weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

17:05

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap

Date 2023-08-15

Distance 5f8y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 0.80s (slow by 3.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bang On The Bell (GB) Pat Dobbs · J R Jenkins	7/1	Won
2nd	Buddy's Beauty (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · John Gallagher	6/5F	0.1
3rd	Snow Berry (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	9/2	1
4th	Triple Jaye (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	10/1	0.05
5th	Harry With Style (GB) Adam Tracey · John Ryan	6/1	0.3
6th	Moonlight Dreamer (GB) Kevin Stott · Robert Cowell	16/1	4.75
7th	Breath Catcher (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	80/1	1.5
8th	Poseidon Prince (IRE) Luke Morris · Michael Attwater	50/1	2
9th	Lady Jane Grey (GB) Christian Howarth · Rae Guest	18/1	2.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Buddys Beauty Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	140	h	/8-311	65	79	56	47d	—	—	-22	16.3	0.38/1	6/4 40%
An improving filly by the looks and major claims if handling forecast slower ground
8 (9)	Snow Berry Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	128	p	477681	53	70	60	14d	—	—	-1	15.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fourth win of her career when coming out on top in a 5f classified race at Yarmouth
NR (4)	Unlimited Data Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	137	—	1-1237	65	72	48	43d	—	—	+2	14.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two Wolverhampton wins; below par last time at Windsor but he's fine on turf
5 (8)	Harry With Style Chestnut J:Adam Tracey(7) T:John Ryan	J:Adam Tracey(7) T:John Ryan	137	p	816133	65	72	64	17d	—	—	+7	19.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Maintained his good run of form when close up at Newmarket; won't mind rain
6 (3)	Bang On The Bell Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:J R Jenkins	J:Pat Dobbs T:J R Jenkins	137	b	115084	62	75	59	10d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Wasn't beaten all that far at Newmarket ten days ago after early interference
3 (10)	Triple Jaye Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	137	hp	66-776	62	71	35	17d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Below par this season and held by Harry With Style on her last run
9 (6)	Lady Jane Grey Grey J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Rae Guest	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Rae Guest	126	—	-86669	54	70	50	11d	—	—	-4	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not the easiest of rides and has gone 0-9 since her winning debut
2 (7)	Moonlight Dreamer Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Robert Cowell	J:Kevin Stott T:Robert Cowell	138	t	734	66	70	39	28d	—	—	+3	7.3	4.25/1	18 6%
Handicap debutant; not badly treated on his middle effort at Windsor; may need good ground
7 (5)	Poseidon Prince Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Michael Attwater	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Attwater	135	—	72-085	63	72	17	11d	—	—	+1	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only midfield on recent handicap debut at Wolverhampton when 50-1
10 (1)	Breath Catcher Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	125	—	34-869	53	61	23	22d	—	—	0	1.1	37.25/1	150 1%
No wins in 11 and has yet to produce an effort of note this season; others much safer

Horse	bet365	Coral
Buddys Beauty	6/4	5/4
Snow Berry	9/2	4
Unlimited Data	13/2	7
Harry With Style	6	6/1
Bang On The Bell	13/2	13/2
Triple Jaye	10	9
Lady Jane Grey	10	12/1
Moonlight Dreamer	18	18
Poseidon Prince	33	40/1
Breath Catcher	150	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Harry With Style

19.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Buddys Beauty

16.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

6/4

3rd

Snow Berry

15.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Unlimited Data

14.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Bang On The Bell

8.3

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Moonlight Dreamer

7.3

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Triple Jaye

5.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Poseidon Prince

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Lady Jane Grey

2.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Breath Catcher

1.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonlight Dreamer	66	70	39
Buddys Beauty	65	79	56
Unlimited Data	65	72	48
Harry With Style	65	72	64
Poseidon Prince	63	72	17
Bang On The Bell	62	75	59
Triple Jaye	62	71	35
Lady Jane Grey	54	70	50
Snow Berry	53	70	60
Breath Catcher	53	61	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bang On The Bell	10d ago	Quick return
Lady Jane Grey	11d ago	Quick return
Poseidon Prince	11d ago	Quick return
Snow Berry	14d ago	Fit
Harry With Style	17d ago	Fit
Triple Jaye	17d ago	Fit
Breath Catcher	22d ago	Fit
Moonlight Dreamer	28d ago	Fit
Unlimited Data	43d ago	Fit
Buddys Beauty	47d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Unlimited Data	Prominent
Harry With Style	Prominent
Poseidon Prince	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Nottingham over 5f8y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.