Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kelso

17:05

Date 2024-09-18

Distance 2m4f189y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,008

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Kaleb Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	166	p	U2-134	126	127	116	47d	—	—	+2	26.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won off 3lb lower in May; creditable fifth at Galway last time (form sound); chance
7	The Churchill Lad Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	154	h	9-4673	114	131	89	23d	—	—	+3	21.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
All hurdle wins have been at around 2m; fair 3rd over 2m6f on heavy last time; a possible
5	Nayati Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	156	t	0F-784	116	127	115	25d	—	—	+6	20.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not won since early 2023 but well treated now and fair fourth at Cartmel last time
6	Ashington Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	154	p	-35316	114	131	115	25d	—	—	+17	28.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
First win since 2022 at Cartmel in July; these conditions are ideal; one to consider
4	Well Educated Chestnut J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	157	—	115427	117	127	119	25d	—	—	+14	25.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two wins and a second (to Ashington) this summer; on a fair mark; ground ideal; a possible
8	Kinbara Firstdraft Chestnut J:James Bowen T:S R B Crawford	J:James Bowen T:S R B Crawford	151	—	87-318	111	128	114	32d	—	—	+10	17.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Unexposed; won 2m Perth handicap in June; lesser run next time; may improve for 2m4f
1	Aramax Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	168	tp	98-P75	128	128	105	25d	—	—	+15	21.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Formerly useful; two wins at around 3m last summer; not as good since; better over further
3	Baron De Midleton Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Brian Ellison	J:Sean Bowen T:Brian Ellison	158	b	3-362P	118	127	112	12d	—	—	+16	20.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won over 2m4f in January and fair run when second over 2m7f last month; each-way chance

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Kaleb	11/4	5/2	11/4
The Churchill Lad	7/2	7/2	7/2
Nayati	9/2	9/2	9/2
Ashington	6/1	13/2	6/1
Well Educated	13/2	7/1	7/1
Kinbara Firstdraft	11/1	11/1	11/1
Aramax	14/1	12/1	12/1
Baron De Midleton	20/1	18/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ashington

28.4

OR: 16 Form: 9.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Kaleb

26.3

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Well Educated

25.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

The Churchill Lad

21.2

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Aramax

21.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Nayati

20.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Baron De Midleton

20.2

OR: 17 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Kinbara Firstdraft

17.4

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aramax	128	128	105
Kaleb	126	127	116
Baron De Midleton	118	127	112
Well Educated	117	127	119
Nayati	116	127	115
The Churchill Lad	114	131	89
Ashington	114	131	115
Kinbara Firstdraft	111	128	114

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baron De Midleton	12d ago	Quick return
The Churchill Lad	23d ago	Fit
Nayati	25d ago	Fit
Ashington	25d ago	Fit
Well Educated	25d ago	Fit
Aramax	25d ago	Fit
Kinbara Firstdraft	32d ago	Fit
Kaleb	47d ago	Fresh