Quinnbet Daily Free Bet Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Quinnbet Daily Free Bet Handicap

Date 2024-09-24

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Balqaa Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	135	—	774311	60	72	57	7d	—	—	+4	28.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Bids for an AW hat-trick; remains well treated on historical data; respected
9 (8)	Tiger Trap Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Tate	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Tate	121	—	96-777	46	71	54	14d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still a maiden but looks ready for a crack at this new trip
4 (2)	Barleybrown Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	130	—	801449	55	73	63	12d	—	—	-7	9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two C&D wins this year; met major traffic issues last time; still of interest
5 (4)	Langton Wold Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	130	t	37-697	55	71	45	14d	—	—	-7	4.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Ran quite encouragingly over C&D two weeks ago; possibilities
3 (6)	Strangerontheshore Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	990538	57	75	40	14d	—	—	-4	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Defied a 5lb higher mark over C&D last October; inconsistent this term
6 (5)	Whatwouldyouknow Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	127	—	223488	52	74	43	12d	—	—	-3	4.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three-time C&D scorer in autumn months; ran below par here last time
7 (1)	Brazen Rascal Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	123	—	45-070	48	71	37	21d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Maiden; possibly needed his run here (back from a break) last time
10 (7)	Haaf A Diamond Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Kevin Frost	J:Aidan Keeley T:Kevin Frost	121	—	0-7670	46	69	-	104d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not in top form this year; often fails to settle; others preferred
8 (9)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	122	b	587507	47	65	54	7d	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Five C&D wins, the most recent in January; not solid on subsequent form
1 (3)	Wyvern Brown J:Connor Murtagh T:Patrick Morris	J:Connor Murtagh T:Patrick Morris	135	p	050008	60	66	57	21d	—	—	+2	2.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Three AW wins for previous yard; poor form for current stable

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Balqaa	11/4	9/4	11/4
Tiger Trap	7/2	10/3	7/2
Barleybrown	9/2	5/1	9/2
Langton Wold	13/2	7/1	7/1
Strangerontheshore	7/1	15/2	15/2
Whatwouldyouknow	10/1	9/1	9/1
Brazen Rascal	16/1	16/1	16/1
Haaf A Diamond	28/1	25/1	25/1
Pop Favorite	28/1	28/1	28/1
Wyvern	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Balqaa

28.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Barleybrown

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Strangerontheshore

6.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tiger Trap

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Langton Wold

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Whatwouldyouknow

4.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Wyvern

2.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Brazen Rascal

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Haaf A Diamond

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Pop Favorite

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Balqaa	60	72	57
Wyvern	60	66	57
Strangerontheshore	57	75	40
Barleybrown	55	73	63
Langton Wold	55	71	45
Whatwouldyouknow	52	74	43
Brazen Rascal	48	71	37
Pop Favorite	47	65	54
Tiger Trap	46	71	54
Haaf A Diamond	46	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Balqaa	7d ago	Quick return
Pop Favorite	7d ago	Quick return
Barleybrown	12d ago	Quick return
Whatwouldyouknow	12d ago	Quick return
Tiger Trap	14d ago	Fit
Langton Wold	14d ago	Fit
Strangerontheshore	14d ago	Fit
Brazen Rascal	21d ago	Fit
Wyvern	21d ago	Fit
Haaf A Diamond	104d ago	Long break