Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Hereford

15:30

Date 2024-01-29

Distance 2m4f194y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £6,179

Winning Time 5m 25.69s (slow by 20.69s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Henry's Friend (IRE) Ben Jones · Ben Pauling	7/4F	Won
2nd	Deeper Blue (FR) Jonathan Burke · Harry Fry	16/1	1.5
3rd	Rock My Way (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Syd Hosie	6/1	5.5
4th	Hardy Fella (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	9/2	7.5
5th	Harbour Lake (IRE) Tom Cannon · Alan King	9/2	20

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Russian Ruler (IRE) James Bowen · Nicky Henderson	10/1
P.U.	Supreme Gift (IRE) Alice Stevens · Henry Daly	8/1

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Henry's Friend Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	161	—	410-51	129	137	94	30d	—	—	0	28.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made good transition to fences, jumped well virtually throughout for Newbury win (2m6f)
7	Hardy Fella Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	156	—	21-415	124	137	127	42d	—	—	+9	22.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Scraped home on 2nd chase start (2m3f); latest 5th at Plumpton looks better form now
1	Rock My Way Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Syd Hosie	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Syd Hosie	164	t	9-0562	132	138	125	22d	—	—	+11	24.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Winning Irish pointer; won Grade 2 hurdle last January; solid chase debut; has potential
4	Harbour Lake Brown J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	160	—	4P45-P	128	-	-	34d	—	—	+10	23.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Four hurdle wins at 2m-2m4f but tentative start to chase career when pulled up at Aintree
5	Supreme Gift Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	159	—	94-314	127	139	94	34d	—	—	+12	22.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won 3-5 hurdle completions; promising novice chase win at Ascot (2m3f); letdown since
6	Russian Ruler b/br J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	157	p	F11-4P	125	135	103	34d	—	—	+11	21.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Progressive hurdler; satisfactory chase debut but didn't make a good impression latest
3	Deeper Blue Chestnut J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	160	—	1/6-28	128	141	128	44d	—	—	+19	26.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Showed promise on second chase start (2m3f); beaten long way out since; shaky win claims
NR	Sageburg County Bay J:TBC T:Warren Greatrex	J: T:Warren Greatrex	151	—	3-1P18	119	142	127	45d	—	—	—	19.4	—	—
Won 2 of 4 chases but moderate efforts in the other two, including latest; hard to predict

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Henry's Friend	2/1	2/1	2/1
Hardy Fella	5/1	5/1	9/2
Rock My Way	11/2	5/1	5/1
Harbour Lake	11/2	11/2	5/1
Supreme Gift	7/1	7/1	7/1
Russian Ruler	8/1	8/1	7/1
Deeper Blue	12/1	11/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Henry's Friend

28.6

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Deeper Blue

26.6

OR: 19.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Rock My Way

24.1

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Harbour Lake

23.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Hardy Fella

22.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Supreme Gift

22.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Russian Ruler

21.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Sageburg County

19.4

OR: 17.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rock My Way	132	138	125
Henry's Friend	129	137	94
Harbour Lake	128	—	—
Deeper Blue	128	141	128
Supreme Gift	127	139	94
Russian Ruler	125	135	103
Hardy Fella	124	137	127
Sageburg County	119	142	127

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rock My Way	22d ago	Fit
Henry's Friend	30d ago	Fit
Harbour Lake	34d ago	Fit
Supreme Gift	34d ago	Fit
Russian Ruler	34d ago	Fit
Hardy Fella	42d ago	Fit
Deeper Blue	44d ago	Fit
Sageburg County	45d ago	Fit