British EBF BetVictor "National Hunt" Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB)

Newbury

15:15

Date 2024-03-23

Distance 2m4f118y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £28,617

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
16	Lindy Reilly Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	146	t	365	104	123	87	20d	—	—	+3	20	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Lots to prove but handicap newcomers from this yard always command a second look
5	Party Vibes Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	163	—	2-2211	121	126	114	32d	—	—	+12	24.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Doesn't look on a bad mark, especially with the potential to improve plenty over this trip
11	Larchmont Lass Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	155	h	1-5241	113	123	88	51d	—	—	+13	26.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Recent workmanlike winner at Wincanton; open to improvement but she needs some
4	El Elefante Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	164	—	-15451	122	128	108	15d	—	—	+25	31.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Didn't have much in hand over Kay Tara Tara last time and she's 11lb worse off here
2	Smiling Getaway Chestnut J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	165	—	/4-113	123	122	110	37d	—	—	+13	20.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Solid contender who should give her running but doesn't look strikingly well handicapped
6	Alfie's Princess b/br J:Lorcan Williams T:Sam Thomas	J:Lorcan Williams T:Sam Thomas	161	t	8-1153	119	127	108	49d	—	—	+13	18.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Beaten 17l in third at Sandown last time and she's only 1lb lower for this
14	Drumlee Spud Brown J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	151	—	1-22F3	109	126	96	47d	—	—	+17	23.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
This mark on handicap debut demands a career best in a race of this nature
7	Lilting Verse Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	157	t	417-14	115	124	100	94d	—	—	+13	17.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Giving weight to Smiling Getaway when behind her at Ludlow; this ground more favourable
13	Kay Tara Tara Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	153	—	0-1322	111	123	93	15d	—	—	+11	16.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Best run yet when keeping El Elefante honest at Ayr and has an 11lb pull with that one
15	Marmalade Time Chestnut J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	149	—	20031	107	123	68	20d	—	—	+24	28.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Recent winner and improving; not to be taken lightly despite a tough handicap debut
12	Endless Supply Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	153	—	62-322	111	118	92	92d	—	—	+12	16.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Rested since an excusable defeat in December and might not be badly handicapped
1	Ooh Betty Bay J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Ben Clarke	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Ben Clarke	166	t	13P122	124	127	113	32d	—	—	+29	33.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Improving mare and weighted to give Party Vibes more to think about than last time
8	All The Glory Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	157	p	122425	115	125	108	94d	—	—	+19	23.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back on drier ground and armed with plenty of experience, she could go well at a price
3	Condesa Brown J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	165	t	/0/142	123	122	102	57d	—	—	+14	20	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Narrowly beaten by a subsequent Grade 2 winner last time which brings her into it
9	Baby Shally Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Anthony Honeyball	157	t	-71543	115	126	97	21d	—	—	+19	23.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Improved third in a 3m Listed race last time but others still appeal more
10	Dontyawantme Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Craig Lidster	J:Sean Bowen T:Craig Lidster	156	—	7-4217	114	123	100	21d	—	—	+14	16.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Peak efforts offer hope but has to rebound from a below-par performance at Doncaster
17	Imperial Jade Bay J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Charlie Longsdon	146	t	21-576	104	117	93	51d	—	—	+12	14	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won a junior hurdle at Chepstow (2m, soft) last April but comfortably held since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lindy Reilly	4/1	4/1	4/1
Party Vibes	11/2	5/1	5/1
Larchmont Lass	11/2	11/2	11/2
El Elefante	12/1	10/1	10/1
Smiling Getaway	11/1	11/1	11/1
Alfie's Princess	14/1	14/1	14/1
Drumlee Spud	14/1	14/1	12/1
Lilting Verse	18/1	16/1	16/1
Kay Tara Tara	16/1	14/1	12/1
Marmalade Time	18/1	16/1	16/1
Endless Supply	22/1	20/1	20/1
Ooh Betty	25/1	22/1	22/1
All The Glory	16/1	16/1	16/1
Condesa	14/1	14/1	14/1
Baby Shally	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dontyawantme	50/1	33/1	33/1
Imperial Jade	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ooh Betty

33.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 13.7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

2nd

El Elefante

31.9

OR: 18 Form: 12 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Marmalade Time

28.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Larchmont Lass

26.8

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Party Vibes

24.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

All The Glory

23.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Drumlee Spud

23.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Baby Shally

23.5

OR: 16.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Smiling Getaway

20.2

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Lindy Reilly

OR: 13.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Condesa

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Alfie's Princess

18.9

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lilting Verse

17.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Kay Tara Tara

16.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dontyawantme

16.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Endless Supply

16.5

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Imperial Jade

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ooh Betty	124	127	113
Smiling Getaway	123	122	110
Condesa	123	122	102
El Elefante	122	128	108
Party Vibes	121	126	114
Alfie's Princess	119	127	108
Lilting Verse	115	124	100
All The Glory	115	125	108
Baby Shally	115	126	97
Dontyawantme	114	123	100
Larchmont Lass	113	123	88
Kay Tara Tara	111	123	93
Endless Supply	111	118	92
Drumlee Spud	109	126	96
Marmalade Time	107	123	68
Lindy Reilly	104	123	87
Imperial Jade	104	117	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
El Elefante	15d ago	Fit
Kay Tara Tara	15d ago	Fit
Lindy Reilly	20d ago	Fit
Marmalade Time	20d ago	Fit
Baby Shally	21d ago	Fit
Dontyawantme	21d ago	Fit
Party Vibes	32d ago	Fit
Ooh Betty	32d ago	Fit
Smiling Getaway	37d ago	Fit
Drumlee Spud	47d ago	Fresh
Alfie's Princess	49d ago	Fresh
Larchmont Lass	51d ago	Fresh
Imperial Jade	51d ago	Fresh
Condesa	57d ago	Fresh
Endless Supply	92d ago	Long break
Lilting Verse	94d ago	Long break
All The Glory	94d ago	Long break