Guinness Maiden Hurdle – Roscommon

Roscommon

13:40

Guinness Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 1m7f135y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €6,195

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	In The Trenches Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	161	p	-23222	109	117	95	31d	—	—	+5	38.3	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Dual-purpose, 0-10 over hurdles and rated 109, second six times, obvious claims
9	Saint Le Fort Bay J:Brian Hayes T:Philip Fenton	J:Brian Hayes T:Philip Fenton	161	—	63-	-	118	78	190d	—	—	-15	11	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Ability both starts, placed in a Listed bumper when last seen, may need this after break
12	Wonleg Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	5	-	-	-	—	—	0W/0P 1 run	-8	3.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not a bad run in a point-to-point, nicely bred, in good hands and can't be discounted
15	Native Sparkle Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Nicely bred Getaway debutante from respected source, not dismissed if strong in market
3	Empire Succes Bay J:John Shinnick(5) T:Gerard Edmund O'Leary	J:John Shinnick(5) T:Gerard Edmund O'Leary	161	—	P-25	-	109	85	31d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Had a future maiden winner behind at Stradbally, promise at Wexford, could go well
2	Biggerthanbigtime Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	161	t	54375-	110	111	96	—	—	—	+14	17.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Rated 110 over hurdles; out of form on the Flat on most recent outings; others preferred
7	Lord Raven Chestnut J:Danny Mullins T:James Daniel Dullea	J:Danny Mullins T:James Daniel Dullea	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Flat recruit rated 67, positive jockey booking for hurdles bow, check the market
8	Notimelikedpresent b/br J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	161	—	P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
The choice of Mark Walsh, pulled up in a point-to-point 211 days ago, market check advised
11	Spinola Bay Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	0-4	-	-	-	141d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Beaten 21l when 4-1 for his hurdling debut, off since, may need the ground to dry out
4	Gimme A Buzz Chestnut J:Simon Torrens T:E Bolger	J:Simon Torrens T:E Bolger	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Soldier Of Fortune gelding has a nice pedigree and is worth checking in the market
6	Kobalt St Georges Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	161	—	970-	-	109	25	153d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Hasn't shown enough in his two hurdles and a bumper, qualifies for a mark after this
14	Ladies Well Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Mahler filly, out of a hurdle and Flat winner, nicely bred debutante, check the betting
10	Silent Selector Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gerard Edmund O'Leary	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gerard Edmund O'Leary	161	—	75	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Promise in second point-to-point, off 135 days, probably best watched on rules debut
1	Ardskeagh Nia Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Brian M McMahon	J:Richard Deegan T:Brian M McMahon	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Sageburg gelding, related to a winner over hurdles, probably best watched on debut
16	Wishes And Dreams Chestnut J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	154	tp	0-9	-	81	58	10d	—	—	-1	0.3	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Dual-purpose maiden; 0-2 over hurdles, modest Flat form, may be one for handicaps
13	Keyser Smokesy Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:Turlough O'Connor	J:Philip Byrnes T:Turlough O'Connor	154	h	70-	-	85	-	158d	—	—	0	0.1	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Well-beaten in both starts and hard to make a case for, may be a longer term project
NR	Shashado Grey J:TBC T:Mark Michael McNiff	J: T:Mark Michael McNiff	161	—	860	-	75	62	2d	—	—	—	0	—	—
No show in three maiden hurdles, one for handicaps, ran at Listowel on Saturday; reserve
NR	Whispering Hopes Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Hurdling debutante, shaped well on the Flat at Navan last time, should stay; reserve
NR	Galileo Springs Chestnut J:TBC T:Martin Brassil	J: T:Martin Brassil	154	—	9	-	94	32	112d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Nice run on debut over C&D when hampered, can jump better, soft a worry; reserve

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
In The Trenches	13/8	13/8	7/4
Saint Le Fort	2/1	2/1	9/4
Wonleg	8/1	9/1	8/1
Native Sparkle	6/1	6/1	13/2
Empire Succes	9/1	9/1	9/1
Biggerthanbigtime	20/1	18/1	20/1
Lord Raven	20/1	18/1	20/1
Notimelikedpresent	33/1	28/1	28/1
Spinola Bay	40/1	40/1	40/1
Gimme A Buzz	40/1	33/1	40/1
Kobalt St Georges	66/1	40/1	50/1
Ladies Well	66/1	50/1	66/1
Silent Selector	80/1	66/1	80/1
Ardskeagh Nia	100/1	100/1	100/1
Wishes And Dreams	400/1	66/1	150/1
Keyser Smokesy	400/1	150/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

In The Trenches

38.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Biggerthanbigtime

17.6

OR: 15 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

3rd

Saint Le Fort

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8

9/4

Native Sparkle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Wonleg

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Empire Succes

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Lord Raven

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Notimelikedpresent

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Spinola Bay

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Gimme A Buzz

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Kobalt St Georges

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ladies Well

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Silent Selector

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Wishes And Dreams

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

400/1

Ardskeagh Nia

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Keyser Smokesy

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Shashado

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Whispering Hopes

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Galileo Springs

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Biggerthanbigtime	110	111	96
In The Trenches	109	117	95
Saint Le Fort	—	118	78
Wonleg	—	—	—
Native Sparkle	—	—	—
Empire Succes	—	109	85
Lord Raven	—	—	—
Notimelikedpresent	—	—	—
Spinola Bay	—	—	—
Gimme A Buzz	—	—	—
Kobalt St Georges	—	109	25
Ladies Well	—	—	—
Silent Selector	—	—	—
Ardskeagh Nia	—	—	—
Wishes And Dreams	—	81	58
Keyser Smokesy	—	85	—
Shashado	—	75	62
Whispering Hopes	—	—	—
Galileo Springs	—	94	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shashado	2d ago	Quick return
Wishes And Dreams	10d ago	Quick return
In The Trenches	31d ago	Fit
Empire Succes	31d ago	Fit
Galileo Springs	112d ago	Long break
Spinola Bay	141d ago	Long break
Kobalt St Georges	153d ago	Long break
Keyser Smokesy	158d ago	Long break
Saint Le Fort	190d ago	Long break
Wonleg	—	—
Native Sparkle	—	—
Biggerthanbigtime	—	—
Lord Raven	—	—
Notimelikedpresent	—	—
Gimme A Buzz	—	—
Ladies Well	—	—
Silent Selector	—	—
Ardskeagh Nia	—	—
Whispering Hopes	—	—