Hamburg's IDEE 156th German Derby Nursery Handicap

Newmarket

13:42

Date 2024-11-02

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,185

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Charming Fellow Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	116	—	09041	59	86	80	12d	—	—	-12	23.7	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Going the right way; Pontefract win looks solid form for the grade; may well follow up
1 (5)	Modern Utopia Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	135	—	43561	78	88	68	17d	—	—	+7	22.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Helped by step up to 1m when winning easily last time; this even longer trip should suit
2 (4)	Chelsea Embankment Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	134	v	353232	77	83	72	24d	—	—	+6	22	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-7 but proving consistent, second at Nottingham last time; respected in first-time visor
3 (7)	Grecian Legacy Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	132	—	222	75	87	57	38d	—	—	+4	23	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Runner-up three times, best effort on latest start; this extra yardage should be fine
5 (1)	Vilaine Verlaine Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	125	—	65821	68	83	63	23d	—	—	+13	19.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Off the mark in 1m2f nursery at Chelmsford; up 5lb but may not have reached her limit
4 (3)	Something Splendid Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	126	—	062	69	80	-	25d	—	—	+7	10.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Long odds all three runs; now tackles a handicap; not without a chance if staying the trip
NR (2)	Liberatus Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	123	—	614	66	85	68	26d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Disappointing in Yarmouth nursery but had won the time before and could bounce back

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Charming Fellow	11/8	5/4	11/8
Modern Utopia	9/2	9/2	9/2
Chelsea Embankment	4/1	4/1	4/1
Grecian Legacy	4/1	4/1	7/2
Vilaine Verlaine	12/1	12/1	12/1
Something Splendid	20/1	20/1	20/1
Liberatus	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charming Fellow

23.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Grecian Legacy

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Modern Utopia

22.3

OR: 7 Form: 10.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Chelsea Embankment

OR: 6.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 4.7

4/1

Vilaine Verlaine

19.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Liberatus

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Something Splendid

10.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Modern Utopia	78	88	68
Chelsea Embankment	77	83	72
Grecian Legacy	75	87	57
Something Splendid	69	80	—
Vilaine Verlaine	68	83	63
Liberatus	66	85	68
Charming Fellow	59	86	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charming Fellow	12d ago	Quick return
Modern Utopia	17d ago	Fit
Vilaine Verlaine	23d ago	Fit
Chelsea Embankment	24d ago	Fit
Something Splendid	25d ago	Fit
Liberatus	26d ago	Fit
Grecian Legacy	38d ago	Fit