Paddy Power From The Horses Mouth Podcast Beginners Chase

Leopardstown

12:35

Date 2023-12-27

Distance 2m1f

Class

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €10,325

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Marine Nationale Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	166	t	11111-	-	-	-	288d	—	—	-15	45	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Carried all before him as a novice hurdler last season and could be anything over fences
5	Ho My Lord Grey J:Jody McGarvey T:W P Mullins	J:Jody McGarvey T:W P Mullins	166	—	F19P-2	-	148	105	27d	—	—	-5	9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Didn't hang about over hurdles; chased home a smart horse on chase debut at Thurles
4	Firm Footings Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	67-152	-	138	74	15d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Looked unlucky not to win at Punchestown but this is a much stronger race
3	Feu Du Bresil Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	166	—	P213-2	-	142	107	33d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Useful hurdler who went close on chase debut at Fairyhouse; solid place claims
7	Monbeg Park Bay J:J J Slevin T:Sean Thomas Doyle	J:J J Slevin T:Sean Thomas Doyle	166	—	P221-4	-	139	96	27d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Perhaps rusty after his break when behind Ho My Lord on his chase debut at Thurles
9	Walk With Paul Bay J:Conor Brassil(5) T:Martin Brassil	J:Conor Brassil(5) T:Martin Brassil	159	ht	343-26	-	120	84	33d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Finished some way behind Feu Du Bresil when sent chasing at Fairyhouse
1	Dreal Deal Bay J:Brian Hayes T:John C McConnell	J:Brian Hayes T:John C McConnell	166	t	8/3-35	130	141	39	—	—	—	+21	22.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
0-4 over fences and left behind by Facile Vega and others on his latest attempt at Navan
2	Dutch Schultz Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	h	5-21F3	-	118	-	80d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Flat/hurdle winner; fell on chase debut and outclassed in this company
NR	Reversal Grey J:TBC T:C A Murphy	J: T:C A Murphy	166	—	036	-	-	-	11d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Beaten in three maiden hurdles and hurled into the deep end here on chasing debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Marine Nationale	4/9	4/9	4/9
Ho My Lord	6/1	5/1	5/1
Firm Footings	7/1	15/2	15/2
Feu Du Bresil	10/1	9/1	9/1
Monbeg Park	10/1	10/1	11/1
Walk With Paul	40/1	33/1	33/1
Dreal Deal	66/1	50/1	50/1
Dutch Schultz	66/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marine Nationale

OR: 0 Form: 25 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Dreal Deal

22.6

OR: 20 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

3rd

Ho My Lord

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4

6/1

Feu Du Bresil

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Firm Footings

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Monbeg Park

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Reversal

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Walk With Paul

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Dutch Schultz

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dreal Deal	130	141	39
Marine Nationale	—	—	—
Ho My Lord	—	148	105
Firm Footings	—	138	74
Feu Du Bresil	—	142	107
Monbeg Park	—	139	96
Walk With Paul	—	120	84
Dutch Schultz	—	118	—
Reversal	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Reversal	11d ago	Quick return
Firm Footings	15d ago	Fit
Ho My Lord	27d ago	Fit
Monbeg Park	27d ago	Fit
Feu Du Bresil	33d ago	Fit
Walk With Paul	33d ago	Fit
Dutch Schultz	80d ago	Fresh
Marine Nationale	288d ago	Long break
Dreal Deal	—	—