Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:10

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 40.18s (slow by 2.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lady Of Spain (IRE) James Doyle · Roger Varian	7/4F	Won
2nd	Unassuming (FR) Richard Kingscote · George Boughey	7/2	1
3rd	Eleftheria (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Paul & Oliver Cole	16/1	.5
4th	Climate Action (GB) Sean D Bowen · James Owen	14/1	2.25
5th	Lady Of Arabia (GB) Clifford Lee · Eve Johnson Houghton	15/2	0.3
6th	Race The Wind (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Appleby	11/2	3
7th	Magic Dream (IRE) Dougie Costello · Charlie Appleby	12/1	.5
8th	Nocturnal (IRE) David Egan · James Ferguson	11/1	1

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Lady Of Spain Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	1-1	84	92	55	233d	—	—	+4	35.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Unbeaten in two Wolverhampton novices; off another eight months, but still unexposed
8 (8)	Unassuming Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:George Boughey	J:Richard Kingscote T:George Boughey	128	t	-06115	75	97	80	13d	—	—	+5	23.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won twice over C&D before disappointing at Wolverhampton; could bounce back returned here
1 (6)	Race The Wind Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Appleby	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Appleby	137	—	41-1	86	91	-	283d	—	—	+10	22.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bids for a hat-trick on handicap debut after another 283 days off, but proven fresh
2 (7)	Lady Of Arabia Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Clifford Lee T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	p	536411	83	92	74	33d	—	—	+18	28.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Bids for a hat-trick after two wins at Wolverhampton; up another 4lb, but hard to rule out
7 (2)	Climate Action Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	130	—	-82591	79	93	70	13d	—	—	+13	21	3.50/1	14/1 7%
4lb higher than when off the mark at Wolverhampton last time; may have more to offer
4 (1)	Nocturnal Chestnut J:David Egan T:James Ferguson	J:David Egan T:James Ferguson	135	p	-10688	84	92	59	15d	—	—	+7	11.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Held in warm handicaps on turf since winning an AW novice but this also looks competitive
6 (5)	Eleftheria Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	131	tp	431637	80	91	77	48d	—	—	+9	14.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back off last winning mark but faces some unexposed and progressive types; cheekpieces on
5 (4)	Magic Dream Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	131	—	262	80	90	48	14d	—	—	+11	16.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Runner-up in two of her four starts, but this looks a warm event on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lady Of Spain	7/4	6/4	13/8
Unassuming	7/2	4/1	7/2
Race The Wind	11/2	11/2	11/2
Lady Of Arabia	7/1	15/2	7/1
Climate Action	14/1	11/1	12/1
Nocturnal	16/1	14/1	14/1
Eleftheria	16/1	11/1	14/1
Magic Dream	16/1	12/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Of Spain

35.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 17 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Lady Of Arabia

28.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Unassuming

23.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Race The Wind

22.6

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Climate Action

OR: 7.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Magic Dream

16.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Eleftheria

14.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Nocturnal

11.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Race The Wind	86	91	—
Lady Of Spain	84	92	55
Nocturnal	84	92	59
Lady Of Arabia	83	92	74
Eleftheria	80	91	77
Magic Dream	80	90	48
Climate Action	79	93	70
Unassuming	75	97	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Unassuming	13d ago	Quick return
Climate Action	13d ago	Quick return
Magic Dream	14d ago	Fit
Nocturnal	15d ago	Fit
Lady Of Arabia	33d ago	Fit
Eleftheria	48d ago	Fresh
Lady Of Spain	233d ago	Long break
Race The Wind	283d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.