Tote Guarantee Now At Chelmsford Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:30

Tote Guarantee Now At Chelmsford Handicap

Date 2023-12-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Winning Time 1m 25.07s (slow by 2.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Riot (IRE) Hector Crouch · David O'Meara	5/1	Won
2nd	Remarkable Force (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Brian Toomey	18/1	0.3
3rd	Band Of Steel (GB) Daniel Muscutt · S Woods	4/1	0.2
4th	King Of Ithaca (GB) P J McDonald · James Tate	10/1	1.75
5th	Al Marmar (IRE) Luke Catton · Stuart Williams	66/1	0.1
6th	Eden Storm (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	10/1	.5
7th	Beltane (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	18/1	0.2
8th	Captain Cuddles (IRE) Dougie Costello · Fionn McSharry	16/1	1.25
9th	Maysan (FR) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	14/1	0.3
10th	Supreme King (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · David Evans	20/1	1.25
11th	Oliver Show (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	11/4F	1.25
12th	Rogue Thunder (GB) Rob Hornby · Tom Clover	7/1	0.2
13th	Okami (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Laura Mongan	100/1	.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Oliver Show Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	137	t	-44143	82	93	77	132d	—	—	-4	24.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Kempton winner for Sir Michael Stoute; stable debut having been gelded and had a wind op
10 (9)	Band Of Steel Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	131	hp	545953	76	92	77	26d	—	—	-1	13.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ran well over 1m here last time, but tends to pull hard so drop in trip worth exploring
6 (12)	Rogue Thunder Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Clover	J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Clover	133	h	4441	78	91	68	21d	—	—	+9	20.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Beat a subsequent winner over C&D three weeks ago; one for the shortlist on handicap debut
2 (11)	Riot Bay J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	137	tp	553251	82	92	76	21d	—	—	+13	24.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Record over C&D reads 315321 likely to go well again under conditions that suit him well.
13 (10)	King Of Ithaca Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Tate	J:P J McDonald T:James Tate	124	—	932173	69	90	79	35d	—	—	+11	16.5	2.75/1	12 8%
C&D maiden winner as a 2yo and third here last month, but that form hasn't worked out
4 (1)	Captain Cuddles Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Fionn McSharry	J:Dougie Costello T:Fionn McSharry	135	—	320203	80	89	76	12d	—	—	+10	15.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Third on stable/AW debut at Wolverhampton last time; each-way claims if building on that
7 (3)	Eden Storm Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	133	—	512805	78	91	70	21d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Finished just over 2l behind Riot over C&D three weeks ago; shouldn't be far away
3 (7)	Remarkable Force Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Brian Toomey	J:Rossa Ryan T:Brian Toomey	136	—	0-4039	81	91	-	100d	—	—	+3	9.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Makes his stable/AW debut after 100 days off and the market may be revealing
11 (4)	Supreme King Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Evans	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Evans	129	—	254245	74	91	77	12d	—	—	+4	10.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Has shown ability, but is now 0-11 and isn't progressing
8 (6)	Beltane Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	133	—	132166	78	92	-	113d	—	—	+10	15.8	4.75/1	20 5%
In good form on turf after returning in April, but below form the last twice
12 (13)	Maysan Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	128	—	621036	73	91	78	12d	—	—	+10	12.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Won in France in the summer and has run well for this yard; still needs a bit more
9 (8)	Okami Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Laura Mongan	J:Jack Mitchell T:Laura Mongan	132	—	151180	77	91	71	30d	—	—	+13	15.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Won three times on Polytrack for Roger Varian this year, but below form the last twice
5 (5)	Al Marmar Brown J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	134	t	-00300	79	88	62	33d	—	—	+7	9.3	19.75/1	80 1%
Hasn't shown much since returning in March; tongue-tie will need to have a major effect

Horse	bet365	Coral
Oliver Show	7/4	9/4
Band Of Steel	11/2	11/2
Rogue Thunder	6	6
Riot	11/2	6
King Of Ithaca	12	12
Captain Cuddles	12	12
Eden Storm	14	12
Remarkable Force	18	14
Supreme King	20	14
Beltane	20	16
Maysan	28	28
Okami	50	40
Al Marmar	80	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Oliver Show

24.9

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Riot

24.7

OR: 8 Form: 13.4 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Rogue Thunder

20.3

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

King Of Ithaca

16.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.6

Beltane

15.8

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

Captain Cuddles

15.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Okami

15.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 8 Odds: 0.5

Band Of Steel

13.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Maysan

12.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0.7

Eden Storm

12.2

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Supreme King

10.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Remarkable Force

9.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Al Marmar

9.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Oliver Show	82	93	77
Riot	82	92	76
Remarkable Force	81	91	—
Captain Cuddles	80	89	76
Al Marmar	79	88	62
Rogue Thunder	78	91	68
Eden Storm	78	91	70
Beltane	78	92	—
Okami	77	91	71
Band Of Steel	76	92	77
Supreme King	74	91	77
Maysan	73	91	78
King Of Ithaca	69	90	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Captain Cuddles	12d ago	Quick return
Supreme King	12d ago	Quick return
Maysan	12d ago	Quick return
Rogue Thunder	21d ago	Fit
Riot	21d ago	Fit
Eden Storm	21d ago	Fit
Band Of Steel	26d ago	Fit
Okami	30d ago	Fit
Al Marmar	33d ago	Fit
King Of Ithaca	35d ago	Fit
Remarkable Force	100d ago	Long break
Beltane	113d ago	Long break
Oliver Show	132d ago	Long break