Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:30

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2024-09-29

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 40.48s (slow by 2.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Unassuming (FR) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	4/9F	Won
2nd	Cancan In The Rain (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	10/1	1.5
3rd	Quiet Resolve (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	4/1	1.5
4th	Calanthe (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	10/1	0.2
5th	Zenato (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Ed Dunlop	22/1	3.25
6th	Autumn Dream (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Charles Hills	50/1	0.1
7th	King Of York (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	28/1	.5
8th	Arantes Nascimento (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	22/1	.75

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Unassuming Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	138	t	5-061	68	79	70	3d	—	—	-35	24.5	0.13/1	1/2 67%
Ex-Irish filly who scored with loads in hand over C&D on Thursday (stable debut)
4 (8)	Quiet Resolve Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	137	—	135805	71	78	63	10d	—	—	-8	11.6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has a solid record on AW; interesting off a reduced mark back in this sphere
3 (5)	Calanthe Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	137	—	36712	71	76	58	9d	—	—	+12	20.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Improved form switched to handicap level this month; may have more to offer
1 (3)	Cancan In The Rain Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	141	—	44-666	71	77	-	10d	—	—	0	7.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Attractively treated on best form; defied a 5lb higher mark last term
5 (6)	Arantes Nascimento Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	136	h	21-847	70	76	-	115d	—	—	+1	6.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Record suggests he may benefit from this return to AW; hood applied
8 (4)	Zenato Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	-80245	62	77	63	107d	—	—	+3	6.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-8 for Henry de Bromhead; sold 10,000gns in July; check the market signals
6 (1)	King Of York Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	132	p	677708	62	73	56	3d	—	—	0	4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Consistent early in year, winning twice here; not in the same form since
7 (7)	Autumn Dream Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	128	—	85-449	62	75	-	17d	—	—	0	4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Six-race maiden; finished fifth to a smart filly on last AW attempt

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Unassuming	2/5	1/2	2/5
Quiet Resolve	4/1	10/3	7/2
Calanthe	11/1	10/1	10/1
Cancan In The Rain	16/1	12/1	12/1
Arantes Nascimento	28/1	25/1	25/1
Zenato	33/1	28/1	28/1
King Of York	33/1	28/1	28/1
Autumn Dream	80/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Unassuming

24.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

1/2

2nd

Calanthe

20.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 2.4

11/1

3rd

Quiet Resolve

11.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Cancan In The Rain

7.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Zenato

6.5

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Arantes Nascimento

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

28/1

King Of York

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Autumn Dream

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Quiet Resolve	71	78	63
Calanthe	71	76	58
Cancan In The Rain	71	77	—
Arantes Nascimento	70	76	—
Unassuming	68	79	70
Zenato	62	77	63
King Of York	62	73	56
Autumn Dream	62	75	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Unassuming	3d ago	Quick return
King Of York	3d ago	Quick return
Calanthe	9d ago	Quick return
Quiet Resolve	10d ago	Quick return
Cancan In The Rain	10d ago	Quick return
Autumn Dream	17d ago	Fit
Zenato	107d ago	Long break
Arantes Nascimento	115d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.