British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race)

Ayr

15:05

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £20,132

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (14)	Coto De Caza Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	126	—	311	97	111	103	51d	—	—	+10	39.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Clocked a good time at Goodwood; unexposed and she's in the Cheveley Park
10 (9)	Kaadi Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	126	—	732422	93	107	101	19d	—	—	+9	26.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistently performed to a smart level, especially last time in a French Group 3
4 (2)	King's Call Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	1688	95	100	90	7d	—	—	+3	18.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has his sights lowered this time but he doesn't look progressive
7 (8)	Uncle Don Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	—	21	-	99	77	76d	—	—	+4	17.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Took notable scalp of Big Mojo (Group 3 winner/Group 2 placed) at Beverley in early July
14 (5)	Star Of Mehmas Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Hughes	J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Hughes	126	—	511	87	108	42	13d	—	—	+20	28.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promising filly who has won twice on the AW and deserves a crack at this level
1 (3)	Against The Wind Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	6015	86	96	82	29d	—	—	+12	17.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Good fifth of 20 in a sales race at York but others in here have achieved more
12 (13)	Pearl Of Windsor Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	126	—	4411	82	97	80	17d	—	—	+22	26.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Dual winner but she'd be receiving weight off a good few of these were this a handicap
9 (11)	Educating Rita Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	126	—	21132	85	99	72	26d	—	—	+21	26.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Came up shy off a mark of 80 in her latest handicap and this is a big ask on that evidence
2 (10)	End Of Story Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	15052	84	97	91	12d	—	—	+13	16.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Better for being gelded when second on nursery debut at York; sharper test here favourable
6 (12)	Lexington Blitz Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Robert Cowell	J:Ray Dawson T:Robert Cowell	131	—	411	88	98	77	18d	—	—	+24	27.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Beat three rivals at Chepstow; going the right way but he's in a lot deeper this time
13 (1)	Sahara Dancer Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Ollie Sangster	J:Joe Fanning T:Ollie Sangster	126	—	14	75	88	74	20d	—	—	+11	14	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two runs over 6f; looks quick enough for 5f but probably needs a lower level than this
3 (6)	Gold Star Hero Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	131	—	41	-	84	31	36d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+8	10.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Made all for narrow success at Chelmsford but lots more required at this level
5 (7)	King Of Light Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	131	—	33717	86	93	88	27d	—	—	+15	18.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only won the once and limitations were exposed in a Listed race at York
11 (4)	Lady Luzon Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	126	—	221212	79	93	80	17d	—	—	+24	26.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Luckless second in a Goodwood nursery latest but this is a sharp rise in class

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Coto De Caza	5/2	2/1	11/4
Kaadi	5/1	4/1	9/2
King's Call	5/1	6/1	9/2
Uncle Don	11/2	5/1	11/2
Star Of Mehmas	11/1	17/2	11/1
Against The Wind	16/1	16/1	16/1
Pearl Of Windsor	22/1	22/1	20/1
Educating Rita	25/1	25/1	20/1
End Of Story	25/1	25/1	22/1
Lexington Blitz	28/1	22/1	25/1
Sahara Dancer	40/1	40/1	33/1
Gold Star Hero	40/1	40/1	33/1
King Of Light	40/1	33/1	33/1
Lady Luzon	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Coto De Caza

39.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 8.9

11/4

2nd

Star Of Mehmas

28.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 17 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

Lexington Blitz

27.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 17 Odds: 1

28/1

Kaadi

26.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5

5/1

Educating Rita

26.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 16.1 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Lady Luzon

26.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Pearl Of Windsor

26.1

OR: 8 Form: 17 Odds: 1.1

22/1

King's Call

18.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

6/1

King Of Light

18.3

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Against The Wind

17.6

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Uncle Don

17.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

11/2

End Of Story

16.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1

25/1

Sahara Dancer

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Gold Star Hero

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Coto De Caza	97	111	103
King's Call	95	100	90
Kaadi	93	107	101
Lexington Blitz	88	98	77
Star Of Mehmas	87	108	42
Against The Wind	86	96	82
King Of Light	86	93	88
Educating Rita	85	99	72
End Of Story	84	97	91
Pearl Of Windsor	82	97	80
Lady Luzon	79	93	80
Sahara Dancer	75	88	74
Uncle Don	—	99	77
Gold Star Hero	—	84	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King's Call	7d ago	Quick return
End Of Story	12d ago	Quick return
Star Of Mehmas	13d ago	Quick return
Pearl Of Windsor	17d ago	Fit
Lady Luzon	17d ago	Fit
Lexington Blitz	18d ago	Fit
Kaadi	19d ago	Fit
Sahara Dancer	20d ago	Fit
Educating Rita	26d ago	Fit
King Of Light	27d ago	Fit
Against The Wind	29d ago	Fit
Gold Star Hero	36d ago	Fit
Coto De Caza	51d ago	Fresh
Uncle Don	76d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Against The Wind	Prominent
Sahara Dancer	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.