FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Worcester

17:10

Date 2024-07-25

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Fourtowns Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	158	t	34333-	106	117	112	91d	—	—	-6	34.5	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Latest Warwick race (2m3f, good) was probably won by a very good horse; thereabouts
5	R S Ambush Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	158	p	248-24	105	113	73	11d	—	—	0	19.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Packed with experience after nine races; been competitive but not improving
7	Cannon Rock Bay J:Sean Bowen T:James Owen	J:Sean Bowen T:James Owen	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Latest AW run a backward step but he was useful on the Flat and stayed well
1	Ebony Warrior Brown J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	158	t	85-3	-	101	59	42d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran okay in a couple of bumpers and again on hurdle debut over C&D; looks vulnerable
12	Lady Wormsley Chestnut J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	147	—	3	-	90	73	29d	—	—	-1	4.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Winning miler on the Flat; her third here on hurdling debut was a remote one
6	Rubies Or Gold Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	158	t	63	-	-	-	69d	—	—	0	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Third in his second Irish bumper and later recruited for £25,000
4	Light Dragoon Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	158	t	0-	-	-	-	268d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only 6-1 for a Chepstow bumper last October but finished tailed off
8	Moab Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
He's been struggling in 1m2f-1m3f handicaps in Britain; up against it
11	Suitably Surprised Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	151	—	4/542-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Ran to a modest level in four Irish points and she'd be a surprise winner of this
10	Hurley Girly Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	151	—	3-0	-	-	-	66d	—	—	0	2.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Made the frame in her first bumper at Plumpton but was then tailed off at Newton Abbot
9	Till You Can't Bay J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	154	—	P-55	-	-	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
A smidgeon of promise in his two bumpers but others in here have shown a lot more
NR	Junior Des Mottes Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	158	t	37/4-	-	-	-	400d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Good runs in Irish bumpers; off since disappointing in another here last summer

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Fourtowns	11/10	11/10	11/10
R S Ambush	4/1	7/2	7/2
Cannon Rock	4/1	7/2	4/1
Ebony Warrior	15/2	7/1	15/2
Lady Wormsley	22/1	22/1	20/1
Rubies Or Gold	22/1	22/1	25/1
Light Dragoon	33/1	40/1	40/1
Moab	50/1	50/1	50/1
Suitably Surprised	66/1	66/1	66/1
Hurley Girly	80/1	66/1	80/1
Till You Can't	100/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fourtowns

34.5

OR: 14 Form: 7.2 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

R S Ambush

19.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Ebony Warrior

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Cannon Rock

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Lady Wormsley

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Rubies Or Gold

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Hurley Girly

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Light Dragoon

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Moab

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Suitably Surprised

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Till You Can't

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Junior Des Mottes

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fourtowns	106	117	112
R S Ambush	105	113	73
Cannon Rock	—	—	—
Ebony Warrior	—	101	59
Lady Wormsley	—	90	73
Rubies Or Gold	—	—	—
Light Dragoon	—	—	—
Moab	—	—	—
Suitably Surprised	—	—	—
Hurley Girly	—	—	—
Till You Can't	—	—	—
Junior Des Mottes	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
R S Ambush	11d ago	Quick return
Till You Can't	23d ago	Fit
Lady Wormsley	29d ago	Fit
Ebony Warrior	42d ago	Fit
Hurley Girly	66d ago	Fresh
Rubies Or Gold	69d ago	Fresh
Fourtowns	91d ago	Long break
Light Dragoon	268d ago	Long break
Junior Des Mottes	400d ago	Long break
Cannon Rock	—	—
Moab	—	—
Suitably Surprised	—	—