Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Listed Race)

Leopardstown

15:00

Date 2023-12-27

Distance 3m100y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €110,000

Runners (29)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
22	Jody Ted Chestnut J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Eoin Griffin	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Eoin Griffin	151	—	2F2-11	134	154	97	31d	—	—	+11	25	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On a hat-trick and step up to 3m over fences could bring more improvement
27	Meetingofthewaters Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	147	—	76-431	130	151	107	31d	—	—	+11	23.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Likely market mover on handicap chase debut but inexperience a possible negative
18	Amirite Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	155	t	3U3P-4	138	153	137	60d	—	—	+14	25.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Well-backed but hasn't yet delivered in big handicaps; Blackmore remains loyal
15	Panda Boy Grey J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	157	p	3F5-44	140	151	52	45d	—	—	+15	25.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last year's third ran over inadequate trip latest; return to 3m to suit and cheekpieces on
12	Fakir D'alene Bay J:Jack Kennedy(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy(5) T:Gordon Elliott	159	b	74B/23	142	153	138	38d	—	—	+18	24.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Troytown third could go well here under talented 5lb claimer
24	Gars De Sceaux Grey J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	149	—	9/33-5	132	151	115	33d	—	—	+15	22.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Inadequate trip on last month's seasonal return; unknown quantity entering handicaps
2	Adamantly Chosen Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	165	—	276P-4	148	152	114	32d	—	—	+20	26.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fourth to Idas Boy on return at Punchestown but not so sure this extended trip will suit
16	Watch House Cross Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	157	t	-11336	140	158	129	38d	—	—	+27	32.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Let down by jumping in Troytown; best form on better ground and over shorter
3	James Du Berlais Chestnut J:Daryl Jacob T:W P Mullins	J:Daryl Jacob T:W P Mullins	165	t	6643-4	148	158	125	27d	—	—	+20	26.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Probably on a high enough mark in first handicap chase; tongue-tie tried
11	Hollow Games Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	161	tb	4P4-3P	144	148	70	38d	—	—	+21	24.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Let down by jumping in Troytown on latest and blinkers now replace cheekpieces worn then
9	Desertmore House Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	162	t	-21711	145	149	93	98d	—	—	+40	46.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two big handicap wins already from four starts chasing with likely more in the tank
1	Idas Boy Chestnut J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Noel Meade	166	—	/12P-1	149	149	98	32d	—	—	+32	35.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Comeback Punchestown winner could improve again upped in trip on only fifth chase start
4	Run Wild Fred Chestnut J:Keith Donoghue T:Gordon Elliott	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gordon Elliott	165	b	/23-59	148	154	130	38d	—	—	+22	25.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Seasoned handicapper well held in Troytown and remains opposable despite declining mark
8	Busselton Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	163	b	54P-54	146	153	-	39d	—	—	+21	25.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Better for recent comeback run and rider's claim a positive
23	Real Steel Bay J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	150	p	0P-465	133	153	128	39d	—	—	+18	21.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Last year's winner off 131 hasn't run to that level since so much more needed
14	Macs Charm Bay J:Brian Hayes T:C A Murphy	J:Brian Hayes T:C A Murphy	159	—	4221-P	142	152	111	38d	—	—	+20	24	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dropped out quickly on return in last month's Troytown; hard to see him featuring
19	Life In The Park Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	155	—	3-3305	138	149	97	32d	—	—	+22	24.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Some solid handicap form but good bit more likely needed to feature here
R29	Flash De Touzaine Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Liz Doyle	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Liz Doyle	146	t	F953-U	129	152	131	52d	—	—	+18	20.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Beaten when unseating in Cork National on seasonal return and hard to fancy
10	Diol Ker Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gordon Elliott	162	b	U7-5F8	145	154	98	24d	—	—	+22	24.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Touched off by Real Steel in this last year but recent form not encouraging
20	Enjoy D'allen b/br J:Sean Flanagan T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Sean Flanagan T:Ciaran Murphy	154	b	060-57	137	150	-	12d	—	—	+20	22.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Switched to cross-country this season and readily opposable back in handicap company
17	En Beton Brown J:Michael O'Sullivan T:W P Mullins	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:W P Mullins	156	—	1/15/8	139	135	45	31d	—	—	+26	27.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Long absent before recent Cork run; entitled to improve and only 9yos fourth chase
28	Royal Thief Bay J:Baptiste Le Clerc T:Gordon Elliott	J:Baptiste Le Clerc T:Gordon Elliott	147	tb	/16-88	130	154	115	38d	—	—	+18	20.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Couple of underwhelming runs for current yard this term; opposable
6	Embittered Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	164	t	6P-071	147	148	123	18d	—	—	+23	24.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Navan winner well worth another try at 3m but 10lb penalty makes this tough
7	Ontheropes Brown J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	164	p	/1465/	147	146	-	699d	—	—	+26	27.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Munster National winner absent since January 2022; runs well fresh but others preferred
21	Upping The Anti Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Ben Harvey T:Henry De Bromhead	154	tp	2F-0F7	137	156	69	32d	—	—	+20	22.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Record in big handicaps is poor, headgear combination now tried
25	Mister Fogpatches Grey J:Richard Condon(5) T:P A Fahy	J:Richard Condon(5) T:P A Fahy	148	p	4P-5P6	131	137	108	24d	—	—	+19	20.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Not much to take from this season so far and would be a surprise if he played a major role
26	Punitive Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	148	b	0P6F-0	131	131	110	38d	—	—	+19	20.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
None too fluent on last month's seasonal return in Troytown; of limited appeal
NR	Chemical Energy Chestnut J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	164	—	142P-6	147	158	115	98d	—	—	—	24.3	—	—
Stays well but jumping remains a concern in such a competitive handicap
NR	Ha D'or Bay J:TBC T:W P Mullins	J: T:W P Mullins	159	h	425F-P	142	153	130	32d	—	—	—	23	—	—
Bad early mistake put paid to his chances behind Idas Boy at Punchestown; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Jody Ted	13/2	6/1	6/1
Meetingofthewaters	7/1	13/2	13/2
Amirite	6/1	7/1	7/1
Panda Boy	15/2	15/2	15/2
Fakir D'alene	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gars De Sceaux	11/1	10/1	10/1
Adamantly Chosen	12/1	12/1	12/1
Watch House Cross	20/1	16/1	16/1
James Du Berlais	16/1	14/1	14/1
Hollow Games	18/1	22/1	22/1
Desertmore House	16/1	18/1	18/1
Idas Boy	25/1	25/1	25/1
Run Wild Fred	20/1	25/1	25/1
Busselton	25/1	25/1	25/1
Real Steel	22/1	25/1	25/1
Macs Charm	33/1	28/1	28/1
Life In The Park	33/1	33/1	33/1
Flash De Touzaine	40/1	33/1	33/1
Diol Ker	33/1	33/1	33/1
Enjoy D'allen	40/1	40/1	40/1
En Beton	66/1	50/1	50/1
Royal Thief	66/1	50/1	50/1
Embittered	40/1	40/1	40/1
Ontheropes	40/1	50/1	50/1
Upping The Anti	66/1	66/1	66/1
Mister Fogpatches	80/1	66/1	66/1
Punitive	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desertmore House

46.5

OR: 23.8 Form: 21 Odds: 1.7

18/1

2nd

Idas Boy

35.7

OR: 24.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1

25/1

3rd

Watch House Cross

32.5

OR: 22.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

En Beton

27.8

OR: 22.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ontheropes

27.7

OR: 24.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Adamantly Chosen

26.4

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

James Du Berlais

26.2

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Run Wild Fred

25.5

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Panda Boy

25.4

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Amirite

25.1

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Busselton

25.1

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Jody Ted

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Fakir D'alene

24.9

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Life In The Park

24.8

OR: 22 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Embittered

24.8

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Hollow Games

24.6

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Diol Ker

24.5

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Chemical Energy

24.3

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Macs Charm

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Meetingofthewaters

23.6

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Ha D'or

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gars De Sceaux

22.7

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Enjoy D'allen

22.5

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Upping The Anti

22.2

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Real Steel

21.6

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Mister Fogpatches

20.8

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Royal Thief

20.6

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Punitive

20.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Flash De Touzaine

20.5

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Idas Boy	149	149	98
Adamantly Chosen	148	152	114
James Du Berlais	148	158	125
Run Wild Fred	148	154	130
Embittered	147	148	123
Ontheropes	147	146	—
Chemical Energy	147	158	115
Busselton	146	153	—
Desertmore House	145	149	93
Diol Ker	145	154	98
Hollow Games	144	148	70
Fakir D'alene	142	153	138
Macs Charm	142	152	111
Ha D'or	142	153	130
Panda Boy	140	151	52
Watch House Cross	140	158	129
En Beton	139	135	45
Amirite	138	153	137
Life In The Park	138	149	97
Enjoy D'allen	137	150	—
Upping The Anti	137	156	69
Jody Ted	134	154	97
Real Steel	133	153	128
Gars De Sceaux	132	151	115
Mister Fogpatches	131	137	108
Punitive	131	131	110
Meetingofthewaters	130	151	107
Royal Thief	130	154	115
Flash De Touzaine	129	152	131

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enjoy D'allen	12d ago	Quick return
Embittered	18d ago	Fit
Diol Ker	24d ago	Fit
Mister Fogpatches	24d ago	Fit
James Du Berlais	27d ago	Fit
Jody Ted	31d ago	Fit
Meetingofthewaters	31d ago	Fit
En Beton	31d ago	Fit
Adamantly Chosen	32d ago	Fit
Idas Boy	32d ago	Fit
Life In The Park	32d ago	Fit
Upping The Anti	32d ago	Fit
Ha D'or	32d ago	Fit
Gars De Sceaux	33d ago	Fit
Fakir D'alene	38d ago	Fit
Watch House Cross	38d ago	Fit
Hollow Games	38d ago	Fit
Run Wild Fred	38d ago	Fit
Macs Charm	38d ago	Fit
Royal Thief	38d ago	Fit
Punitive	38d ago	Fit
Busselton	39d ago	Fit
Real Steel	39d ago	Fit
Panda Boy	45d ago	Fit
Flash De Touzaine	52d ago	Fresh
Amirite	60d ago	Fresh
Desertmore House	98d ago	Long break
Chemical Energy	98d ago	Long break
Ontheropes	699d ago	Long break