Go Racing With Vickers.Bet Racing Club Novices' Handicap Chase

Hereford

15:00

Date 2023-10-17

Distance 3m1f44y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Winning Time 6m 12.70s (fast by 0.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Can't Beat History (IRE) Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	9/2	Won
2nd	Deadly Missile (IRE) Ben Poste · Rosemary Gasson	7/2	14
3rd	Frankie Faulkner (IRE) Isabel Williams · Evan Williams	9/2	.5
4th	Talkingthetalk (IRE) Sean Houlihan · Sheila Lewis	16/1	16
5th	Dynali (GB) Tabitha Worsley · Sarah-Jayne Davies	40/1	19

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
U.R.	Meechlands Magic (GB) Harry Reed · Debra Hamer	7/4F
P.U.	Newtonian (GB) Richard Patrick · Matt Sheppard	12/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Regarde Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	170	—	4654-1	101	110	-	7d	—	—	-5	36.3	—	—
Winning Irish pointer; won on chase debut last week despite jumping errors; chance
9	Meechlands Magic b/br J:Harry Reed T:Debra Hamer	J:Harry Reed T:Debra Hamer	145	p	44-491	76	110	78	5d	—	—	-18	17.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Worcester winner from 10lb out of the handicap on 2nd chase start last week; fair chance
2	Frankie Faulkner Chestnut J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	168	—	-31332	99	107	94	25d	—	—	+12	29.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Winning hurdler/pointer; close second latest despite slipped saddle; this looks stronger
8	Deadly Missile Brown J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	145	—	-524F2	76	103	90	17d	—	—	0	17	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Point winner who was a close second in a handicap chase last time; a possible
5	Cant Beat History Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Henry Oliver	J:Lee Edwards T:Henry Oliver	157	t	-451U4	88	106	91	17d	—	—	+4	17.1	1.00/1	5 20%
Fair hurdler; easy winner over fences in August and fair effort last time; each-way chance
NR	Dukehill Bay J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Robbie Llewellyn	163	p	P-5536	94	104	81	52d	—	—	+4	13.9	1.50/1	7 14%
Ex-Irish; close third at Perth two runs back; lesser effort latest; first run for new yard
10	Newtonian Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Matt Sheppard	J:Richard Patrick T:Matt Sheppard	142	tb	7-6665	73	99	53	5d	—	—	0	8.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Hard to fancy having finished 43l behind Meechlands Magic at Worcester last week
NR	Sadie Hill Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:NON-RUNNER(5) T:Alastair Ralph	160	t	P81-48	91	-	-	122d	—	—	+6	12	4.25/1	18 6%
Second in a point in 2021; won mares' handicap hurdle in April; chase debut
6	Talkingthetalk Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	148	tp	P13PP1	79	103	71	34d	—	—	+15	19.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Has won two small field chases at Uttoxeter this term; looks to have a stiffer task here
7	Dynali Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	147	tp	545405	78	96	72	13d	—	—	+5	7.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Dual Flat winner; 0-17 over jumps and out of form over fences recently; others stronger

Horse	bet365	Coral
Regarde	SP	SP
Meechlands Magic	13/8	13/8
Frankie Faulkner	4	7/2
Deadly Missile	4	7/2
Cant Beat History	5	5
Dukehill	7	7
Newtonian	10	12
Sadie Hill	18	16
Talkingthetalk	16	16
Dynali	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Regarde

36.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 13.5

—

2nd

Frankie Faulkner

29.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 12.2 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Talkingthetalk

19.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 11.1 Odds: 1.4

Meechlands Magic

17.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

13/8

Cant Beat History

17.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 4 Odds: 3.6

Deadly Missile

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Dukehill

13.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Sadie Hill

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

Newtonian

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Dynali

7.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Regarde	101	110	—
Frankie Faulkner	99	107	94
Dukehill	94	104	81
Sadie Hill	91	—	—
Cant Beat History	88	106	91
Talkingthetalk	79	103	71
Dynali	78	96	72
Meechlands Magic	76	110	78
Deadly Missile	76	103	90
Newtonian	73	99	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Meechlands Magic	5d ago	Quick return
Newtonian	5d ago	Quick return
Regarde	7d ago	Quick return
Dynali	13d ago	Quick return
Deadly Missile	17d ago	Fit
Cant Beat History	17d ago	Fit
Frankie Faulkner	25d ago	Fit
Talkingthetalk	34d ago	Fit
Dukehill	52d ago	Fresh
Sadie Hill	122d ago	Long break