Best Odds Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Handicap (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Bath

19:40

Date 2023-08-19

Distance 1m5f11y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Beggarman Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Hughie Morrison	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Hughie Morrison	135	p	-78282	60	71	63	24d	—	—	-5	16.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-9 on turf but he had a near miss over 1m6f here last time; key player
6 (10)	Nevendon Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Liam Keniry T:Alexandra Dunn	131	t	00-422	56	72	65	10d	—	—	-12	7.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Runner-up here (11.6f) last twice and he's respected back up in trip
3 (7)	Lunar Shadow Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	135	—	-14233	60	74	34	—	—	—	+1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has form figures of 14233 on the Flat this year and he's respected back in this sphere
9 (5)	Molliana Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Neil Mulholland	J:Saffie Osborne T:Neil Mulholland	122	tp	-35419	47	73	61	31d	—	—	+1	10.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Most of her wins have come in Jersey and has never won on the Flat in Britain
2 (8)	Systemic Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	136	tp	3/7-04	61	71	28	9d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Signs of a revival at Salisbury (1m6f) last week and has claims if he can build on that
1 (11)	Fravanco Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	137	—	55715	62	70	54	21d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won on handicap debut at Lingfield (AW) but his spark was missing back on turf last time
10 (2)	Ladypacksapunch Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	121	—	023775	46	73	62	15d	—	—	-3	3.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Not beaten far here in last two runs but she's now 0-20 and is untried at this trip
8 (3)	Kindgirl Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alastair Ralph	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Alastair Ralph	125	t	950-37	50	69	43	31d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Inconsistent eight-race maiden and was well held here latest; others are more convincing
5 (6)	Humaniste Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	133	—	5370-6	58	67	69	24d	—	—	-1	3.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Four point wins since November but was well held back on the Flat here last month
NR (9)	First Quest Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	128	tv	/00/09	53	66	30	31d	—	—	-1	1.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Has struggled under both codes in last four runs and last Flat win was in 2019
11 (1)	Hammy End Bay J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	121	h	649098	46	73	40	103d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Hard to predict and has been out of sorts in three runs for his current yard; opposable

Horse	bet365	Coral
Beggarman	3	10/3
Nevendon	3	3
Lunar Shadow	9/2	9/2
Molliana	10	9
Systemic	8	15/2
Fravanco	8	8/1
Ladypacksapunch	14	14
Kindgirl	16	18
Humaniste	20	18/1
First Quest	40	40
Hammy End	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lunar Shadow

16.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Beggarman

16.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Fravanco

12.9

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Molliana

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

Nevendon

7.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

Systemic

6.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ladypacksapunch

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.7

Humaniste

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

First Quest

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Kindgirl

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Hammy End

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fravanco	62	70	54
Systemic	61	71	28
Beggarman	60	71	63
Lunar Shadow	60	74	34
Humaniste	58	67	69
Nevendon	56	72	65
First Quest	53	66	30
Kindgirl	50	69	43
Molliana	47	73	61
Ladypacksapunch	46	73	62
Hammy End	46	73	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Systemic	9d ago	Quick return
Nevendon	10d ago	Quick return
Ladypacksapunch	15d ago	Fit
Fravanco	21d ago	Fit
Beggarman	24d ago	Fit
Humaniste	24d ago	Fit
Molliana	31d ago	Fit
Kindgirl	31d ago	Fit
First Quest	31d ago	Fit
Hammy End	103d ago	Long break
Lunar Shadow	—	—