Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

20:15

Date 2024-06-12

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 2m 19.98s (slow by 2.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Goblet Of Fire (GB) Tom Marquand · Nicky Henderson	9/4	Won
2nd	Night Breeze (IRE) William Buick · Ian Williams	2/1F	1
3rd	Oriental Art (GB) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	22/1	5
4th	Chagall (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Jack Jones	8/1	0.2
5th	Fravanco (GB) George Rooke · Michael Madgwick	6/1	.5
6th	Strike Alliance (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Harriet Dickin	8/1	1.75
7th	Devizes (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	12/1	4.75
8th	Logistical (IRE) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	80/1	3.5
9th	Colonial Love (GB) Luke Morris · Kevin Frost	150/1	2.5
10th	Sexy Rexy (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Grace Harris	50/1	23

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Night Breeze Bay J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	134	—	3-0842	59	72	33	5d	—	—	-16	13.2	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Much more promise the last twice; stepping up in trip could help; W Buick a good booking
4 (7)	Goblet Of Fire Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Nicky Henderson	J:Tom Marquand T:Nicky Henderson	134	—	41131-	59	72	-	—	—	—	+4	30.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Progressive on Flat for N Tinkler last year; winning hurdler for this yard; can do better
6 (1)	Fravanco Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	133	p	72-265	58	71	58	38d	—	—	-7	5.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
1m2f AW winner last summer; chance on this winter's best; headgear now given a go
1 (5)	Strike Alliance Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Harriet Dickin	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harriet Dickin	137	—	3241-5	62	70	35	20d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promising stable debut after a long absence last month; still low mileage; O Murphy booked
3 (6)	Chagall Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	136	—	442344	61	73	60	11d	—	—	-1	8.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
He's done well for this yard and should be involved once again; first run at Kempton
8 (9)	Devizes Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	131	—	755333	56	76	59	21d	—	—	+3	10.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Multiple Polytrack winner, all over further; placed on last three runs; should go well
2 (8)	Oriental Art Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	137	—	514-07	62	71	40	25d	—	—	0	4.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Poor strike-rate and yet to fire this year; others look more appealing
7 (4)	Sexy Rexy Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Grace Harris	J:Billy Loughnane T:Grace Harris	132	p	6313-0	57	71	41	9d	—	—	0	2.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Ended 2023 in good form on AW; low-key return from break last week (turf); better expected
9 (10)	Logistical Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	128	p	844398	53	73	58	—	—	—	+1	2.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
19-race maiden under both codes; effective here but others look more convincing
10 (2)	Colonial Love Bay J:Luke Morris T:Kevin Frost	J:Luke Morris T:Kevin Frost	121	—	3700/0	46	-	-	32d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
1m4f AW win in 2021; struggled since, including on stable debut after long absence

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Night Breeze	2/1	15/8	2/1
Goblet Of Fire	2/1	2/1	9/4
Fravanco	7/1	13/2	13/2
Strike Alliance	8/1	17/2	8/1
Chagall	17/2	17/2	17/2
Devizes	12/1	12/1	12/1
Oriental Art	22/1	22/1	22/1
Sexy Rexy	50/1	40/1	50/1
Logistical	100/1	66/1	66/1
Colonial Love	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Goblet Of Fire

30.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 20.1 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Night Breeze

13.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Devizes

10.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Chagall

8.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Strike Alliance

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Fravanco

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Oriental Art

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Logistical

2.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Sexy Rexy

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Colonial Love

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strike Alliance	62	70	35
Oriental Art	62	71	40
Chagall	61	73	60
Night Breeze	59	72	33
Goblet Of Fire	59	72	—
Fravanco	58	71	58
Sexy Rexy	57	71	41
Devizes	56	76	59
Logistical	53	73	58
Colonial Love	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Night Breeze	5d ago	Quick return
Sexy Rexy	9d ago	Quick return
Chagall	11d ago	Quick return
Strike Alliance	20d ago	Fit
Devizes	21d ago	Fit
Oriental Art	25d ago	Fit
Colonial Love	32d ago	Fit
Fravanco	38d ago	Fit
Goblet Of Fire	—	—
Logistical	—	—