EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (EBF Mares' NH Novices' Hurdle Series Qua') (GBB Race)

Wincanton

14:15

Date 2024-02-01

Distance 2m5f82y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Larchmont Lass Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	156	h	21-524	-	117	87	33d	—	—	-22	10	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Not really progressed over hurdles but she's a Listed bumper winner and still early days
8	Goodtimecrew Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	156	—	/17-22	103	115	106	70d	—	—	+1	18.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Second in both hurdles; this longer trip should suit one with a pointing background
4	Betty's Tiara Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	156	—	1572	-	110	80	28d	—	—	-4	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Did well to finish second on hurdling debut given how novicey her jumping was
5	Brave Jen Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	156	—	6-402P	116	120	97	33d	—	—	+6	20.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second in a Listed race before getting outclassed in the Challow; strong form claims
2	Baby Shally Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	163	—	1-715	-	115	91	20d	—	—	+1	9.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Couldn't defy the penalty at Huntingdon (2m4f, good to soft) but didn't run at all badly
12	Saunton Surf Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Warren Greatrex	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Warren Greatrex	156	—	1-125	-	117	75	70d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two bumper wins (one a point version); second on hurdle debut; soft an excuse latest
7	Dairylane Daisy Brown J:Ciaran Gethings T:Noel Williams	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Noel Williams	156	—	1-6	-	102	62	77d	—	—	+4	8.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Irish point winner; ran perfectly well to be beaten 11l in a 2m4f hurdle at Market Rasen
1	Asian Spice Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	168	—	27-511	96	95	73	67d	—	—	+9	12.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Returning to novice company under a double penalty asks a big question of her
6	Butterflycollector Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	156	—	6-	-	-	-	364d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ran well in the bumper on this card 12 months ago, finishing behind two of these
13	Time In The Sun Chestnut J:Daryl Jacob T:Henry Daly	J:Daryl Jacob T:Henry Daly	156	—	8-240	-	110	74	77d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has ability but flopped at Market Rasen and others have stronger credentials
14	Von Hallers Brown J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	156	t	P1-UP	-	-	-	67d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Point winner and it could be that she's yet to do herself justice under rules
3	Imperial Jade Bay J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Charlie Longsdon	163	t	321-57	96	100	77	17d	—	—	+10	11.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Vulnerable in this company if judged on this season's defeats in handicaps
11	Love Of Neymore Chestnut J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	156	—	89/	-	-	-	667d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Beaten just under 30l in two bumpers for Martin Keighley; absent since April of 2022
9	Gypsy Hill Bay J:Alan Johns T:Victor Dartnall	J:Alan Johns T:Victor Dartnall	156	tp	00-P	-	-	-	42d	—	—	-1	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
No worthwhile form in two bumpers and a maiden hurdle, trying different headgear

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Larchmont Lass	7/4	7/4	7/4
Goodtimecrew	4/1	4/1	4/1
Betty's Tiara	9/2	9/2	9/2
Brave Jen	11/2	9/2	5/1
Baby Shally	10/1	10/1	10/1
Saunton Surf	14/1	14/1	14/1
Dairylane Daisy	20/1	28/1	22/1
Asian Spice	28/1	18/1	18/1
Butterflycollector	33/1	33/1	22/1
Time In The Sun	40/1	33/1	33/1
Von Hallers	66/1	66/1	66/1
Imperial Jade	80/1	80/1	80/1
Love Of Neymore	100/1	125/1	125/1
Gypsy Hill	500/1	150/1	175/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brave Jen

20.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Goodtimecrew

18.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Betty's Tiara

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 5

9/2

Asian Spice

12.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Imperial Jade

11.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Larchmont Lass

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

Baby Shally

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Saunton Surf

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Dairylane Daisy

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Butterflycollector

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Time In The Sun

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Von Hallers

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Love Of Neymore

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Gypsy Hill

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brave Jen	116	120	97
Goodtimecrew	103	115	106
Asian Spice	96	95	73
Imperial Jade	96	100	77
Larchmont Lass	—	117	87
Betty's Tiara	—	110	80
Baby Shally	—	115	91
Saunton Surf	—	117	75
Dairylane Daisy	—	102	62
Butterflycollector	—	—	—
Time In The Sun	—	110	74
Von Hallers	—	—	—
Love Of Neymore	—	—	—
Gypsy Hill	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Imperial Jade	17d ago	Fit
Baby Shally	20d ago	Fit
Betty's Tiara	28d ago	Fit
Larchmont Lass	33d ago	Fit
Brave Jen	33d ago	Fit
Gypsy Hill	42d ago	Fit
Asian Spice	67d ago	Fresh
Von Hallers	67d ago	Fresh
Goodtimecrew	70d ago	Fresh
Saunton Surf	70d ago	Fresh
Dairylane Daisy	77d ago	Fresh
Time In The Sun	77d ago	Fresh
Butterflycollector	364d ago	Long break
Love Of Neymore	667d ago	Long break