Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2025-01-17

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	McKenna Bay J:George Buckell(3) T:George Boughey	J:George Buckell(3) T:George Boughey	129	t	455-	65	78	60	21d	—	—	-15	11.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Has shown some ability; worth a second look on handicap debut; tongue-tie on
1 (6)	Blue Secret Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	135	—	43450-	71	79	54	34d	—	—	-5	10.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Showed promise in her first three starts, but hasn't built on it since handicapping
9 (1)	Mrbluesky Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	124	p	80329-	60	78	50	18d	—	—	0	10.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Only beaten a neck over C&D last month, but not so good at Wolverhampton ten days later
5 (7)	Tiempo Alegre Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	129	h	3134-5	65	78	59	6d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Running well lately including a win here (7f); latest effort forgivable; shortlisted
10 (8)	Empowered Queen Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	124	p	8454-4	60	78	55	14d	—	—	-4	4.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In the frame in three of her four nurseries; shapes as though worth a go over this trip
4 (4)	Brightandbeautiful Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	129	h	9434-6	65	79	69	14d	—	—	-3	6.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Showed ability prior to a lesser effort last time; pedigree suggests the trip should suit
2 (2)	Everyoneknowsadave Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	134	p	66157-	70	77	65	44d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Made a successful AW debut at Wolverhampton in October, but held since; cheekpieces on
7 (3)	Squires Treaty Bay J:Tom Eaves T:D Donovan	J:Tom Eaves T:D Donovan	128	—	8763-	64	77	51	38d	—	—	0	8.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Third on nursery debut over C&D last month; considered off the same mark
8 (10)	Watkins Bay J:Grace McEntee T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee T:George Boughey	128	t	077-	64	75	-	120d	—	—	-1	5.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well held in three starts on turf; pedigree suggests he should handle AW; tongue-tie on
3 (9)	Mayor Of Maghera Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Phillip Makin	J:Harrison Shaw T:Phillip Makin	134	—	13645-	70	78	58	57d	—	—	+5	9.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Musselburgh winner in August and not beaten far over this C&D last time; considered

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
McKenna	5/2	5/2	5/2
Blue Secret	5/1	9/2	9/2
Mrbluesky	7/1	7/1	7/1
Tiempo Alegre	7/1	13/2	13/2
Empowered Queen	10/1	9/1	10/1
Brightandbeautiful	8/1	11/1	11/1
Everyoneknowsadave	10/1	11/1	11/1
Squires Treaty	11/1	11/1	10/1
Watkins	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mayor Of Maghera	20/1	20/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Everyoneknowsadave

12.1

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

2nd

McKenna

11.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Blue Secret

10.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Mrbluesky

10.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Mayor Of Maghera

9.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Squires Treaty

8.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Tiempo Alegre

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Brightandbeautiful

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Watkins

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Empowered Queen

4.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Secret	71	79	54
Everyoneknowsadave	70	77	65
Mayor Of Maghera	70	78	58
McKenna	65	78	60
Tiempo Alegre	65	78	59
Brightandbeautiful	65	79	69
Squires Treaty	64	77	51
Watkins	64	75	—
Mrbluesky	60	78	50
Empowered Queen	60	78	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tiempo Alegre	6d ago	Quick return
Empowered Queen	14d ago	Fit
Brightandbeautiful	14d ago	Fit
Mrbluesky	18d ago	Fit
McKenna	21d ago	Fit
Blue Secret	34d ago	Fit
Squires Treaty	38d ago	Fit
Everyoneknowsadave	44d ago	Fit
Mayor Of Maghera	57d ago	Fresh
Watkins	120d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.