At The Races App Form Study Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C-D) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:20

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Heaven Knows Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Rae Guest	J:Billy Loughnane T:Rae Guest	128	—	03522	71	84	81	11d	—	—	-27	34.7	0.09/1	4/11 73%
Turn looks near, having finished second in two Chelmsford events since switched to AW
7 (2)	Genius Mistake Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	126	—	24	-	77	43	16d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close second over 5f at Beverley, then failed to get home over 6f at Southwell
9 (3)	Sarabi Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
10,000gns 2yo; Siyouni fill who is related to two 2yo winners; check the betting
2 (1)	Elouise's Prince Bay J:Luke Morris T:Robert Cowell	J:Luke Morris T:Robert Cowell	131	—	7	-	63	-	27d	—	—	-5	1.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ran to a modest RPR, having pulled hard, in 5f race at Beverley
6 (7)	Tower Of Africa Brown J:Harry Davies T:Gemma Tutty	J:Harry Davies T:Gemma Tutty	128	—	245388	61	75	44	19d	—	—	+1	5.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has inconsistent form; best efforts when second/third over 6f on turf
4 (4)	Ejuna Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	128	—	6	-	15	-	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Last of six in 6f conditions race on heavy ground; this may suit her better
1 (8)	Summer Rain Bay J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	133	—	05	-	67	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Better effort last time but needs further progress to get off the mark
8 (5)	Keely Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
16,000euros 2yo; siblings include a 2yo/AW winner; market helpful
3 (9)	Bella Fortunata Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	09	-	40	17	27d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Down the field in both outings

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Heaven Knows	4/11	1/3	7/20
Genius Mistake	7/1	15/2	15/2
Sarabi	7/1	13/2	7/1
Elouise's Prince	14/1	18/1	16/1
Tower Of Africa	18/1	22/1	22/1
Ejuna	28/1	16/1	20/1
Summer Rain	40/1	22/1	28/1
Keely	150/1	66/1	100/1
Bella Fortunata	250/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Heaven Knows

34.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 20

4/11

2nd

Genius Mistake

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Tower Of Africa

5.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Sarabi

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Elouise's Prince

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Ejuna

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Summer Rain

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Keely

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Bella Fortunata

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heaven Knows	71	84	81
Tower Of Africa	61	75	44
Genius Mistake	—	77	43
Sarabi	—	—	—
Elouise's Prince	—	63	—
Ejuna	—	15	—
Summer Rain	—	67	—
Keely	—	—	—
Bella Fortunata	—	40	17

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Heaven Knows	11d ago	Quick return
Summer Rain	11d ago	Quick return
Genius Mistake	16d ago	Fit
Ejuna	18d ago	Fit
Tower Of Africa	19d ago	Fit
Elouise's Prince	27d ago	Fit
Bella Fortunata	27d ago	Fit
Sarabi	—	—
Keely	—	—