northbound

17.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Clyde Bay

7.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Hawajes

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Lumenbourg

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Spartan Fighter

4.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Moreginplease

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Margot Robbie

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Alyara

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Copper Mountain

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Prince Elliot

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Sea The Buckthorn

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Northbound	56	65	50
Lumenbourg	55	65	57
Spartan Fighter	55	66	52
Clyde Bay	52	65	59
Hawajes	50	67	48
Prince Elliot	50	55	31
Alyara	48	66	41
Moreginplease	47	65	60
Margot Robbie	46	65	—
Copper Mountain	46	63	31
Sea The Buckthorn	46	65	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Northbound	7d ago	Quick return
Spartan Fighter	10d ago	Quick return
Lumenbourg	14d ago	Fit
Hawajes	15d ago	Fit
Copper Mountain	18d ago	Fit
Sea The Buckthorn	18d ago	Fit
Alyara	28d ago	Fit
Clyde Bay	55d ago	Fresh
Prince Elliot	63d ago	Fresh
Moreginplease	113d ago	Long break
Margot Robbie	403d ago	Long break