Download The Star Sports App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:25

Download The Star Sports App Handicap

Date 2024-07-29

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (7)	One More Wave Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	130	b	427603	70	88	80	25d	—	—	-5	14.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Wolverhampton winner who was close up at Kempton last time; respected off unchanged mark
4 (9)	The Waiting Game Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Jack Jones	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Jack Jones	134	—	944-36	74	90	75	31d	—	—	-7	11.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Five AW wins last summer/autumn and latest was off 1lb higher; one to keep an eye on
5 (5)	Hail Sezer Bay J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	132	—	2009-1	72	90	-	77d	—	—	+6	19.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won on his return at Catterick in May; up 3lb but he's respected after another break
12 (8)	Secret Road Grey J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Tristan Davidson	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Tristan Davidson	125	h	741553	65	91	78	10d	—	—	+3	12.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D win in March and was third at Haydock latest; player if this sets up for closing style
1 (12)	Ormolulu Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	h	16-860	75	87	-	14d	—	—	0	8.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won off 2lb higher at Leicester last summer but she's been disappointing since then
7 (4)	Razzam Brown J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	—	36-553	71	86	62	167d	—	—	0	7.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Placed at Newcastle when last seen in February and he needs close look on his return
3 (6)	Gemini Star Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Alice Haynes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Alice Haynes	134	p	20-558	74	87	-	53d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well handicapped on her peak form but she's now 1-10 and is not easy to predict
2 (11)	Jojo Rabbit Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	p	038415	74	88	34	9d	—	—	+9	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four-time Tapeta winner who scored at Doncaster (5.6f) two runs back; in the mix
9 (1)	Rambuso Creek Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	p	630053	69	88	-	18d	—	—	+4	10	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Third behind Jojo Rabbit at Doncaster but he's hard to predict and others are preferred
10 (2)	Daytona Lady Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	126	p	422176	66	89	79	14d	—	—	+8	12.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won at Wetherby last month but he's been well below that form in both runs since
11 (3)	A Pint Of Bear Grey J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	125	p	131756	65	87	-	10d	—	—	+4	8.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
On last winning mark but he needs to raise his game back on AW
6 (10)	Chiellini Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	132	—	1/7	72	87	-	31d	—	—	+10	13.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won on debut in 2022 but was tailed off on his comeback last month; something to prove
13 (14)	Havana Pursuit Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	125	—	16-956	65	88	-	12d	—	—	+2	4.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Below form in his three runs this season and is untried on AW; down the list
14 (13)	Bankrupt Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	125	—	745-80	65	89	71	31d	—	—	+2	4.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Four-time AW winner but he needs a major revival back in this sphere

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
One More Wave	10/3	3/1	10/3
The Waiting Game	10/3	10/3	7/2
Hail Sezer	6/1	13/2	13/2
Secret Road	9/1	17/2	17/2
Ormolulu	10/1	9/1	9/1
Razzam	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gemini Star	12/1	12/1	12/1
Jojo Rabbit	16/1	16/1	16/1
Rambuso Creek	16/1	14/1	16/1
Daytona Lady	25/1	20/1	20/1
A Pint Of Bear	20/1	22/1	22/1
Chiellini	25/1	22/1	25/1
Havana Pursuit	50/1	40/1	40/1
Bankrupt	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hail Sezer

19.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Jojo Rabbit

15.2

OR: 6 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

One More Wave

14.7

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Chiellini

13.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Daytona Lady

12.9

OR: 4 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Secret Road

12.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.7

9/1

The Waiting Game

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Rambuso Creek

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ormolulu

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

A Pint Of Bear

8.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Gemini Star

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Razzam

7.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Havana Pursuit

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Bankrupt

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ormolulu	75	87	—
The Waiting Game	74	90	75
Gemini Star	74	87	—
Jojo Rabbit	74	88	34
Hail Sezer	72	90	—
Chiellini	72	87	—
Razzam	71	86	62
One More Wave	70	88	80
Rambuso Creek	69	88	—
Daytona Lady	66	89	79
Secret Road	65	91	78
A Pint Of Bear	65	87	—
Havana Pursuit	65	88	—
Bankrupt	65	89	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jojo Rabbit	9d ago	Quick return
Secret Road	10d ago	Quick return
A Pint Of Bear	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Pursuit	12d ago	Quick return
Ormolulu	14d ago	Fit
Daytona Lady	14d ago	Fit
Rambuso Creek	18d ago	Fit
One More Wave	25d ago	Fit
The Waiting Game	31d ago	Fit
Chiellini	31d ago	Fit
Bankrupt	31d ago	Fit
Gemini Star	53d ago	Fresh
Hail Sezer	77d ago	Fresh
Razzam	167d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.