Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle – Navan

Navan

14:17

Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-03-23

Distance 1m7f150y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,670

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Rainbow Trail Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	2-172	-	128	97	27d	—	—	-37	23.5	0.13/1	1/2 67%
Bumper winner, sets the standard here based on second place in a 25-runner maiden at Naas
10	Union Station Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	33	-	112	76	42d	—	—	-7	10.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two third placings at Naas, initial run over 2m arguably better than second run at 2m3f
16	Well Dressed Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Mark Walsh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	159	—	44	-	118	84	27d	—	—	-10	4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ability in two runs, may improve but appears held by Rainbow Trail on running at Naas
4	En Or Bay J:Phillip Enright T:A J Martin	J:Phillip Enright T:A J Martin	166	t	4P	-	118	94	6d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Four wins on Flat, pulled up with a slipped saddle at Down Royal last Sunday
7	Muhtaluza Grey J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	64	-	84	58	39d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has hinted at ability on his first two starts; second-string for Rainbow Trail's trainer
15	Rock On Dolly Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	159	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dam showed little, from family associated with stamina, one of three here for the stable
14	One Night Standard Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	159	—	3-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed in a point, Keith Donoghue rides Union Station, worth a look for future reference
12	Flier Bay J:E Walsh T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:E Walsh T:Mrs Denise Foster	159	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
15-race maiden on Flat, rated a modest 55, best watched on hurdling debut
3	Chance Another One Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:S M Duffy	J:Jody McGarvey T:S M Duffy	166	—	1P6	-	87	53	18d	—	—	+2	4.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Point winner on good ground, Thurles sixth was step in the right direction, more needed
5	Kinbara Hills Bay J:Danny Mullins T:S R B Crawford	J:Danny Mullins T:S R B Crawford	166	—	6U6	-	99	48	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
In good hands but has shown nothing so far, possible issues with his jumping
13	Mayos Vendangeur Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	159	t	860	-	95	22	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Will need to qualify for a handicap mark judged on her first two runs over hurdles.
6	Kinturk Jack Bay J:Oakley Brown(5) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Oakley Brown(5) T:Thomas Gibney	166	—	7	-	88	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
66-1, tailed off on belated debut in a 2m4f maiden at Punchestown last month
2	Bruno From Mars Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Sarah Dawson	J:Ricky Doyle T:Sarah Dawson	166	h	88	-	90	63	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Raced too keenly maiden hurdle, last of eight in a bumper, safe to rule out
8	Nelsoria Bay J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	166	—	—	-	57	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Always back when sent off at three-figures odds on debut at Gowran a fortnight ago
11	Arthur's Victory Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	159	—	70	-	93	65	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
3-25 Flat, all three wins in Britain, soundly beaten on her first two runs over hurdles
1	Ask Berlioz Bay J:Alan King(7) T:V T O'Brien	J:Alan King(7) T:V T O'Brien	166	—	P/8-	-	-	-	344d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Has run only twice, showed nothing in a bumper in 2022 and a maiden hurdle last year

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rainbow Trail	4/9	1/2	4/9
Union Station	9/2	7/2	7/2
Well Dressed	6/1	9/2	9/2
En Or	11/1	12/1	12/1
Muhtaluza	25/1	22/1	22/1
Rock On Dolly	33/1	33/1	33/1
One Night Standard	40/1	40/1	40/1
Flier	100/1	100/1	100/1
Chance Another One	66/1	66/1	66/1
Kinbara Hills	66/1	40/1	40/1
Mayos Vendangeur	100/1	100/1	100/1
Kinturk Jack	150/1	100/1	100/1
Bruno From Mars	200/1	150/1	150/1
Nelsoria	200/1	150/1	150/1
Arthur's Victory	200/1	150/1	150/1
Ask Berlioz	400/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rainbow Trail

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 20

1/2

2nd

Union Station

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Chance Another One

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Well Dressed

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

One Night Standard

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

En Or

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Muhtaluza

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Rock On Dolly

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Kinbara Hills

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Flier

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Mayos Vendangeur

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Kinturk Jack

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Bruno From Mars

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Nelsoria

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Arthur's Victory

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ask Berlioz

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rainbow Trail	—	128	97
Union Station	—	112	76
Well Dressed	—	118	84
En Or	—	118	94
Muhtaluza	—	84	58
Rock On Dolly	—	—	—
One Night Standard	—	—	—
Flier	—	—	—
Chance Another One	—	87	53
Kinbara Hills	—	99	48
Mayos Vendangeur	—	95	22
Kinturk Jack	—	88	—
Bruno From Mars	—	90	63
Nelsoria	—	57	—
Arthur's Victory	—	93	65
Ask Berlioz	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
En Or	6d ago	Quick return
Bruno From Mars	13d ago	Quick return
Mayos Vendangeur	14d ago	Fit
Nelsoria	14d ago	Fit
Chance Another One	18d ago	Fit
Arthur's Victory	18d ago	Fit
Kinbara Hills	21d ago	Fit
Rainbow Trail	27d ago	Fit
Well Dressed	27d ago	Fit
Kinturk Jack	34d ago	Fit
Muhtaluza	39d ago	Fit
Union Station	42d ago	Fit
Ask Berlioz	344d ago	Long break
Rock On Dolly	—	—
One Night Standard	—	—
Flier	—	—