Goffs Orby Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

16:25

Goffs Orby Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 6f3y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,631

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Smart Hero Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	130	—	27421	87	97	61	20d	—	—	+5	32.2	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Went close on handicap debut at Sandown (7f) last month then comfortably won 6f AW maiden
6 (4)	First Folio Grey J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	131	e/s	-56434	86	102	89	33d	—	—	-2	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to add to his 2022 win in this race but returns here after three pretty good efforts
4 (7)	Amazonian Dream Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	133	—	131227	88	104	87	25d	—	—	+10	22.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Didn't fire last time but is a big player if judged on earlier run of good form at Windsor
8 (5)	Rocking Ends Grey J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	130	—	158138	85	104	92	12d	—	—	+9	18.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Largely in good form over 5f for new stable since the spring and should be okay back at 6f
1 (10)	The X O Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	137	—	705390	92	103	91	47d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed over 7f at Epsom in May; subsequent defeats came in valuable races; a possible
5 (9)	Buccabay Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	132	—	3-2014	87	103	94	82d	—	—	+6	13.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In career-best form in June; now with new stable, following 62,000euros sale
10 (6)	Tiger Crusade Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	123	—	650056	78	103	71	16d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	8.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at best this year and probably needs others to set a very strong pace
2 (8)	Inishfallen Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	135	—	64-000	92	98	55	25d	—	—	+6	12.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Showed some smart form as a 2yo but this season has been a struggle
3 (1)	Habrdi Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:James Horton	J:Richard Kingscote T:James Horton	133	—	11-540	90	97	-	122d	—	—	+7	11.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Absent since struggling in 1m German Group 2 in May; back sprinting for new stable
NR (2)	The Good Biscuit Bay J:TBC T:Jack Channon	J: T:Jack Channon	124	—	15-242	81	101	95	92d	—	0W/1P 1 run	—	7.8	—	—
In the frame all three starts this year; contender if fully tuned up after break

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Smart Hero	2/1	2/1	2/1
First Folio	7/2	7/2	7/2
Amazonian Dream	6/1	6/1	6/1
Rocking Ends	9/1	8/1	8/1
The X O	8/1	9/1	17/2
Buccabay	11/1	11/1	11/1
Tiger Crusade	14/1	14/1	14/1
Inishfallen	16/1	14/1	16/1
Habrdi	20/1	18/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smart Hero

32.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Amazonian Dream

22.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Rocking Ends

18.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

First Folio

16.5

OR: 9 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

The X O

14.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Buccabay

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Inishfallen

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Habrdi

11.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Tiger Crusade

8.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

The Good Biscuit

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The X O	92	103	91
Inishfallen	92	98	55
Habrdi	90	97	—
Amazonian Dream	88	104	87
Smart Hero	87	97	61
Buccabay	87	103	94
First Folio	86	102	89
Rocking Ends	85	104	92
The Good Biscuit	81	101	95
Tiger Crusade	78	103	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rocking Ends	12d ago	Quick return
Tiger Crusade	16d ago	Fit
Smart Hero	20d ago	Fit
Amazonian Dream	25d ago	Fit
Inishfallen	25d ago	Fit
First Folio	33d ago	Fit
The X O	47d ago	Fresh
Buccabay	82d ago	Fresh
The Good Biscuit	92d ago	Long break
Habrdi	122d ago	Long break