Moulton Nurseries Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

16:20

Moulton Nurseries Handicap

Date 2023-09-20

Distance 1m1f21y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,936

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Lord Bertie Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	137	—	31-18	95	102	78	18d	—	—	-3	17	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Fluffed the start on handicap debut 18 days ago but still brings significant potential
6 (7)	Flying Frontier Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	133	—	21152	91	98	79	24d	—	—	+12	29.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins in June and further progress when 2nd over 1m2f here last month; rain a worry
7 (3)	First Sight Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	132	—	5-117	90	94	49	82d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Flopped on handicap/turf debut in June; still unexposed but others look safer
1 (1)	Choisya Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	138	—	272101	96	96	70	50d	—	—	+16	33	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Progressive filly; saw off 17 rivals at Goodwood latest; may be even better at this trip
5 (4)	Sceptic Bay J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	134	—	641032	92	99	95	18d	—	—	+13	23.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two wins this year but he needs improvement now stepping up in distance
3 (8)	Return To Dubai Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Saeed Bin Suroor	136	—	4225-1	89	98	-	36d	—	—	+13	22.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Returned from a long absence to win on AW five weeks ago; unexposed and 4lb rise fair
9 (9)	Acotango Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Jim Crowley T:Harry & Roger Charlton	130	b	-29239	88	96	90	31d	—	—	+10	17.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Enough good runs this year to make him of interest; blinkers could spark something extra
8 (5)	Dashing Roger Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:William Stone	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:William Stone	130	—	0-5375	83	97	74	18d	—	—	+3	10.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On a losing run and it has been a mixed bag so far this year; others look stronger today
4 (2)	Great Max Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	135	—	-40067	88	95	68	18d	—	—	+6	10.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Useful 2yo for this yard; well held at Sandown on return to M Bell; others more appealing

Horse	bet365	Coral
Lord Bertie	7/2	10/3
Flying Frontier	9/2	9/2
First Sight	11/2	4/1
Choisya	6	11/2
Sceptic	8	17/2
Return To Dubai	17/2	9/1
Acotango	9	11/1
Dashing Roger	10	14/1
Great Max	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Choisya

OR: 11.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5

11/2

2nd

Flying Frontier

29.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 14 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Sceptic

23.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Return To Dubai

22.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Acotango

17.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Lord Bertie

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

First Sight

14.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Great Max

10.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dashing Roger

10.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Choisya	96	96	70
Lord Bertie	95	102	78
Sceptic	92	99	95
Flying Frontier	91	98	79
First Sight	90	94	49
Return To Dubai	89	98	—
Acotango	88	96	90
Great Max	88	95	68
Dashing Roger	83	97	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Bertie	18d ago	Fit
Sceptic	18d ago	Fit
Dashing Roger	18d ago	Fit
Great Max	18d ago	Fit
Flying Frontier	24d ago	Fit
Acotango	31d ago	Fit
Return To Dubai	36d ago	Fit
Choisya	50d ago	Fresh
First Sight	82d ago	Fresh