Follow Rhino.Bet On Instagram Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

19:30

Follow Rhino.Bet On Instagram Handicap

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 1m2f50y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Big Bear Hug Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Adam West	J:Adam Farragher T:Adam West	137	p	317-23	70	82	47	13d	—	—	-25	20	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Placed on both starts this year (1m2f, soft/heavy) and another win looks imminent
6 (4)	Shaheen Saqaar Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	7361-3	66	80	38	104d	—	—	0	9.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In good form on AW when last seen and major player if transferring that back to turf
3 (8)	Powerful Response Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Geoffrey Harker	135	—	2420-4	68	78	70	28d	—	—	-2	7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fair fourth on last month's seasonal/stable debut and could build on that run; chance
8 (3)	Giselles Defence Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	131	—	40334-	64	80	70	—	—	—	+1	9.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Stable debut; 0-15 but on a handy mark on best Irish form and not ruled out
7 (9)	Kittykarma Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	p	21526-	66	79	69	191d	—	—	+5	14	1.88/1	15/2 12%
The drop back in trip may not be ideal but she's not discounted on her reappearance
10 (7)	Berry Edge Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:David Thompson	J:Dylan Hogan T:David Thompson	129	p	22580-	62	82	74	206d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Poor strike-rate and out of form when last seen, but on a good mark and not written off
1 (1)	Lunar Jet Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	137	—	31456-	70	81	46	192d	—	—	+6	9.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Below par last October when last seen, but he won off 1lb higher last April (1m2f, soft)
9 (5)	Pending Appeal Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Kevin Frost	130	—	43897-	63	78	53	287d	—	—	+3	4.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Returns from absence and all 13 starts over 6f/7f, but pedigree hints this trip may suit
NR (2)	Brassavola Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	134	—	45486-	67	78	-	151d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Ex-French 5yo who is 0-6, but she showed promise last November on second British start
NR (6)	Kojin Chestnut J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	134	p	060-98	67	76	29	—	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Useful in 2022 but struggled in 2023 and it's been the same story this year
NR (11)	Break Point Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	122	—	50-880	55	73	26	7d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Eight-race maiden who has finished down the field on his last four starts

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Big Bear Hug	5/6	5/6	5/6
Shaheen Saqaar	13/2	13/2	13/2
Powerful Response	15/2	15/2	15/2
Giselles Defence	8/1	8/1	8/1
Kittykarma	15/2	15/2	15/2
Berry Edge	12/1	12/1	12/1
Lunar Jet	18/1	18/1	18/1
Pending Appeal	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Bear Hug

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

5/6

2nd

Kittykarma

OR: 4 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Shaheen Saqaar

9.9

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Lunar Jet

9.7

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Giselles Defence

9.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Berry Edge

7.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Powerful Response

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Pending Appeal

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Brassavola

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kojin

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Break Point

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Bear Hug	70	82	47
Lunar Jet	70	81	46
Powerful Response	68	78	70
Brassavola	67	78	—
Kojin	67	76	29
Shaheen Saqaar	66	80	38
Kittykarma	66	79	69
Giselles Defence	64	80	70
Pending Appeal	63	78	53
Berry Edge	62	82	74
Break Point	55	73	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Break Point	7d ago	Quick return
Big Bear Hug	13d ago	Quick return
Powerful Response	28d ago	Fit
Shaheen Saqaar	104d ago	Long break
Brassavola	151d ago	Long break
Kittykarma	191d ago	Long break
Lunar Jet	192d ago	Long break
Berry Edge	206d ago	Long break
Pending Appeal	287d ago	Long break
Giselles Defence	—	—
Kojin	—	—