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Ayr

14:03

Livescore Bet Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-20
Distance 7f50y
Class Class 4
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 2yo
Prize £7,851

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (4)
Scatter Penny
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
 135 t 119
81
90
66
 30d — — +7
25.2
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Lost her unbeaten record at York last month; now tongue tied; should stay; contender
8 (10)
Cymbidium
Bay
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
 127 — 2381
73
89
64
 13d — — +8
23.2
1.00/1
4/1
20%
Strong finish to win a well-run 1m nursery at Thirsk a fortnight ago; drop to 7f a query
9 (8)
Lovely Spirit
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
 127 — 3321
73
88
73
 23d — — +9
26.9
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Made all to win comfortably on first 7f run last month (form franked); can do better
4 (9)
Sunshine State
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
 131 — 1745
77
86
65
 34d — — +1
13.4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
6f AW winner; ran well at Glorious Goodwood but less so at Newmarket latest; down in class
3 (6)
Beronia
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
 131 t 2336
77
83
80
 28d — — +3
15.2
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Form dipped when upped to 7f last month; now tongue tied; improvement required
5 (1)
Larchill Lass
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
 129 — 217863
75
86
75
 16d — — +7
13
3.00/1
12/1
8%
5f win in May on soft ground; not progressed since; new trip needs to spark extra
6 (5)
Who Wants Me
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
 128 — 343
74
83
55
 39d — — +8
11.5
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Latest 3rd over C&D offered hope of better; likely improver now handicapping
7 (3)
Suzette
Chestnut
J:Cam Hardie
T:Ollie Pears
J:Cam Hardie
T:Ollie Pears
 128 — 4331
74
86
56
 22d — — +16
20.8
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Cosy win on h'cap debut at Carlisle (7f, soft); that form not worked out but she won well
10 (7)
Cushty
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
 125 — 663
71
86
-
 17d — — +5
9.3
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Improved for the step up to 7f when a strong-finishing 3rd at Newcastle latest; unexposed
NR (2)
Ellaria Sand
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Ollie Sangster
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Ollie Sangster
 131 — 4123
77
-
-
 26d — — —
18.3
— —
Consistent but it's asking a lot for her to prevail on these unfavourable terms
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Scatter Penny
 7/2 10/3 10/3
Cymbidium
 4/1 4/1 4/1
Lovely Spirit
 10/3 10/3 10/3
Sunshine State
 11/2 11/2 11/2
Beronia
 8/1 7/1 7/1
Larchill Lass
 12/1 12/1 12/1
Who Wants Me
 22/1 20/1 22/1
Suzette
 18/1 16/1 18/1
Cushty
 20/1 18/1 22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Lovely Spirit
26.9
OR: 5.8 Form: 15.9 Odds: 5.2
10/3
2nd Scatter Penny
25.2
OR: 7.8 Form: 12 Odds: 5.4
7/2
3rd Cymbidium
23.2
OR: 5.8 Form: 13 Odds: 4.4
4/1
4 Suzette
20.8
OR: 6 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.2
18/1
5 Ellaria Sand
18.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
—
6 Beronia
15.2
OR: 6.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3
8/1
7 Sunshine State
13.4
OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6
11/2
8 Larchill Lass
13
OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7
12/1
9 Who Wants Me
11.5
OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1
22/1
10 Cushty
9.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1
22/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Scatter Penny
81
90
66
Sunshine State
77
86
65
Beronia
77
83
80
Ellaria Sand
77
 — —
Larchill Lass
75
86
75
Who Wants Me
74
83
55
Suzette
74
86
56
Cymbidium
73
89
64
Lovely Spirit
73
88
73
Cushty
71
86
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Cymbidium 13d ago Quick return
Larchill Lass 16d ago Fit
Cushty 17d ago Fit
Suzette 22d ago Fit
Lovely Spirit 23d ago Fit
Ellaria Sand 26d ago Fit
Beronia 28d ago Fit
Scatter Penny 30d ago Fit
Sunshine State 34d ago Fit
Who Wants Me 39d ago Fit

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Scatter Penny Prominent
Larchill Lass Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.