bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Nursery Handicap

Chepstow

15:20

Date 2024-08-15

Distance 5f16y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 58.98s (slow by 2.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lady Luzon (IRE) Jason Watson · David O'Meara	3/1F	Won
2nd	John's Dragon (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	7/2	.5
3rd	Addictive (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	12/1	.5
4th	Invincible Song (IRE) Joe Leavy · Brian Meehan	9/2	0.3
5th	Raison d'Etre (IRE) Georgia Dobie · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/1	.75
6th	Shostakova (GB) John Fahy · Clive Cox	11/2	1
7th	Subsonictoshannon (IRE) Rose Dawes · Jack Channon	66/1	2.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Lady Luzon Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	134	—	42212	74	83	72	13d	—	—	+8	27.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
5f nursery winner; experience could prove invaluable and she's a contender.
5 (5)	Invincible Song Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Brian Meehan	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Brian Meehan	133	—	392	73	77	71	55d	—	—	0	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Better effort latest; not written off on nursery debut but others perhaps better treated.
7 (1)	John's Dragon Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	129	—	514	69	82	60	24d	—	—	0	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
5f maiden winner; return to this trip may be beneficial and she looks an each-way player.
2 (7)	Brightwalton Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	135	—	442	75	79	61	20d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
1lb better off for a neck with the reopposing Raison D'Etre; can again go close.
4 (6)	Shostakova Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	133	—	453	73	79	51	14d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Worth another go over 5f; feasibly treated for nursery debut, bringing potential.
1 (8)	Raison d'Etre Chestnut J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	—	361	76	79	56	20d	—	—	+12	20.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Likely to need a further step up on her maiden-winning form and that is not ruled out.
6 (4)	Addictive Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	132	t	254	72	78	36	40d	—	—	+2	10.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promising debut but has gone backwards since; gelded and tongue tied; may do better.
8 (3)	Subsonictoshannon Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	129	h	348	69	73	-	68d	—	—	+5	6.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has taken a couple of backward steps since debut; hood goes on; initial mark looks stiff.
NR (10)	Loudan Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	127	—	5427	67	81	60	15d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Well beaten on nursery debut at Sandown (5f, good to firm) latest; drops 2lb.
NR (2)	Roysdelight Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	122	—	044637	62	81	70	15d	—	—	—	5.1	—	—
Well beaten on nursery debut at Leicester latest; drops 3lb; much more needed.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lady Luzon	10/3	3/1	3/1
Invincible Song	7/2	4/1	7/2
John's Dragon	9/2	4/1	9/2
Brightwalton	6/1	5/1	11/2
Shostakova	13/2	6/1	13/2
Raison d'Etre	10/1	9/1	10/1
Addictive	9/1	11/1	11/1
Subsonictoshannon	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Luzon

27.7

OR: 6 Form: 16 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Raison d'Etre

20.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Invincible Song

17.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

John's Dragon

16.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Brightwalton

14.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Shostakova

11.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Addictive

10.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Loudan

7.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Subsonictoshannon

6.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Roysdelight

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Raison d'Etre	76	79	56
Brightwalton	75	79	61
Lady Luzon	74	83	72
Invincible Song	73	77	71
Shostakova	73	79	51
Addictive	72	78	36
John's Dragon	69	82	60
Subsonictoshannon	69	73	—
Loudan	67	81	60
Roysdelight	62	81	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Luzon	13d ago	Quick return
Shostakova	14d ago	Fit
Loudan	15d ago	Fit
Roysdelight	15d ago	Fit
Brightwalton	20d ago	Fit
Raison d'Etre	20d ago	Fit
John's Dragon	24d ago	Fit
Addictive	40d ago	Fit
Invincible Song	55d ago	Fresh
Subsonictoshannon	68d ago	Fresh