Golf And Gallop Package Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:35

Golf And Gallop Package Handicap

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Just Ten High Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	134	tp	69511	54	69	39	11d	—	—	-5	28.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Successful in two 7f AW events since handicapping; big player provided he stays 1m
2 (5)	Lzaz Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	137	b	90502	57	71	53	7d	—	—	-10	14	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Clear second off this mark at Kempton last week, showing improvement for blinkers
1 (8)	Inspiring Speeches Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	137	p	523522	57	67	48	21d	—	—	+3	15.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Turn looks near, having finished a close second the last twice; clear possibilities
7 (1)	Northstead Gardens Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	131	—	664274	51	66	61	10d	—	—	-5	5.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has made the frame in last three attempts at about 1m; solid contender
6 (4)	Meade Gold Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Lewis Edmunds T:David & Nicola Barron	132	—	530763	52	67	52	20d	—	—	-2	6.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Possibly capable of winning a race but has seemed to find this trip on sharp side
9 (2)	Penalty Shootout Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	127	—	056508	47	68	58	10d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Was in the process of running okay when hampered late dropped back to 1m last time
10 (11)	Lightning Bay Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	126	—	723508	46	65	52	28d	—	—	-1	3.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two efforts last month don't suggest autumn glory is on the way
3 (9)	Bits And Bobs Bay J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	135	v	263700	55	67	15	14d	—	—	+1	2.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-8 for current stable and has posted two duck eggs since returned to AW
5 (6)	My Clementine Chestnut J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Adrian Wintle	134	p	512564	54	68	43	12d	—	—	+1	5.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Frame possibilities, provided her 7f form is transferred back to this longer trip
8 (3)	Quickfire Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ross Coakley T:Mark Loughnane	130	p	075710	50	64	28	28d	—	—	+5	7.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well beaten back on AW last time; still has something to prove in this sphere
11 (10)	Dors Delight Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	126	—	08-88	46	46	16	24d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Bred to do better but has easily the worst chance on form

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Just Ten High	13/8	13/8	13/8
Lzaz	5/2	9/4	5/2
Inspiring Speeches	7/1	13/2	13/2
Northstead Gardens	17/2	8/1	8/1
Meade Gold	11/1	9/1	9/1
Penalty Shootout	9/1	10/1	10/1
Lightning Bay	40/1	28/1	28/1
Bits And Bobs	50/1	50/1	50/1
My Clementine	50/1	66/1	66/1
Quickfire	80/1	80/1	66/1
Dors Delight	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Just Ten High

28.6

OR: 1 Form: 17 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Inspiring Speeches

15.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 10.4 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Lzaz

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Quickfire

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Meade Gold

6.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

11/1

My Clementine

5.9

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

66/1

Northstead Gardens

5.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Lightning Bay

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Bits And Bobs

2.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Penalty Shootout

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Dors Delight

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lzaz	57	71	53
Inspiring Speeches	57	67	48
Bits And Bobs	55	67	15
Just Ten High	54	69	39
My Clementine	54	68	43
Meade Gold	52	67	52
Northstead Gardens	51	66	61
Quickfire	50	64	28
Penalty Shootout	47	68	58
Lightning Bay	46	65	52
Dors Delight	46	46	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lzaz	7d ago	Quick return
Northstead Gardens	10d ago	Quick return
Penalty Shootout	10d ago	Quick return
Just Ten High	11d ago	Quick return
My Clementine	12d ago	Quick return
Bits And Bobs	14d ago	Fit
Meade Gold	20d ago	Fit
Inspiring Speeches	21d ago	Fit
Dors Delight	24d ago	Fit
Lightning Bay	28d ago	Fit
Quickfire	28d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.