N & L Franklin Ltd Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:35

N & L Franklin Ltd Handicap

Date 2024-08-26

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Havanarama Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Hugo Palmer	133	t	217326	73	89	64	32d	—	—	-1	18.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progressive in handicaps this year; only sixth last time but that was in a stronger race
9 (7)	Zipster Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	-15504	70	86	55	16d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m win at Yarmouth in May; best run since came when 4th 16 days ago; dangerous with repeat
4 (6)	Keep Warm Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	3-4262	74	84	-	45d	—	—	-1	11.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Runner-up on his last two runs over this trip; one to consider on AW debut
3 (2)	Commander Of Life Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	135	—	-52044	75	87	58	42d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good 2nd to a handicap blot over C&D in April; not progressed since but holds e-w claims
2 (9)	Salamanca Lad Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	136	tb	631117	76	83	72	16d	—	—	+15	24.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Completed 1m hat-trick this summer; progress stalled at Haydock latest; needs career best
6 (4)	Dr Foster Bay J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	132	v	688325	72	85	44	17d	—	—	+5	12.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not progressing and hopes rest on the return to AW sparking a full revival
10 (11)	Palazzo Persico Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	129	b	765224	69	84	75	12d	—	—	+4	13.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two nursery wins on AW last winter; in good form since blinkers were added; contender
8 (8)	Beauty Generation Bay J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	131	p	-22366	71	85	64	74d	—	—	+5	11	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Handles turf but best efforts have come on AW; one of two solid contenders for Marco Botti
1 (10)	Rosenzoo Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	615156	77	85	70	16d	—	—	+11	14.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two wins this year but not beaten a rival in two starts since his Wolverhampton success
7 (1)	On Point Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	131	p	8-5008	71	78	27	16d	—	—	+3	6.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Unplaced in four runs for new yard this year; now tried in cheekpieces
11 (5)	Star Of Kilfrush Chestnut J:Sam James T:Kevin Ryan	J:Sam James T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	6624	68	79	31	26d	—	—	+6	8.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Not at her best at Redcar last month; not obviously thrown in for handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Havanarama	7/2	7/2	7/2
Zipster	9/2	4/1	4/1
Keep Warm	6/1	11/2	11/2
Commander Of Life	5/1	11/2	11/2
Salamanca Lad	8/1	8/1	17/2
Dr Foster	10/1	10/1	10/1
Palazzo Persico	11/1	11/1	10/1
Beauty Generation	12/1	11/1	12/1
Rosenzoo	25/1	25/1	25/1
On Point	28/1	25/1	25/1
Star Of Kilfrush	40/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Salamanca Lad

24.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 2.7

17/2

2nd

Havanarama

18.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Rosenzoo

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Palazzo Persico

13.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Dr Foster

12.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Keep Warm

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Zipster

11.4

OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Commander Of Life

11.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Beauty Generation

OR: 5.3 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Star Of Kilfrush

8.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

On Point

6.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rosenzoo	77	85	70
Salamanca Lad	76	83	72
Commander Of Life	75	87	58
Keep Warm	74	84	—
Havanarama	73	89	64
Dr Foster	72	85	44
Beauty Generation	71	85	64
On Point	71	78	27
Zipster	70	86	55
Palazzo Persico	69	84	75
Star Of Kilfrush	68	79	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Palazzo Persico	12d ago	Quick return
Zipster	16d ago	Fit
Salamanca Lad	16d ago	Fit
Rosenzoo	16d ago	Fit
On Point	16d ago	Fit
Dr Foster	17d ago	Fit
Star Of Kilfrush	26d ago	Fit
Havanarama	32d ago	Fit
Commander Of Life	42d ago	Fit
Keep Warm	45d ago	Fit
Beauty Generation	74d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.